Opinion Poll by STEM for CNN Prima News, 31 January–18 February 2025

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
ANO 2011 (PfE) 0.0% 34.7% 33.2–36.2% 32.7–36.7% 32.4–37.1% 31.6–37.8%
Starostové a nezávislí (EPP) 0.0% 11.4% 10.4–12.5% 10.1–12.8% 9.9–13.1% 9.4–13.6%
Svoboda a přímá demokracie (ESN) 0.0% 8.1% 7.3–9.1% 7.1–9.4% 6.9–9.6% 6.5–10.1%
Občanská demokratická strana (ECR) 0.0% 7.9% 7.1–8.9% 6.9–9.1% 6.7–9.4% 6.3–9.9%
Česká pirátská strana (Greens/EFA) 0.0% 5.9% 5.2–6.7% 5.0–7.0% 4.8–7.2% 4.5–7.6%
Stačilo! (GUE/NGL) 0.0% 5.7% 5.0–6.5% 4.8–6.8% 4.6–7.0% 4.3–7.4%
TOP 09 (EPP) 0.0% 5.4% 4.7–6.2% 4.5–6.4% 4.4–6.6% 4.1–7.0%
Křesťanská a demokratická unie–Československá strana lidová (EPP) 0.0% 5.2% 4.5–6.0% 4.3–6.2% 4.2–6.4% 3.9–6.8%
Motoristé sobě (PfE) 0.0% 4.5% 3.9–5.2% 3.7–5.4% 3.6–5.6% 3.3–6.0%
Přísaha (PfE) 0.0% 2.9% 2.4–3.5% 2.3–3.7% 2.1–3.8% 2.0–4.2%
Sociální demokracie (S&D) 0.0% 2.3% 1.9–2.9% 1.8–3.0% 1.7–3.2% 1.5–3.5%
Strana svobodných občanů (NI) 0.0% 2.1% 1.7–2.7% 1.6–2.8% 1.5–3.0% 1.3–3.2%
Strana zelených (Greens/EFA) 0.0% 2.0% 1.6–2.5% 1.5–2.7% 1.4–2.8% 1.2–3.1%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
ANO 2011 (PfE) 0 11 10–11 10–11 9–11 9–11
Starostové a nezávislí (EPP) 0 3 3 3–4 2–4 2–4
Svoboda a přímá demokracie (ESN) 0 2 2 2 2 2–3
Občanská demokratická strana (ECR) 0 2 2 2 2 1–2
Česká pirátská strana (Greens/EFA) 0 1 0–2 0–2 0–2 0–2
Stačilo! (GUE/NGL) 0 1 1–2 1–2 0–2 0–2
TOP 09 (EPP) 0 0 0–2 0–2 0–2 0–2
Křesťanská a demokratická unie–Československá strana lidová (EPP) 0 0 0–1 0–1 0–2 0–2
Motoristé sobě (PfE) 0 0 0–1 0–1 0–1 0–1
Přísaha (PfE) 0 0 0 0 0 0
Sociální demokracie (S&D) 0 0 0 0 0 0
Strana svobodných občanů (NI) 0 0 0 0 0 0
Strana zelených (Greens/EFA) 0 0 0 0 0 0

ANO 2011 (PfE)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the ANO 2011 (PfE) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 0% 100%  
3 0% 100%  
4 0% 100%  
5 0% 100%  
6 0% 100%  
7 0% 100%  
8 0% 100%  
9 4% 100%  
10 40% 96%  
11 55% 55% Median, Majority
12 0.3% 0.4%  
13 0% 0%  

Starostové a nezávislí (EPP)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Starostové a nezávislí (EPP) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 3% 100%  
3 91% 97% Median
4 6% 6%  
5 0% 0%  

Svoboda a přímá demokracie (ESN)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Svoboda a přímá demokracie (ESN) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0.3% 100%  
2 98.5% 99.7% Median
3 1.2% 1.2%  
4 0% 0%  

Občanská demokratická strana (ECR)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Občanská demokratická strana (ECR) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0.9% 100%  
2 98.7% 99.1% Median
3 0.4% 0.4%  
4 0% 0%  

Česká pirátská strana (Greens/EFA)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Česká pirátská strana (Greens/EFA) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 12% 100% Last Result
1 77% 88% Median
2 11% 11%  
3 0% 0%  

Stačilo! (GUE/NGL)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Stačilo! (GUE/NGL) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 3% 100% Last Result
1 48% 97% Median
2 49% 49%  
3 0% 0%  

TOP 09 (EPP)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the TOP 09 (EPP) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 60% 100% Last Result, Median
1 29% 40%  
2 10% 10%  
3 0% 0%  

Křesťanská a demokratická unie–Československá strana lidová (EPP)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Křesťanská a demokratická unie–Československá strana lidová (EPP) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 64% 100% Last Result, Median
1 33% 36%  
2 3% 3%  
3 0% 0%  

Motoristé sobě (PfE)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Motoristé sobě (PfE) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 89% 100% Last Result, Median
1 11% 11%  
2 0% 0%  

Přísaha (PfE)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Přísaha (PfE) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Sociální demokracie (S&D)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Sociální demokracie (S&D) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Strana svobodných občanů (NI)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Strana svobodných občanů (NI) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Strana zelených (Greens/EFA)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Strana zelených (Greens/EFA) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Coalitions

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Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
ANO 2011 (PfE) – Motoristé sobě (PfE) – Přísaha (PfE) 0 11 63% 10–11 10–11 10–11 9–12
Starostové a nezávislí (EPP) – TOP 09 (EPP) – Křesťanská a demokratická unie–Československá strana lidová (EPP) 0 4 0% 3–5 3–6 3–6 3–6
Stačilo! (GUE/NGL) 0 1 0% 1–2 1–2 0–2 0–2
Sociální demokracie (S&D) 0 0 0% 0 0 0 0

ANO 2011 (PfE) – Motoristé sobě (PfE) – Přísaha (PfE)

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 0% 100%  
3 0% 100%  
4 0% 100%  
5 0% 100%  
6 0% 100%  
7 0% 100%  
8 0% 100%  
9 2% 100%  
10 34% 98%  
11 62% 63% Median, Majority
12 2% 2%  
13 0.1% 0.1%  
14 0% 0%  

Starostové a nezávislí (EPP) – TOP 09 (EPP) – Křesťanská a demokratická unie–Československá strana lidová (EPP)

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 0% 100%  
3 47% 100% Median
4 22% 53%  
5 22% 31%  
6 9% 9%  
7 0% 0%  

Stačilo! (GUE/NGL)

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 3% 100% Last Result
1 48% 97% Median
2 49% 49%  
3 0% 0%  

Sociální demokracie (S&D)

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations