Opinion Poll by Ipsos, 24–28 March 2025

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
ANO 2011 (PfE) 0.0% 35.8% 33.9–37.7% 33.4–38.3% 33.0–38.7% 32.1–39.7%
Starostové a nezávislí (EPP) 0.0% 10.3% 9.2–11.6% 8.9–11.9% 8.6–12.3% 8.1–12.9%
Svoboda a přímá demokracie (ESN) 0.0% 9.8% 8.7–11.1% 8.4–11.4% 8.2–11.8% 7.7–12.4%
Občanská demokratická strana (ECR) 0.0% 9.0% 7.9–10.2% 7.6–10.5% 7.4–10.9% 6.9–11.5%
TOP 09 (EPP) 0.0% 6.0% 5.2–7.1% 5.0–7.4% 4.8–7.7% 4.4–8.2%
Křesťanská a demokratická unie–Československá strana lidová (EPP) 0.0% 5.9% 5.0–6.9% 4.8–7.2% 4.6–7.4% 4.2–8.0%
Česká pirátská strana (Greens/EFA) 0.0% 5.8% 4.9–6.8% 4.7–7.1% 4.5–7.3% 4.1–7.9%
Stačilo! (GUE/NGL) 0.0% 5.1% 4.3–6.1% 4.1–6.4% 3.9–6.6% 3.6–7.1%
Motoristé sobě (PfE) 0.0% 5.0% 4.2–6.0% 4.0–6.2% 3.8–6.5% 3.5–7.0%
Sociální demokracie (S&D) 0.0% 3.5% 2.9–4.3% 2.7–4.6% 2.5–4.8% 2.3–5.2%
Přísaha (PfE) 0.0% 1.4% 1.1–2.0% 0.9–2.2% 0.9–2.3% 0.7–2.7%
Strana zelených (Greens/EFA) 0.0% 1.0% 0.7–1.6% 0.6–1.7% 0.6–1.9% 0.5–2.1%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
ANO 2011 (PfE) 0 10 9–10 9–11 9–11 9–12
Starostové a nezávislí (EPP) 0 2 2–3 2–3 2–3 2–3
Svoboda a přímá demokracie (ESN) 0 3 2–3 2–3 2–3 2–3
Občanská demokratická strana (ECR) 0 2 2 2–3 2–3 2–3
TOP 09 (EPP) 0 1 1–2 0–2 0–2 0–2
Křesťanská a demokratická unie–Československá strana lidová (EPP) 0 1 0–1 0–2 0–2 0–2
Česká pirátská strana (Greens/EFA) 0 1 0–1 0–2 0–2 0–2
Stačilo! (GUE/NGL) 0 1 0–1 0–1 0–1 0–2
Motoristé sobě (PfE) 0 0 0–1 0–1 0–1 0–1
Sociální demokracie (S&D) 0 0 0 0 0 0–1
Přísaha (PfE) 0 0 0 0 0 0
Strana zelených (Greens/EFA) 0 0 0 0 0 0

ANO 2011 (PfE)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the ANO 2011 (PfE) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 0% 100%  
3 0% 100%  
4 0% 100%  
5 0% 100%  
6 0% 100%  
7 0% 100%  
8 0.2% 100%  
9 23% 99.8%  
10 67% 77% Median
11 9% 10% Majority
12 1.0% 1.0%  
13 0% 0%  

Starostové a nezávislí (EPP)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Starostové a nezávislí (EPP) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 59% 100% Median
3 41% 41%  
4 0.1% 0.1%  
5 0% 0%  

Svoboda a přímá demokracie (ESN)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Svoboda a přímá demokracie (ESN) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 48% 100%  
3 52% 52% Median
4 0% 0%  

Občanská demokratická strana (ECR)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Občanská demokratická strana (ECR) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0.5% 100%  
2 95% 99.5% Median
3 5% 5%  
4 0% 0%  

TOP 09 (EPP)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the TOP 09 (EPP) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 9% 100% Last Result
1 67% 91% Median
2 24% 24%  
3 0% 0%  

Křesťanská a demokratická unie–Československá strana lidová (EPP)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Křesťanská a demokratická unie–Československá strana lidová (EPP) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 26% 100% Last Result
1 66% 74% Median
2 8% 8%  
3 0% 0%  

Česká pirátská strana (Greens/EFA)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Česká pirátská strana (Greens/EFA) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 15% 100% Last Result
1 80% 85% Median
2 5% 5%  
3 0% 0%  

Stačilo! (GUE/NGL)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Stačilo! (GUE/NGL) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 23% 100% Last Result
1 76% 77% Median
2 0.5% 0.5%  
3 0% 0%  

Motoristé sobě (PfE)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Motoristé sobě (PfE) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 51% 100% Last Result, Median
1 49% 49%  
2 0.5% 0.5%  
3 0% 0%  

Sociální demokracie (S&D)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Sociální demokracie (S&D) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 99.2% 100% Last Result, Median
1 0.8% 0.8%  
2 0% 0%  

Přísaha (PfE)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Přísaha (PfE) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Strana zelených (Greens/EFA)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Strana zelených (Greens/EFA) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Coalitions

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Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
ANO 2011 (PfE) – Motoristé sobě (PfE) – Přísaha (PfE) 0 10 41% 10–11 9–11 9–12 9–12
Starostové a nezávislí (EPP) – TOP 09 (EPP) – Křesťanská a demokratická unie–Československá strana lidová (EPP) 0 4 0% 3–6 3–6 3–6 3–6
Stačilo! (GUE/NGL) 0 1 0% 0–1 0–1 0–1 0–2
Sociální demokracie (S&D) 0 0 0% 0 0 0 0–1

ANO 2011 (PfE) – Motoristé sobě (PfE) – Přísaha (PfE)

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 0% 100%  
3 0% 100%  
4 0% 100%  
5 0% 100%  
6 0% 100%  
7 0% 100%  
8 0% 100%  
9 6% 100%  
10 53% 94% Median
11 38% 41% Majority
12 2% 3%  
13 0.4% 0.4%  
14 0% 0%  

Starostové a nezávislí (EPP) – TOP 09 (EPP) – Křesťanská a demokratická unie–Československá strana lidová (EPP)

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 0.1% 100%  
3 22% 99.9%  
4 33% 78% Median
5 31% 45%  
6 14% 14%  
7 0.2% 0.2%  
8 0% 0%  

Stačilo! (GUE/NGL)

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 23% 100% Last Result
1 76% 77% Median
2 0.5% 0.5%  
3 0% 0%  

Sociální demokracie (S&D)

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 99.2% 100% Last Result, Median
1 0.8% 0.8%  
2 0% 0%  

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations