Opinion Poll by Kantar for ČT24, 17 March–4 April 2025

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
ANO 2011 (PfE) 0.0% 35.5% 33.6–37.4% 33.1–38.0% 32.6–38.4% 31.7–39.4%
Starostové a nezávislí (EPP) 0.0% 12.0% 10.8–13.4% 10.4–13.8% 10.1–14.1% 9.6–14.8%
Občanská demokratická strana (ECR) 0.0% 8.2% 7.2–9.4% 6.9–9.8% 6.7–10.1% 6.2–10.7%
Svoboda a přímá demokracie (ESN) 0.0% 7.0% 6.0–8.1% 5.8–8.4% 5.6–8.7% 5.2–9.3%
Motoristé sobě (PfE) 0.0% 6.5% 5.6–7.6% 5.3–7.9% 5.1–8.2% 4.7–8.7%
Česká pirátská strana (Greens/EFA) 0.0% 6.0% 5.1–7.1% 4.9–7.3% 4.7–7.6% 4.3–8.2%
TOP 09 (EPP) 0.0% 5.5% 4.7–6.5% 4.5–6.8% 4.3–7.1% 3.9–7.6%
Křesťanská a demokratická unie–Československá strana lidová (EPP) 0.0% 5.3% 4.5–6.3% 4.3–6.6% 4.1–6.9% 3.7–7.4%
Stačilo! (GUE/NGL) 0.0% 4.5% 3.8–5.5% 3.6–5.8% 3.4–6.0% 3.1–6.5%
Přísaha (PfE) 0.0% 2.0% 1.6–2.7% 1.4–2.9% 1.3–3.1% 1.1–3.4%
Strana zelených (Greens/EFA) 0.0% 2.0% 1.6–2.7% 1.4–2.9% 1.3–3.1% 1.1–3.4%
Sociální demokracie (S&D) 0.0% 2.0% 1.6–2.7% 1.4–2.9% 1.3–3.1% 1.1–3.4%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
ANO 2011 (PfE) 0 10 9–11 9–11 9–11 9–12
Starostové a nezávislí (EPP) 0 3 3 3–4 3–4 2–4
Občanská demokratická strana (ECR) 0 2 2 2–3 1–3 1–3
Svoboda a přímá demokracie (ESN) 0 2 1–2 1–2 1–2 1–2
Motoristé sobě (PfE) 0 1 1–2 1–2 1–2 0–2
Česká pirátská strana (Greens/EFA) 0 1 1–2 0–2 0–2 0–2
TOP 09 (EPP) 0 1 0–1 0–1 0–2 0–2
Křesťanská a demokratická unie–Československá strana lidová (EPP) 0 1 0–1 0–1 0–2 0–2
Stačilo! (GUE/NGL) 0 0 0–1 0–1 0–1 0–1
Přísaha (PfE) 0 0 0 0 0 0
Strana zelených (Greens/EFA) 0 0 0 0 0 0
Sociální demokracie (S&D) 0 0 0 0 0 0

ANO 2011 (PfE)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the ANO 2011 (PfE) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 0% 100%  
3 0% 100%  
4 0% 100%  
5 0% 100%  
6 0% 100%  
7 0% 100%  
8 0.2% 100%  
9 26% 99.8%  
10 63% 74% Median
11 10% 11% Majority
12 1.3% 1.3%  
13 0% 0%  

Starostové a nezávislí (EPP)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Starostové a nezávislí (EPP) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 2% 100%  
3 88% 98% Median
4 9% 9%  
5 0% 0%  

Občanská demokratická strana (ECR)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Občanská demokratická strana (ECR) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 3% 100%  
2 90% 97% Median
3 7% 7%  
4 0% 0%  

Svoboda a přímá demokracie (ESN)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Svoboda a přímá demokracie (ESN) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0.1% 100% Last Result
1 35% 99.9%  
2 65% 65% Median
3 0% 0%  

Motoristé sobě (PfE)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Motoristé sobě (PfE) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0.7% 100% Last Result
1 60% 99.3% Median
2 40% 40%  
3 0% 0%  

Česká pirátská strana (Greens/EFA)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Česká pirátská strana (Greens/EFA) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 8% 100% Last Result
1 65% 92% Median
2 27% 27%  
3 0% 0%  

TOP 09 (EPP)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the TOP 09 (EPP) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 21% 100% Last Result
1 75% 79% Median
2 4% 4%  
3 0% 0%  

Křesťanská a demokratická unie–Československá strana lidová (EPP)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Křesťanská a demokratická unie–Československá strana lidová (EPP) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 23% 100% Last Result
1 75% 77% Median
2 3% 3%  
3 0% 0%  

Stačilo! (GUE/NGL)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Stačilo! (GUE/NGL) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 82% 100% Last Result, Median
1 18% 18%  
2 0.1% 0.1%  
3 0% 0%  

Přísaha (PfE)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Přísaha (PfE) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Strana zelených (Greens/EFA)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Strana zelených (Greens/EFA) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Sociální demokracie (S&D)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Sociální demokracie (S&D) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Coalitions

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Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
ANO 2011 (PfE) – Motoristé sobě (PfE) – Přísaha (PfE) 0 11 89% 10–12 10–13 10–13 10–13
Starostové a nezávislí (EPP) – TOP 09 (EPP) – Křesťanská a demokratická unie–Československá strana lidová (EPP) 0 5 0% 4–5 3–6 3–6 3–6
Stačilo! (GUE/NGL) 0 0 0% 0–1 0–1 0–1 0–1
Sociální demokracie (S&D) 0 0 0% 0 0 0 0

ANO 2011 (PfE) – Motoristé sobě (PfE) – Přísaha (PfE)

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 0% 100%  
3 0% 100%  
4 0% 100%  
5 0% 100%  
6 0% 100%  
7 0% 100%  
8 0% 100%  
9 0.1% 100%  
10 11% 99.9%  
11 59% 89% Median, Majority
12 24% 30%  
13 6% 6%  
14 0.3% 0.3%  
15 0% 0%  

Starostové a nezávislí (EPP) – TOP 09 (EPP) – Křesťanská a demokratická unie–Československá strana lidová (EPP)

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 0% 100%  
3 7% 100%  
4 22% 93%  
5 65% 71% Median
6 6% 6%  
7 0.1% 0.1%  
8 0% 0%  

Stačilo! (GUE/NGL)

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 82% 100% Last Result, Median
1 18% 18%  
2 0.1% 0.1%  
3 0% 0%  

Sociální demokracie (S&D)

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations