Opinion Poll by STEM for CNN Prima News, 7–25 February 2025

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
ANO 2011 (PfE) 0.0% 33.6% 32.1–35.2% 31.7–35.6% 31.3–36.0% 30.6–36.7%
Starostové a nezávislí (EPP) 0.0% 12.9% 11.9–14.1% 11.6–14.4% 11.3–14.7% 10.9–15.2%
Svoboda a přímá demokracie (ESN) 0.0% 8.1% 7.3–9.0% 7.0–9.3% 6.8–9.5% 6.5–10.0%
Občanská demokratická strana (ECR) 0.0% 6.9% 6.2–7.8% 6.0–8.1% 5.8–8.3% 5.4–8.8%
Česká pirátská strana (Greens/EFA) 0.0% 6.8% 6.1–7.7% 5.8–8.0% 5.7–8.2% 5.3–8.6%
Stačilo! (GUE/NGL) 0.0% 5.7% 5.0–6.6% 4.8–6.8% 4.7–7.0% 4.4–7.4%
Motoristé sobě (PfE) 0.0% 5.0% 4.4–5.8% 4.2–6.0% 4.1–6.2% 3.8–6.6%
TOP 09 (EPP) 0.0% 4.7% 4.1–5.5% 3.9–5.7% 3.8–5.9% 3.5–6.3%
Křesťanská a demokratická unie–Československá strana lidová (EPP) 0.0% 4.5% 3.9–5.3% 3.7–5.5% 3.6–5.7% 3.3–6.1%
Strana svobodných občanů (NI) 0.0% 2.9% 2.4–3.6% 2.3–3.7% 2.2–3.9% 2.0–4.2%
Přísaha (PfE) 0.0% 2.5% 2.0–3.1% 1.9–3.2% 1.8–3.4% 1.6–3.7%
Sociální demokracie (S&D) 0.0% 2.5% 2.0–3.1% 1.9–3.2% 1.8–3.4% 1.6–3.7%
Strana zelených (Greens/EFA) 0.0% 2.1% 1.7–2.7% 1.6–2.8% 1.5–2.9% 1.3–3.2%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
ANO 2011 (PfE) 0 10 9–11 9–11 9–11 9–11
Starostové a nezávislí (EPP) 0 4 3–4 3–4 3–4 3–4
Svoboda a přímá demokracie (ESN) 0 2 2 2 2–3 1–3
Občanská demokratická strana (ECR) 0 2 1–2 1–2 1–2 1–2
Česká pirátská strana (Greens/EFA) 0 2 1–2 1–2 1–2 1–2
Stačilo! (GUE/NGL) 0 1 1 0–2 0–2 0–2
Motoristé sobě (PfE) 0 0 0–1 0–1 0–1 0–2
TOP 09 (EPP) 0 0 0–1 0–1 0–1 0–1
Křesťanská a demokratická unie–Československá strana lidová (EPP) 0 0 0–1 0–1 0–1 0–1
Strana svobodných občanů (NI) 0 0 0 0 0 0
Přísaha (PfE) 0 0 0 0 0 0
Sociální demokracie (S&D) 0 0 0 0 0 0
Strana zelených (Greens/EFA) 0 0 0 0 0 0

ANO 2011 (PfE)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the ANO 2011 (PfE) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 0% 100%  
3 0% 100%  
4 0% 100%  
5 0% 100%  
6 0% 100%  
7 0% 100%  
8 0.2% 100%  
9 13% 99.8%  
10 76% 87% Median
11 11% 11% Majority
12 0.1% 0.1%  
13 0% 0%  

Starostové a nezávislí (EPP)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Starostové a nezávislí (EPP) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 0% 100%  
3 44% 100%  
4 56% 56% Median
5 0.1% 0.1%  
6 0% 0%  

Svoboda a přímá demokracie (ESN)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Svoboda a přímá demokracie (ESN) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 2% 100%  
2 95% 98% Median
3 3% 3%  
4 0% 0%  

Občanská demokratická strana (ECR)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Občanská demokratická strana (ECR) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 12% 100%  
2 88% 88% Median
3 0% 0%  

Česká pirátská strana (Greens/EFA)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Česká pirátská strana (Greens/EFA) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0.1% 100% Last Result
1 24% 99.9%  
2 76% 76% Median
3 0% 0%  

Stačilo! (GUE/NGL)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Stačilo! (GUE/NGL) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 6% 100% Last Result
1 88% 94% Median
2 5% 5%  
3 0% 0%  

Motoristé sobě (PfE)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Motoristé sobě (PfE) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 68% 100% Last Result, Median
1 31% 32%  
2 0.9% 0.9%  
3 0% 0%  

TOP 09 (EPP)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the TOP 09 (EPP) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 74% 100% Last Result, Median
1 26% 26%  
2 0% 0%  

Křesťanská a demokratická unie–Československá strana lidová (EPP)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Křesťanská a demokratická unie–Československá strana lidová (EPP) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 78% 100% Last Result, Median
1 22% 22%  
2 0% 0%  

Strana svobodných občanů (NI)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Strana svobodných občanů (NI) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Přísaha (PfE)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Přísaha (PfE) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Sociální demokracie (S&D)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Sociální demokracie (S&D) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Strana zelených (Greens/EFA)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Strana zelených (Greens/EFA) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Coalitions

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Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
ANO 2011 (PfE) – Motoristé sobě (PfE) – Přísaha (PfE) 0 10 29% 10–11 10–11 10–12 9–13
Starostové a nezávislí (EPP) – TOP 09 (EPP) – Křesťanská a demokratická unie–Československá strana lidová (EPP) 0 4 0% 3–5 3–5 3–5 3–5
Stačilo! (GUE/NGL) 0 1 0% 1 0–2 0–2 0–2
Sociální demokracie (S&D) 0 0 0% 0 0 0 0

ANO 2011 (PfE) – Motoristé sobě (PfE) – Přísaha (PfE)

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 0% 100%  
3 0% 100%  
4 0% 100%  
5 0% 100%  
6 0% 100%  
7 0% 100%  
8 0.1% 100%  
9 1.2% 99.9%  
10 70% 98.7% Median
11 26% 29% Majority
12 2% 3%  
13 0.6% 0.6%  
14 0% 0%  

Starostové a nezávislí (EPP) – TOP 09 (EPP) – Křesťanská a demokratická unie–Československá strana lidová (EPP)

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 0% 100%  
3 12% 100%  
4 72% 88% Median
5 16% 16%  
6 0.2% 0.2%  
7 0% 0%  

Stačilo! (GUE/NGL)

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 6% 100% Last Result
1 88% 94% Median
2 5% 5%  
3 0% 0%  

Sociální demokracie (S&D)

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations