Opinion Poll by Median, 1–28 February 2025

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
ANO 2011 (PfE) 0.0% 33.5% 31.6–35.4% 31.1–36.0% 30.6–36.4% 29.8–37.4%
Starostové a nezávislí (EPP) 0.0% 10.0% 8.9–11.3% 8.6–11.7% 8.3–12.0% 7.8–12.7%
Motoristé sobě (PfE) 0.0% 8.0% 7.0–9.3% 6.8–9.6% 6.5–9.9% 6.1–10.5%
Občanská demokratická strana (ECR) 0.0% 7.9% 7.0–9.1% 6.7–9.5% 6.4–9.8% 6.0–10.4%
Svoboda a přímá demokracie (ESN) 0.0% 7.0% 6.0–8.1% 5.8–8.4% 5.6–8.7% 5.1–9.3%
Stačilo! (GUE/NGL) 0.0% 6.5% 5.6–7.6% 5.3–7.9% 5.1–8.2% 4.7–8.7%
Česká pirátská strana (Greens/EFA) 0.0% 6.0% 5.1–7.1% 4.9–7.4% 4.7–7.6% 4.3–8.2%
TOP 09 (EPP) 0.0% 5.4% 4.6–6.4% 4.4–6.7% 4.2–7.0% 3.8–7.5%
Křesťanská a demokratická unie–Československá strana lidová (EPP) 0.0% 5.2% 4.4–6.2% 4.2–6.5% 4.0–6.8% 3.6–7.3%
Sociální demokracie (S&D) 0.0% 3.5% 2.9–4.4% 2.7–4.6% 2.6–4.9% 2.3–5.3%
Trikolóra hnutí občanů (ESN) 0.0% 2.0% 1.5–2.7% 1.4–2.9% 1.3–3.0% 1.1–3.4%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
ANO 2011 (PfE) 0 9 9–10 8–10 8–10 8–11
Starostové a nezávislí (EPP) 0 2 2–3 2–3 2–3 2–3
Motoristé sobě (PfE) 0 2 2 2 1–2 1–3
Občanská demokratická strana (ECR) 0 2 2 1–2 1–2 1–3
Svoboda a přímá demokracie (ESN) 0 2 1–2 1–2 1–2 1–2
Stačilo! (GUE/NGL) 0 1 1–2 1–2 1–2 0–2
Česká pirátská strana (Greens/EFA) 0 1 1–2 1–2 0–2 0–2
TOP 09 (EPP) 0 1 0–1 0–1 0–1 0–2
Křesťanská a demokratická unie–Československá strana lidová (EPP) 0 1 0–1 0–1 0–1 0–2
Sociální demokracie (S&D) 0 0 0 0 0 0–1
Trikolóra hnutí občanů (ESN) 0 0 0 0 0 0

ANO 2011 (PfE)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the ANO 2011 (PfE) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 0% 100%  
3 0% 100%  
4 0% 100%  
5 0% 100%  
6 0% 100%  
7 0% 100%  
8 6% 100%  
9 67% 94% Median
10 25% 27%  
11 2% 2% Majority
12 0% 0%  

Starostové a nezávislí (EPP)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Starostové a nezávislí (EPP) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 65% 100% Median
3 35% 35%  
4 0.1% 0.1%  
5 0% 0%  

Motoristé sobě (PfE)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Motoristé sobě (PfE) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 5% 100%  
2 93% 95% Median
3 2% 2%  
4 0% 0%  

Občanská demokratická strana (ECR)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Občanská demokratická strana (ECR) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 9% 100%  
2 90% 91% Median
3 1.1% 1.1%  
4 0% 0%  

Svoboda a přímá demokracie (ESN)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Svoboda a přímá demokracie (ESN) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0.3% 100% Last Result
1 32% 99.7%  
2 68% 68% Median
3 0.1% 0.1%  
4 0% 0%  

Stačilo! (GUE/NGL)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Stačilo! (GUE/NGL) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 1.5% 100% Last Result
1 74% 98.5% Median
2 25% 25%  
3 0% 0%  

Česká pirátská strana (Greens/EFA)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Česká pirátská strana (Greens/EFA) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 5% 100% Last Result
1 83% 95% Median
2 13% 13%  
3 0% 0%  

TOP 09 (EPP)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the TOP 09 (EPP) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 18% 100% Last Result
1 80% 82% Median
2 2% 2%  
3 0% 0%  

Křesťanská a demokratická unie–Československá strana lidová (EPP)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Křesťanská a demokratická unie–Československá strana lidová (EPP) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 34% 100% Last Result
1 64% 66% Median
2 2% 2%  
3 0% 0%  

Sociální demokracie (S&D)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Sociální demokracie (S&D) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 98.8% 100% Last Result, Median
1 1.2% 1.2%  
2 0% 0%  

Trikolóra hnutí občanů (ESN)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Trikolóra hnutí občanů (ESN) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Coalitions

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Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Starostové a nezávislí (EPP) – TOP 09 (EPP) – Křesťanská a demokratická unie–Československá strana lidová (EPP) 0 4 0% 3–5 3–5 2–5 2–5
Stačilo! (GUE/NGL) 0 1 0% 1–2 1–2 1–2 0–2
Sociální demokracie (S&D) 0 0 0% 0 0 0 0–1

Starostové a nezávislí (EPP) – TOP 09 (EPP) – Křesťanská a demokratická unie–Československá strana lidová (EPP)

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 3% 100%  
3 20% 97%  
4 65% 77% Median
5 12% 12%  
6 0.3% 0.3%  
7 0% 0%  

Stačilo! (GUE/NGL)

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 1.5% 100% Last Result
1 74% 98.5% Median
2 25% 25%  
3 0% 0%  

Sociální demokracie (S&D)

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 98.8% 100% Last Result, Median
1 1.2% 1.2%  
2 0% 0%  

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations