Opinion Poll by NMS, 28 February–5 March 2025

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
ANO 2011 (PfE) 0.0% 31.3% 29.5–33.2% 28.9–33.7% 28.5–34.2% 27.6–35.1%
Starostové a nezávislí (EPP) 0.0% 13.8% 12.5–15.3% 12.1–15.7% 11.8–16.1% 11.2–16.8%
Občanská demokratická strana (ECR) 0.0% 8.2% 7.2–9.4% 6.9–9.8% 6.7–10.1% 6.2–10.7%
Svoboda a přímá demokracie (ESN) 0.0% 7.2% 6.3–8.4% 6.0–8.7% 5.8–9.0% 5.3–9.6%
Motoristé sobě (PfE) 0.0% 6.9% 6.0–8.0% 5.7–8.4% 5.5–8.6% 5.1–9.2%
TOP 09 (EPP) 0.0% 5.5% 4.7–6.6% 4.5–6.9% 4.3–7.1% 3.9–7.7%
Stačilo! (GUE/NGL) 0.0% 5.5% 4.7–6.6% 4.5–6.9% 4.3–7.1% 3.9–7.7%
Česká pirátská strana (Greens/EFA) 0.0% 5.4% 4.6–6.5% 4.4–6.8% 4.2–7.0% 3.8–7.5%
Křesťanská a demokratická unie–Československá strana lidová (EPP) 0.0% 5.3% 4.5–6.4% 4.3–6.6% 4.1–6.9% 3.7–7.4%
Přísaha (PfE) 0.0% 2.5% 1.9–3.2% 1.8–3.4% 1.7–3.6% 1.4–4.0%
Sociální demokracie (S&D) 0.0% 2.3% 1.8–3.0% 1.6–3.2% 1.5–3.4% 1.3–3.8%
Strana svobodných občanů (NI) 0.0% 1.6% 1.2–2.2% 1.1–2.4% 1.0–2.6% 0.8–2.9%
Strana zelených (Greens/EFA) 0.0% 1.6% 1.2–2.2% 1.1–2.4% 1.0–2.6% 0.8–2.9%
Trikolóra hnutí občanů (ESN) 0.0% 1.6% 1.2–2.2% 1.1–2.4% 1.0–2.6% 0.8–2.9%
Právo Respekt Odbornost (*) 0.0% 1.0% 0.7–1.5% 0.6–1.7% 0.5–1.8% 0.4–2.1%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
ANO 2011 (PfE) 0 9 8–10 8–10 8–10 8–10
Starostové a nezávislí (EPP) 0 4 3–4 3–4 3–4 3–5
Občanská demokratická strana (ECR) 0 2 1–2 1–2 1–2 1–3
Svoboda a přímá demokracie (ESN) 0 2 1–2 1–2 1–2 1–2
Motoristé sobě (PfE) 0 2 1–2 1–2 1–2 1–2
TOP 09 (EPP) 0 0 0–1 0–1 0–1 0–2
Stačilo! (GUE/NGL) 0 1 0–1 0–2 0–2 0–2
Česká pirátská strana (Greens/EFA) 0 1 0–1 0–1 0–2 0–2
Křesťanská a demokratická unie–Československá strana lidová (EPP) 0 1 0–2 0–2 0–2 0–2
Přísaha (PfE) 0 0 0 0 0 0
Sociální demokracie (S&D) 0 0 0 0 0 0
Strana svobodných občanů (NI) 0 0 0 0 0 0
Strana zelených (Greens/EFA) 0 0 0 0 0 0
Trikolóra hnutí občanů (ESN) 0 0 0 0 0 0
Právo Respekt Odbornost (*) 0 0 0 0 0 0

ANO 2011 (PfE)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the ANO 2011 (PfE) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 0% 100%  
3 0% 100%  
4 0% 100%  
5 0% 100%  
6 0% 100%  
7 0.1% 100%  
8 48% 99.9%  
9 23% 52% Median
10 29% 29%  
11 0.1% 0.1% Majority
12 0% 0%  

Starostové a nezávislí (EPP)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Starostové a nezávislí (EPP) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 0% 100%  
3 11% 100%  
4 88% 89% Median
5 0.8% 0.8%  
6 0% 0%  

Občanská demokratická strana (ECR)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Občanská demokratická strana (ECR) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 12% 100%  
2 87% 88% Median
3 1.2% 1.2%  
4 0% 0%  

Svoboda a přímá demokracie (ESN)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Svoboda a přímá demokracie (ESN) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0.1% 100% Last Result
1 34% 99.9%  
2 66% 66% Median
3 0.4% 0.4%  
4 0% 0%  

Motoristé sobě (PfE)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Motoristé sobě (PfE) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0.3% 100% Last Result
1 26% 99.7%  
2 73% 73% Median
3 0.1% 0.1%  
4 0% 0%  

TOP 09 (EPP)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the TOP 09 (EPP) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 60% 100% Last Result, Median
1 37% 40%  
2 2% 2%  
3 0% 0%  

Stačilo! (GUE/NGL)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Stačilo! (GUE/NGL) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 16% 100% Last Result
1 76% 84% Median
2 8% 8%  
3 0% 0%  

Česká pirátská strana (Greens/EFA)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Česká pirátská strana (Greens/EFA) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 33% 100% Last Result
1 64% 67% Median
2 3% 3%  
3 0% 0%  

Křesťanská a demokratická unie–Československá strana lidová (EPP)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Křesťanská a demokratická unie–Československá strana lidová (EPP) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 15% 100% Last Result
1 75% 85% Median
2 10% 10%  
3 0% 0%  

Přísaha (PfE)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Přísaha (PfE) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Sociální demokracie (S&D)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Sociální demokracie (S&D) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Strana svobodných občanů (NI)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Strana svobodných občanů (NI) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Strana zelených (Greens/EFA)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Strana zelených (Greens/EFA) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Trikolóra hnutí občanů (ESN)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Trikolóra hnutí občanů (ESN) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Právo Respekt Odbornost (*)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Právo Respekt Odbornost (*) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Coalitions

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Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
ANO 2011 (PfE) – Motoristé sobě (PfE) – Přísaha (PfE) 0 10 44% 10–12 10–12 9–12 9–12
Starostové a nezávislí (EPP) – TOP 09 (EPP) – Křesťanská a demokratická unie–Československá strana lidová (EPP) 0 5 0% 5–6 4–6 4–6 3–7
Stačilo! (GUE/NGL) 0 1 0% 0–1 0–2 0–2 0–2
Právo Respekt Odbornost (*) 0 0 0% 0 0 0 0
Sociální demokracie (S&D) 0 0 0% 0 0 0 0

ANO 2011 (PfE) – Motoristé sobě (PfE) – Přísaha (PfE)

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 0% 100%  
3 0% 100%  
4 0% 100%  
5 0% 100%  
6 0% 100%  
7 0% 100%  
8 0.1% 100%  
9 3% 99.9%  
10 53% 97%  
11 30% 44% Median, Majority
12 14% 14%  
13 0% 0%  

Starostové a nezávislí (EPP) – TOP 09 (EPP) – Křesťanská a demokratická unie–Československá strana lidová (EPP)

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 0% 100%  
3 0.8% 100%  
4 8% 99.2%  
5 55% 91% Median
6 35% 36%  
7 1.0% 1.0%  
8 0% 0%  

Stačilo! (GUE/NGL)

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 16% 100% Last Result
1 76% 84% Median
2 8% 8%  
3 0% 0%  

Právo Respekt Odbornost (*)

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Sociální demokracie (S&D)

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations