Opinion Poll by STEM for CNN Prima News, 21 February–11 March 2025

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
ANO 2011 (PfE) 0.0% 33.7% 32.2–35.3% 31.8–35.7% 31.4–36.1% 30.7–36.8%
Starostové a nezávislí (EPP) 0.0% 10.6% 9.6–11.6% 9.4–11.9% 9.1–12.2% 8.7–12.7%
Svoboda a přímá demokracie (ESN) 0.0% 8.9% 8.1–9.9% 7.8–10.2% 7.6–10.4% 7.2–10.9%
Občanská demokratická strana (ECR) 0.0% 7.4% 6.6–8.3% 6.4–8.6% 6.2–8.8% 5.9–9.3%
Česká pirátská strana (Greens/EFA) 0.0% 6.9% 6.1–7.8% 5.9–8.0% 5.7–8.3% 5.4–8.7%
Stačilo! (GUE/NGL) 0.0% 5.9% 5.2–6.7% 5.0–7.0% 4.8–7.2% 4.5–7.6%
Motoristé sobě (PfE) 0.0% 5.3% 4.6–6.1% 4.5–6.3% 4.3–6.6% 4.0–7.0%
TOP 09 (EPP) 0.0% 5.0% 4.4–5.8% 4.2–6.0% 4.0–6.2% 3.7–6.6%
Křesťanská a demokratická unie–Československá strana lidová (EPP) 0.0% 4.8% 4.2–5.6% 4.0–5.8% 3.9–6.0% 3.6–6.4%
Přísaha (PfE) 0.0% 2.9% 2.4–3.5% 2.3–3.7% 2.2–3.9% 2.0–4.2%
Sociální demokracie (S&D) 0.0% 2.7% 2.3–3.3% 2.1–3.5% 2.0–3.7% 1.8–4.0%
Strana svobodných občanů (NI) 0.0% 1.8% 1.4–2.3% 1.3–2.4% 1.2–2.6% 1.1–2.8%
Strana zelených (Greens/EFA) 0.0% 1.6% 1.2–2.1% 1.1–2.2% 1.1–2.3% 0.9–2.6%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
ANO 2011 (PfE) 0 10 9–11 9–11 9–11 8–11
Starostové a nezávislí (EPP) 0 3 2–3 2–3 2–3 2–3
Svoboda a přímá demokracie (ESN) 0 2 2–3 2–3 2–3 2–3
Občanská demokratická strana (ECR) 0 2 2 1–2 1–2 1–2
Česká pirátská strana (Greens/EFA) 0 2 1–2 1–2 1–2 1–2
Stačilo! (GUE/NGL) 0 1 0–1 0–2 0–2 0–2
Motoristé sobě (PfE) 0 1 0–1 0–1 0–1 0–2
TOP 09 (EPP) 0 1 0–1 0–1 0–1 0–1
Křesťanská a demokratická unie–Československá strana lidová (EPP) 0 0 0–1 0–1 0–1 0–1
Přísaha (PfE) 0 0 0 0 0 0
Sociální demokracie (S&D) 0 0 0 0 0 0
Strana svobodných občanů (NI) 0 0 0 0 0 0
Strana zelených (Greens/EFA) 0 0 0 0 0 0

ANO 2011 (PfE)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the ANO 2011 (PfE) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 0% 100%  
3 0% 100%  
4 0% 100%  
5 0% 100%  
6 0% 100%  
7 0% 100%  
8 0.5% 100%  
9 37% 99.5%  
10 46% 63% Median
11 16% 16% Majority
12 0% 0%  

Starostové a nezávislí (EPP)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Starostové a nezávislí (EPP) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 27% 100%  
3 73% 73% Median
4 0.1% 0.1%  
5 0% 0%  

Svoboda a přímá demokracie (ESN)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Svoboda a přímá demokracie (ESN) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 82% 100% Median
3 18% 18%  
4 0% 0%  

Občanská demokratická strana (ECR)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Občanská demokratická strana (ECR) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 7% 100%  
2 92% 93% Median
3 0.2% 0.2%  
4 0% 0%  

Česká pirátská strana (Greens/EFA)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Česká pirátská strana (Greens/EFA) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 35% 100%  
2 65% 65% Median
3 0% 0%  

Stačilo! (GUE/NGL)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Stačilo! (GUE/NGL) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 14% 100% Last Result
1 79% 86% Median
2 7% 7%  
3 0% 0%  

Motoristé sobě (PfE)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Motoristé sobě (PfE) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 25% 100% Last Result
1 73% 75% Median
2 2% 2%  
3 0% 0%  

TOP 09 (EPP)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the TOP 09 (EPP) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 40% 100% Last Result
1 60% 60% Median
2 0.3% 0.3%  
3 0% 0%  

Křesťanská a demokratická unie–Československá strana lidová (EPP)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Křesťanská a demokratická unie–Československá strana lidová (EPP) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 59% 100% Last Result, Median
1 41% 41%  
2 0.1% 0.1%  
3 0% 0%  

Přísaha (PfE)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Přísaha (PfE) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Sociální demokracie (S&D)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Sociální demokracie (S&D) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Strana svobodných občanů (NI)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Strana svobodných občanů (NI) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Strana zelených (Greens/EFA)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Strana zelených (Greens/EFA) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Coalitions

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Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
ANO 2011 (PfE) – Motoristé sobě (PfE) – Přísaha (PfE) 0 11 57% 10–11 9–11 9–12 9–12
Starostové a nezávislí (EPP) – TOP 09 (EPP) – Křesťanská a demokratická unie–Československá strana lidová (EPP) 0 4 0% 3–4 3–5 3–5 2–5
Stačilo! (GUE/NGL) 0 1 0% 0–1 0–2 0–2 0–2
Sociální demokracie (S&D) 0 0 0% 0 0 0 0

ANO 2011 (PfE) – Motoristé sobě (PfE) – Přísaha (PfE)

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 0% 100%  
3 0% 100%  
4 0% 100%  
5 0% 100%  
6 0% 100%  
7 0% 100%  
8 0% 100%  
9 5% 100%  
10 37% 95%  
11 54% 57% Median, Majority
12 4% 4%  
13 0% 0%  

Starostové a nezávislí (EPP) – TOP 09 (EPP) – Křesťanská a demokratická unie–Československá strana lidová (EPP)

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 1.2% 100%  
3 32% 98.8%  
4 57% 67% Median
5 9% 9%  
6 0% 0%  

Stačilo! (GUE/NGL)

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 14% 100% Last Result
1 79% 86% Median
2 7% 7%  
3 0% 0%  

Sociální demokracie (S&D)

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations