Opinion Poll by Median, 7–31 January 2025

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
ANO 2011 (PfE) 0.0% 33.0% 31.2–35.0% 30.7–35.5% 30.3–36.0% 29.4–36.9%
Starostové a nezávislí (EPP) 0.0% 11.0% 9.9–12.4% 9.6–12.8% 9.3–13.1% 8.7–13.8%
Svoboda a přímá demokracie (ESN) 0.0% 8.0% 7.0–9.2% 6.7–9.5% 6.5–9.8% 6.0–10.4%
Motoristé sobě (PfE) 0.0% 8.0% 7.0–9.2% 6.7–9.5% 6.5–9.8% 6.0–10.4%
Občanská demokratická strana (ECR) 0.0% 7.3% 6.4–8.4% 6.1–8.8% 5.9–9.1% 5.4–9.6%
Stačilo! (GUE/NGL) 0.0% 6.0% 5.1–7.0% 4.9–7.3% 4.7–7.6% 4.3–8.1%
TOP 09 (EPP) 0.0% 4.9% 4.1–5.9% 3.9–6.1% 3.7–6.4% 3.4–6.9%
Křesťanská a demokratická unie–Československá strana lidová (EPP) 0.0% 4.8% 4.1–5.8% 3.8–6.0% 3.7–6.3% 3.3–6.8%
Česká pirátská strana (Greens/EFA) 0.0% 4.0% 3.4–4.9% 3.2–5.2% 3.0–5.4% 2.7–5.9%
Sociální demokracie (S&D) 0.0% 3.5% 2.8–4.3% 2.7–4.5% 2.5–4.8% 2.2–5.2%
Trikolóra hnutí občanů (ESN) 0.0% 2.5% 2.0–3.2% 1.8–3.5% 1.7–3.6% 1.5–4.0%
Přísaha (PfE) 0.0% 2.0% 1.6–2.7% 1.4–2.9% 1.3–3.1% 1.1–3.4%
Strana zelených (Greens/EFA) 0.0% 2.0% 1.6–2.7% 1.4–2.9% 1.3–3.1% 1.1–3.4%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
ANO 2011 (PfE) 0 10 9–11 9–11 9–11 8–11
Starostové a nezávislí (EPP) 0 3 3 2–3 2–4 2–4
Svoboda a přímá demokracie (ESN) 0 2 2 2 2 1–3
Motoristé sobě (PfE) 0 2 2 2–3 1–3 1–3
Občanská demokratická strana (ECR) 0 2 1–2 1–2 1–2 1–3
Stačilo! (GUE/NGL) 0 1 0–2 0–2 0–2 0–2
TOP 09 (EPP) 0 0 0–1 0–2 0–2 0–2
Křesťanská a demokratická unie–Československá strana lidová (EPP) 0 0 0–1 0–1 0–1 0–2
Česká pirátská strana (Greens/EFA) 0 0 0–1 0–1 0–1 0–1
Sociální demokracie (S&D) 0 0 0 0 0 0–1
Trikolóra hnutí občanů (ESN) 0 0 0 0 0 0
Přísaha (PfE) 0 0 0 0 0 0
Strana zelených (Greens/EFA) 0 0 0 0 0 0

ANO 2011 (PfE)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the ANO 2011 (PfE) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 0% 100%  
3 0% 100%  
4 0% 100%  
5 0% 100%  
6 0% 100%  
7 0% 100%  
8 2% 100%  
9 19% 98%  
10 47% 79% Median
11 32% 32% Majority
12 0.1% 0.1%  
13 0% 0%  

Starostové a nezávislí (EPP)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Starostové a nezávislí (EPP) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 10% 100%  
3 86% 90% Median
4 4% 4%  
5 0% 0%  

Svoboda a přímá demokracie (ESN)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Svoboda a přímá demokracie (ESN) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 2% 100%  
2 95% 98% Median
3 2% 2%  
4 0% 0%  

Motoristé sobě (PfE)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Motoristé sobě (PfE) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 3% 100%  
2 90% 97% Median
3 7% 7%  
4 0% 0%  

Občanská demokratická strana (ECR)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Občanská demokratická strana (ECR) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0.1% 100% Last Result
1 12% 99.9%  
2 86% 88% Median
3 2% 2%  
4 0% 0%  

Stačilo! (GUE/NGL)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Stačilo! (GUE/NGL) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 21% 100% Last Result
1 44% 79% Median
2 35% 35%  
3 0% 0%  

TOP 09 (EPP)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the TOP 09 (EPP) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 53% 100% Last Result, Median
1 41% 47%  
2 6% 6%  
3 0% 0%  

Křesťanská a demokratická unie–Československá strana lidová (EPP)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Křesťanská a demokratická unie–Československá strana lidová (EPP) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 76% 100% Last Result, Median
1 23% 24%  
2 0.8% 0.8%  
3 0% 0%  

Česká pirátská strana (Greens/EFA)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Česká pirátská strana (Greens/EFA) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 90% 100% Last Result, Median
1 10% 10%  
2 0% 0%  

Sociální demokracie (S&D)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Sociální demokracie (S&D) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 99.4% 100% Last Result, Median
1 0.6% 0.6%  
2 0% 0%  

Trikolóra hnutí občanů (ESN)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Trikolóra hnutí občanů (ESN) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Přísaha (PfE)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Přísaha (PfE) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Strana zelených (Greens/EFA)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Strana zelených (Greens/EFA) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Coalitions

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Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
ANO 2011 (PfE) – Motoristé sobě (PfE) – Přísaha (PfE) 0 12 98% 11–13 11–13 11–13 10–13
Starostové a nezávislí (EPP) – TOP 09 (EPP) – Křesťanská a demokratická unie–Československá strana lidová (EPP) 0 4 0% 3–5 3–5 3–5 2–6
Stačilo! (GUE/NGL) 0 1 0% 0–2 0–2 0–2 0–2
Sociální demokracie (S&D) 0 0 0% 0 0 0 0–1

ANO 2011 (PfE) – Motoristé sobě (PfE) – Přísaha (PfE)

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 0% 100%  
3 0% 100%  
4 0% 100%  
5 0% 100%  
6 0% 100%  
7 0% 100%  
8 0% 100%  
9 0% 100%  
10 2% 100%  
11 19% 98% Majority
12 43% 79% Median
13 36% 36%  
14 0.3% 0.3%  
15 0% 0%  

Starostové a nezávislí (EPP) – TOP 09 (EPP) – Křesťanská a demokratická unie–Československá strana lidová (EPP)

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 0.8% 100%  
3 43% 99.2% Median
4 40% 56%  
5 16% 16%  
6 0.5% 0.5%  
7 0% 0%  

Stačilo! (GUE/NGL)

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 21% 100% Last Result
1 44% 79% Median
2 35% 35%  
3 0% 0%  

Sociální demokracie (S&D)

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 99.4% 100% Last Result, Median
1 0.6% 0.6%  
2 0% 0%  

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations