Opinion Poll by Median, 1–31 March 2025

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
ANO 2011 (PfE) 0.0% 32.5% 30.7–34.4% 30.1–34.9% 29.7–35.4% 28.8–36.4%
Starostové a nezávislí (EPP) 0.0% 13.0% 11.7–14.4% 11.4–14.8% 11.1–15.2% 10.5–15.9%
Česká pirátská strana (Greens/EFA) 0.0% 8.0% 7.0–9.2% 6.7–9.5% 6.5–9.8% 6.0–10.4%
Občanská demokratická strana (ECR) 0.0% 8.0% 7.0–9.2% 6.7–9.5% 6.5–9.8% 6.0–10.4%
Svoboda a přímá demokracie (ESN) 0.0% 7.5% 6.6–8.7% 6.3–9.0% 6.1–9.3% 5.6–9.9%
Motoristé sobě (PfE) 0.0% 6.0% 5.2–7.1% 5.0–7.4% 4.7–7.7% 4.4–8.2%
Stačilo! (GUE/NGL) 0.0% 5.5% 4.6–6.5% 4.4–6.8% 4.2–7.0% 3.9–7.6%
TOP 09 (EPP) 0.0% 5.4% 4.6–6.4% 4.3–6.7% 4.1–6.9% 3.8–7.4%
Křesťanská a demokratická unie–Československá strana lidová (EPP) 0.0% 5.2% 4.4–6.2% 4.2–6.5% 4.0–6.7% 3.6–7.2%
Sociální demokracie (S&D) 0.0% 2.5% 2.0–3.3% 1.9–3.5% 1.7–3.7% 1.5–4.1%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
ANO 2011 (PfE) 0 9 8–10 8–10 8–10 8–10
Starostové a nezávislí (EPP) 0 3 3–4 3–4 3–4 2–4
Česká pirátská strana (Greens/EFA) 0 2 2 1–2 1–2 1–3
Občanská demokratická strana (ECR) 0 2 1–2 1–2 1–2 1–3
Svoboda a přímá demokracie (ESN) 0 2 1–2 1–2 1–2 1–2
Motoristé sobě (PfE) 0 1 0–2 0–2 0–2 0–2
Stačilo! (GUE/NGL) 0 1 0–1 0–1 0–2 0–2
TOP 09 (EPP) 0 1 0–1 0–1 0–1 0–2
Křesťanská a demokratická unie–Československá strana lidová (EPP) 0 1 0–1 0–1 0–1 0–2
Sociální demokracie (S&D) 0 0 0 0 0 0

ANO 2011 (PfE)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the ANO 2011 (PfE) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 0% 100%  
3 0% 100%  
4 0% 100%  
5 0% 100%  
6 0% 100%  
7 0.3% 100%  
8 17% 99.7%  
9 66% 83% Median
10 17% 18%  
11 0.3% 0.3% Majority
12 0% 0%  

Starostové a nezávislí (EPP)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Starostové a nezávislí (EPP) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 0.7% 100%  
3 75% 99.3% Median
4 25% 25%  
5 0% 0%  

Česká pirátská strana (Greens/EFA)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Česká pirátská strana (Greens/EFA) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 8% 100%  
2 91% 92% Median
3 1.0% 1.0%  
4 0% 0%  

Občanská demokratická strana (ECR)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Občanská demokratická strana (ECR) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 13% 100%  
2 86% 87% Median
3 1.0% 1.0%  
4 0% 0%  

Svoboda a přímá demokracie (ESN)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Svoboda a přímá demokracie (ESN) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 24% 100%  
2 76% 76% Median
3 0.2% 0.2%  
4 0% 0%  

Motoristé sobě (PfE)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Motoristé sobě (PfE) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 12% 100% Last Result
1 73% 88% Median
2 15% 15%  
3 0% 0%  

Stačilo! (GUE/NGL)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Stačilo! (GUE/NGL) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 22% 100% Last Result
1 74% 78% Median
2 3% 3%  
3 0% 0%  

TOP 09 (EPP)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the TOP 09 (EPP) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 30% 100% Last Result
1 67% 70% Median
2 2% 2%  
3 0% 0%  

Křesťanská a demokratická unie–Československá strana lidová (EPP)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Křesťanská a demokratická unie–Československá strana lidová (EPP) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 41% 100% Last Result
1 58% 59% Median
2 1.1% 1.1%  
3 0% 0%  

Sociální demokracie (S&D)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Sociální demokracie (S&D) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Coalitions

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Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Starostové a nezávislí (EPP) – TOP 09 (EPP) – Křesťanská a demokratická unie–Československá strana lidová (EPP) 0 5 0% 4–5 3–6 3–6 3–6
Stačilo! (GUE/NGL) 0 1 0% 0–1 0–1 0–2 0–2
Sociální demokracie (S&D) 0 0 0% 0 0 0 0

Starostové a nezávislí (EPP) – TOP 09 (EPP) – Křesťanská a demokratická unie–Československá strana lidová (EPP)

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 0% 100%  
3 8% 100%  
4 35% 92%  
5 52% 58% Median
6 6% 6%  
7 0.1% 0.1%  
8 0% 0%  

Stačilo! (GUE/NGL)

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 22% 100% Last Result
1 74% 78% Median
2 3% 3%  
3 0% 0%  

Sociální demokracie (S&D)

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations