Opinion Poll by STEM for CNN Prima News, 24 March–15 April 2025

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
ANO 2011 (PfE) 0.0% 33.0% 31.7–34.3% 31.3–34.7% 31.0–35.0% 30.4–35.7%
Starostové a nezávislí (EPP) 0.0% 11.1% 10.2–12.0% 10.0–12.3% 9.8–12.5% 9.4–13.0%
Svoboda a přímá demokracie (ESN) 0.0% 11.1% 10.2–12.0% 10.0–12.3% 9.8–12.5% 9.4–13.0%
Občanská demokratická strana (ECR) 0.0% 8.5% 7.8–9.3% 7.6–9.6% 7.4–9.8% 7.0–10.2%
Česká pirátská strana (Greens/EFA) 0.0% 6.5% 5.9–7.3% 5.7–7.5% 5.5–7.7% 5.2–8.0%
TOP 09 (EPP) 0.0% 5.8% 5.2–6.5% 5.0–6.7% 4.8–6.8% 4.6–7.2%
Křesťanská a demokratická unie–Československá strana lidová (EPP) 0.0% 5.6% 5.0–6.3% 4.8–6.5% 4.7–6.6% 4.4–7.0%
Stačilo! (GUE/NGL) 0.0% 5.2% 4.6–5.9% 4.5–6.1% 4.3–6.2% 4.1–6.6%
Motoristé sobě (PfE) 0.0% 5.0% 4.4–5.7% 4.3–5.9% 4.1–6.0% 3.9–6.4%
Sociální demokracie (S&D) 0.0% 3.4% 3.0–4.0% 2.8–4.2% 2.7–4.3% 2.5–4.6%
Přísaha (PfE) 0.0% 2.5% 2.1–3.0% 2.0–3.2% 1.9–3.3% 1.8–3.6%
Strana zelených (Greens/EFA) 0.0% 2.0% 1.6–2.5% 1.6–2.6% 1.5–2.7% 1.3–2.9%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
ANO 2011 (PfE) 0 9 8–10 8–10 8–10 8–10
Starostové a nezávislí (EPP) 0 3 3 2–3 2–3 2–4
Svoboda a přímá demokracie (ESN) 0 3 3 2–3 2–3 2–3
Občanská demokratická strana (ECR) 0 2 2 2 2 2
Česká pirátská strana (Greens/EFA) 0 1 1–2 1–2 1–2 1–2
TOP 09 (EPP) 0 1 1 1 0–1 0–2
Křesťanská a demokratická unie–Československá strana lidová (EPP) 0 1 1 0–1 0–1 0–1
Stačilo! (GUE/NGL) 0 1 0–1 0–1 0–1 0–1
Motoristé sobě (PfE) 0 0 0–1 0–1 0–1 0–1
Sociální demokracie (S&D) 0 0 0 0 0 0
Přísaha (PfE) 0 0 0 0 0 0
Strana zelených (Greens/EFA) 0 0 0 0 0 0

ANO 2011 (PfE)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the ANO 2011 (PfE) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 0% 100%  
3 0% 100%  
4 0% 100%  
5 0% 100%  
6 0% 100%  
7 0% 100%  
8 10% 100%  
9 78% 90% Median
10 11% 12%  
11 0% 0% Majority

Starostové a nezávislí (EPP)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Starostové a nezávislí (EPP) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 8% 100%  
3 91% 92% Median
4 0.6% 0.6%  
5 0% 0%  

Svoboda a přímá demokracie (ESN)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Svoboda a přímá demokracie (ESN) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 9% 100%  
3 91% 91% Median
4 0.1% 0.1%  
5 0% 0%  

Občanská demokratická strana (ECR)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Občanská demokratická strana (ECR) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0.1% 100%  
2 99.5% 99.9% Median
3 0.4% 0.4%  
4 0% 0%  

Česká pirátská strana (Greens/EFA)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Česká pirátská strana (Greens/EFA) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 83% 100% Median
2 17% 17%  
3 0% 0%  

TOP 09 (EPP)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the TOP 09 (EPP) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 4% 100% Last Result
1 96% 96% Median
2 0.7% 0.7%  
3 0% 0%  

Křesťanská a demokratická unie–Československá strana lidová (EPP)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Křesťanská a demokratická unie–Československá strana lidová (EPP) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 7% 100% Last Result
1 92% 93% Median
2 0.2% 0.2%  
3 0% 0%  

Stačilo! (GUE/NGL)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Stačilo! (GUE/NGL) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 16% 100% Last Result
1 84% 84% Median
2 0.1% 0.1%  
3 0% 0%  

Motoristé sobě (PfE)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Motoristé sobě (PfE) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 76% 100% Last Result, Median
1 24% 24%  
2 0% 0%  

Sociální demokracie (S&D)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Sociální demokracie (S&D) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Přísaha (PfE)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Přísaha (PfE) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Strana zelených (Greens/EFA)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Strana zelených (Greens/EFA) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Coalitions

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Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
ANO 2011 (PfE) – Motoristé sobě (PfE) – Přísaha (PfE) 0 9 4% 9–10 8–10 8–11 8–11
Starostové a nezávislí (EPP) – TOP 09 (EPP) – Křesťanská a demokratická unie–Československá strana lidová (EPP) 0 5 0% 4–5 4–5 4–5 3–5
Stačilo! (GUE/NGL) 0 1 0% 0–1 0–1 0–1 0–1
Sociální demokracie (S&D) 0 0 0% 0 0 0 0

ANO 2011 (PfE) – Motoristé sobě (PfE) – Přísaha (PfE)

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 0% 100%  
3 0% 100%  
4 0% 100%  
5 0% 100%  
6 0% 100%  
7 0% 100%  
8 6% 100%  
9 66% 94% Median
10 24% 28%  
11 4% 4% Majority
12 0% 0%  

Starostové a nezávislí (EPP) – TOP 09 (EPP) – Křesťanská a demokratická unie–Československá strana lidová (EPP)

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 0% 100%  
3 1.1% 100%  
4 16% 98.9%  
5 83% 83% Median
6 0.4% 0.4%  
7 0% 0%  

Stačilo! (GUE/NGL)

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 16% 100% Last Result
1 84% 84% Median
2 0.1% 0.1%  
3 0% 0%  

Sociální demokracie (S&D)

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations