Opinion Poll by STEM for CNN Prima News, 4–22 April 2025

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
ANO 2011 (PfE) 0.0% 32.2% 30.7–33.7% 30.3–34.2% 29.9–34.6% 29.2–35.3%
Svoboda a přímá demokracie (ESN) 0.0% 11.6% 10.6–12.7% 10.3–13.0% 10.1–13.3% 9.7–13.8%
Starostové a nezávislí (EPP) 0.0% 10.1% 9.2–11.1% 8.9–11.4% 8.7–11.7% 8.3–12.2%
Občanská demokratická strana (ECR) 0.0% 8.4% 7.6–9.4% 7.3–9.6% 7.1–9.9% 6.8–10.3%
Česká pirátská strana (Greens/EFA) 0.0% 5.9% 5.2–6.7% 5.0–7.0% 4.8–7.2% 4.5–7.6%
Stačilo! (GUE/NGL) 0.0% 5.8% 5.1–6.7% 4.9–6.9% 4.8–7.1% 4.5–7.5%
TOP 09 (EPP) 0.0% 5.6% 5.0–6.5% 4.8–6.7% 4.6–6.9% 4.3–7.3%
Křesťanská a demokratická unie–Československá strana lidová (EPP) 0.0% 5.5% 4.8–6.2% 4.6–6.5% 4.4–6.7% 4.1–7.1%
Motoristé sobě (PfE) 0.0% 5.4% 4.7–6.2% 4.5–6.4% 4.4–6.6% 4.1–7.0%
Sociální demokracie (S&D) 0.0% 3.8% 3.3–4.5% 3.1–4.7% 3.0–4.9% 2.7–5.2%
Přísaha (PfE) 0.0% 2.6% 2.1–3.2% 2.0–3.3% 1.9–3.5% 1.7–3.8%
Strana zelených (Greens/EFA) 0.0% 2.4% 2.0–3.0% 1.8–3.1% 1.7–3.3% 1.6–3.6%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
ANO 2011 (PfE) 0 9 9–10 8–10 8–11 8–11
Svoboda a přímá demokracie (ESN) 0 3 3 3 3 2–4
Starostové a nezávislí (EPP) 0 2 2–3 2–3 2–3 2–3
Občanská demokratická strana (ECR) 0 2 2 2 2–3 1–3
Česká pirátská strana (Greens/EFA) 0 1 1 1–2 0–2 0–2
Stačilo! (GUE/NGL) 0 1 0–1 0–1 0–2 0–2
TOP 09 (EPP) 0 1 1 0–1 0–1 0–2
Křesťanská a demokratická unie–Československá strana lidová (EPP) 0 1 0–1 0–1 0–1 0–2
Motoristé sobě (PfE) 0 1 0–1 0–1 0–1 0–2
Sociální demokracie (S&D) 0 0 0 0 0 0–1
Přísaha (PfE) 0 0 0 0 0 0
Strana zelených (Greens/EFA) 0 0 0 0 0 0

ANO 2011 (PfE)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the ANO 2011 (PfE) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 0% 100%  
3 0% 100%  
4 0% 100%  
5 0% 100%  
6 0% 100%  
7 0% 100%  
8 8% 100%  
9 72% 92% Median
10 18% 21%  
11 3% 3% Majority
12 0% 0%  

Svoboda a přímá demokracie (ESN)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Svoboda a přímá demokracie (ESN) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 2% 100%  
3 96% 98% Median
4 2% 2%  
5 0% 0%  

Starostové a nezávislí (EPP)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Starostové a nezávislí (EPP) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 55% 100% Median
3 45% 45%  
4 0% 0%  

Občanská demokratická strana (ECR)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Občanská demokratická strana (ECR) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 1.2% 100%  
2 96% 98.8% Median
3 3% 3%  
4 0% 0%  

Česká pirátská strana (Greens/EFA)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Česká pirátská strana (Greens/EFA) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 5% 100% Last Result
1 88% 95% Median
2 8% 8%  
3 0% 0%  

Stačilo! (GUE/NGL)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Stačilo! (GUE/NGL) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 19% 100% Last Result
1 77% 81% Median
2 4% 4%  
3 0% 0%  

TOP 09 (EPP)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the TOP 09 (EPP) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 9% 100% Last Result
1 90% 91% Median
2 1.0% 1.0%  
3 0% 0%  

Křesťanská a demokratická unie–Československá strana lidová (EPP)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Křesťanská a demokratická unie–Československá strana lidová (EPP) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 18% 100% Last Result
1 81% 82% Median
2 1.2% 1.2%  
3 0% 0%  

Motoristé sobě (PfE)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Motoristé sobě (PfE) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 28% 100% Last Result
1 71% 72% Median
2 1.0% 1.0%  
3 0% 0%  

Sociální demokracie (S&D)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Sociální demokracie (S&D) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 99.1% 100% Last Result, Median
1 0.9% 0.9%  
2 0% 0%  

Přísaha (PfE)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Přísaha (PfE) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Strana zelených (Greens/EFA)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Strana zelených (Greens/EFA) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Coalitions

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Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
ANO 2011 (PfE) – Motoristé sobě (PfE) – Přísaha (PfE) 0 10 5% 9–10 9–11 9–11 9–11
Starostové a nezávislí (EPP) – TOP 09 (EPP) – Křesťanská a demokratická unie–Československá strana lidová (EPP) 0 4 0% 4–5 3–5 3–5 3–5
Stačilo! (GUE/NGL) 0 1 0% 0–1 0–1 0–2 0–2
Sociální demokracie (S&D) 0 0 0% 0 0 0 0–1

ANO 2011 (PfE) – Motoristé sobě (PfE) – Přísaha (PfE)

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 0% 100%  
3 0% 100%  
4 0% 100%  
5 0% 100%  
6 0% 100%  
7 0% 100%  
8 0.4% 100%  
9 16% 99.6%  
10 78% 83% Median
11 5% 5% Majority
12 0.4% 0.4%  
13 0% 0%  

Starostové a nezávislí (EPP) – TOP 09 (EPP) – Křesťanská a demokratická unie–Československá strana lidová (EPP)

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 0.4% 100%  
3 6% 99.6%  
4 67% 94% Median
5 26% 27%  
6 0.5% 0.5%  
7 0% 0%  

Stačilo! (GUE/NGL)

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 19% 100% Last Result
1 77% 81% Median
2 4% 4%  
3 0% 0%  

Sociální demokracie (S&D)

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 99.1% 100% Last Result, Median
1 0.9% 0.9%  
2 0% 0%  

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations