Opinion Poll by Ipsos, 24–29 January 2025

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
ANO 2011 (PfE) 0.0% 36.7% 34.8–38.7% 34.2–39.2% 33.7–39.7% 32.8–40.7%
Starostové a nezávislí (EPP) 0.0% 12.0% 10.8–13.4% 10.5–13.8% 10.2–14.2% 9.6–14.9%
Občanská demokratická strana (ECR) 0.0% 8.8% 7.8–10.1% 7.5–10.5% 7.2–10.8% 6.8–11.4%
TOP 09 (EPP) 0.0% 6.0% 5.1–7.0% 4.9–7.3% 4.7–7.6% 4.3–8.2%
Křesťanská a demokratická unie–Československá strana lidová (EPP) 0.0% 5.8% 4.9–6.8% 4.7–7.1% 4.5–7.4% 4.1–7.9%
Svoboda a přímá demokracie (ESN) 0.0% 5.7% 4.8–6.7% 4.6–7.0% 4.4–7.3% 4.0–7.8%
Stačilo! (GUE/NGL) 0.0% 5.5% 4.6–6.5% 4.4–6.8% 4.2–7.1% 3.9–7.6%
Motoristé sobě (PfE) 0.0% 5.4% 4.6–6.4% 4.3–6.7% 4.1–7.0% 3.8–7.5%
Česká pirátská strana (Greens/EFA) 0.0% 5.0% 4.2–6.0% 4.0–6.2% 3.8–6.5% 3.4–7.0%
Přísaha (PfE) 0.0% 1.9% 1.4–2.6% 1.3–2.8% 1.2–2.9% 1.0–3.3%
Právo Respekt Odbornost (*) 0.0% 1.6% 1.2–2.2% 1.1–2.4% 1.0–2.6% 0.8–2.9%
Sociální demokracie (S&D) 0.0% 1.6% 1.2–2.2% 1.1–2.4% 1.0–2.6% 0.8–2.9%
Strana zelených (Greens/EFA) 0.0% 1.5% 1.1–2.1% 1.0–2.3% 0.9–2.5% 0.7–2.8%
Strana svobodných občanů (NI) 0.0% 0.9% 0.6–1.4% 0.5–1.6% 0.5–1.7% 0.4–2.0%
Trikolóra hnutí občanů (ESN) 0.0% 0.7% 0.5–1.2% 0.4–1.3% 0.3–1.4% 0.2–1.7%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
ANO 2011 (PfE) 0 11 9–12 9–12 9–12 9–13
Starostové a nezávislí (EPP) 0 3 3 3–4 3–4 2–4
Občanská demokratická strana (ECR) 0 2 2–3 2–3 2–3 2–4
TOP 09 (EPP) 0 1 0–2 0–2 0–2 0–2
Křesťanská a demokratická unie–Československá strana lidová (EPP) 0 1 0–1 0–2 0–2 0–2
Svoboda a přímá demokracie (ESN) 0 1 0–1 0–2 0–2 0–2
Stačilo! (GUE/NGL) 0 1 0–1 0–2 0–2 0–2
Motoristé sobě (PfE) 0 0 0–2 0–2 0–2 0–2
Česká pirátská strana (Greens/EFA) 0 1 0–1 0–1 0–1 0–2
Přísaha (PfE) 0 0 0 0 0 0
Právo Respekt Odbornost (*) 0 0 0 0 0 0
Sociální demokracie (S&D) 0 0 0 0 0 0
Strana zelených (Greens/EFA) 0 0 0 0 0 0
Strana svobodných občanů (NI) 0 0 0 0 0 0
Trikolóra hnutí občanů (ESN) 0 0 0 0 0 0

ANO 2011 (PfE)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the ANO 2011 (PfE) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 0% 100%  
3 0% 100%  
4 0% 100%  
5 0% 100%  
6 0% 100%  
7 0% 100%  
8 0% 100%  
9 10% 100%  
10 39% 90%  
11 24% 50% Median, Majority
12 25% 26%  
13 1.4% 1.4%  
14 0% 0%  

Starostové a nezávislí (EPP)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Starostové a nezávislí (EPP) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 0.8% 100%  
3 91% 99.2% Median
4 8% 8%  
5 0% 0%  

Občanská demokratická strana (ECR)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Občanská demokratická strana (ECR) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0.2% 100%  
2 69% 99.8% Median
3 29% 31%  
4 1.5% 1.5%  
5 0% 0%  

TOP 09 (EPP)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the TOP 09 (EPP) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 11% 100% Last Result
1 60% 89% Median
2 29% 29%  
3 0% 0%  

Křesťanská a demokratická unie–Československá strana lidová (EPP)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Křesťanská a demokratická unie–Československá strana lidová (EPP) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 14% 100% Last Result
1 78% 86% Median
2 7% 7%  
3 0% 0%  

Svoboda a přímá demokracie (ESN)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Svoboda a přímá demokracie (ESN) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 20% 100% Last Result
1 74% 80% Median
2 6% 6%  
3 0% 0%  

Stačilo! (GUE/NGL)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Stačilo! (GUE/NGL) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 31% 100% Last Result
1 64% 69% Median
2 5% 5%  
3 0% 0%  

Motoristé sobě (PfE)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Motoristé sobě (PfE) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 52% 100% Last Result, Median
1 33% 48%  
2 14% 14%  
3 0% 0%  

Česká pirátská strana (Greens/EFA)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Česká pirátská strana (Greens/EFA) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 43% 100% Last Result
1 55% 57% Median
2 1.3% 1.3%  
3 0% 0%  

Přísaha (PfE)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Přísaha (PfE) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Právo Respekt Odbornost (*)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Právo Respekt Odbornost (*) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Sociální demokracie (S&D)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Sociální demokracie (S&D) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Strana zelených (Greens/EFA)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Strana zelených (Greens/EFA) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Strana svobodných občanů (NI)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Strana svobodných občanů (NI) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Trikolóra hnutí občanů (ESN)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Trikolóra hnutí občanů (ESN) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Coalitions

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Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
ANO 2011 (PfE) – Motoristé sobě (PfE) – Přísaha (PfE) 0 11 75% 10–12 10–13 10–13 10–13
Starostové a nezávislí (EPP) – TOP 09 (EPP) – Křesťanská a demokratická unie–Československá strana lidová (EPP) 0 5 0% 4–6 4–6 4–6 3–8
Stačilo! (GUE/NGL) 0 1 0% 0–1 0–2 0–2 0–2
Právo Respekt Odbornost (*) 0 0 0% 0 0 0 0
Sociální demokracie (S&D) 0 0 0% 0 0 0 0

ANO 2011 (PfE) – Motoristé sobě (PfE) – Přísaha (PfE)

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 0% 100%  
3 0% 100%  
4 0% 100%  
5 0% 100%  
6 0% 100%  
7 0% 100%  
8 0% 100%  
9 0.1% 100%  
10 25% 99.9%  
11 29% 75% Median, Majority
12 36% 45%  
13 10% 10%  
14 0% 0.1%  
15 0% 0%  

Starostové a nezávislí (EPP) – TOP 09 (EPP) – Křesťanská a demokratická unie–Československá strana lidová (EPP)

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 0% 100%  
3 2% 100%  
4 13% 98%  
5 54% 85% Median
6 30% 32%  
7 1.2% 2%  
8 1.1% 1.1%  
9 0% 0%  

Stačilo! (GUE/NGL)

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 31% 100% Last Result
1 64% 69% Median
2 5% 5%  
3 0% 0%  

Právo Respekt Odbornost (*)

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Sociální demokracie (S&D)

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations