Opinion Poll by STEM for CNN Prima News, 11–29 April 2025

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
ANO 2011 (PfE) 0.0% 31.5% 30.0–33.0% 29.6–33.4% 29.2–33.8% 28.5–34.6%
Svoboda a přímá demokracie (ESN) 0.0% 12.6% 11.6–13.7% 11.3–14.0% 11.0–14.3% 10.6–14.9%
Starostové a nezávislí (EPP) 0.0% 9.7% 8.8–10.7% 8.5–11.0% 8.3–11.2% 7.9–11.7%
Občanská demokratická strana (ECR) 0.0% 8.5% 7.7–9.5% 7.5–9.8% 7.3–10.0% 6.9–10.5%
Česká pirátská strana (Greens/EFA) 0.0% 6.3% 5.6–7.2% 5.4–7.4% 5.2–7.6% 4.9–8.1%
Stačilo! (GUE/NGL) 0.0% 6.3% 5.6–7.2% 5.4–7.4% 5.2–7.6% 4.9–8.1%
TOP 09 (EPP) 0.0% 5.8% 5.1–6.6% 4.9–6.8% 4.7–7.0% 4.4–7.4%
Křesťanská a demokratická unie–Československá strana lidová (EPP) 0.0% 5.6% 4.9–6.4% 4.7–6.6% 4.5–6.8% 4.2–7.2%
Motoristé sobě (PfE) 0.0% 4.8% 4.2–5.6% 4.0–5.8% 3.9–6.0% 3.6–6.4%
Sociální demokracie (S&D) 0.0% 3.4% 2.9–4.1% 2.7–4.3% 2.6–4.4% 2.4–4.8%
Přísaha (PfE) 0.0% 2.5% 2.1–3.1% 2.0–3.3% 1.9–3.4% 1.7–3.7%
Strana zelených (Greens/EFA) 0.0% 2.0% 1.6–2.6% 1.5–2.7% 1.4–2.9% 1.3–3.1%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
ANO 2011 (PfE) 0 9 8–9 8–10 8–10 8–10
Svoboda a přímá demokracie (ESN) 0 3 3–4 3–4 3–4 3–4
Starostové a nezávislí (EPP) 0 2 2–3 2–3 2–3 2–3
Občanská demokratická strana (ECR) 0 2 2–3 2–3 2–3 1–3
Česká pirátská strana (Greens/EFA) 0 1 1–2 1–2 1–2 0–2
Stačilo! (GUE/NGL) 0 1 1–2 1–2 1–2 0–2
TOP 09 (EPP) 0 1 1–2 0–2 0–2 0–2
Křesťanská a demokratická unie–Československá strana lidová (EPP) 0 1 0–1 0–1 0–2 0–2
Motoristé sobě (PfE) 0 0 0–1 0–1 0–1 0–1
Sociální demokracie (S&D) 0 0 0 0 0 0
Přísaha (PfE) 0 0 0 0 0 0
Strana zelených (Greens/EFA) 0 0 0 0 0 0

ANO 2011 (PfE)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the ANO 2011 (PfE) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 0% 100%  
3 0% 100%  
4 0% 100%  
5 0% 100%  
6 0% 100%  
7 0.1% 100%  
8 39% 99.9%  
9 55% 61% Median
10 6% 6%  
11 0% 0% Majority

Svoboda a přímá demokracie (ESN)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Svoboda a přímá demokracie (ESN) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 0.5% 100%  
3 71% 99.5% Median
4 28% 28%  
5 0% 0%  

Starostové a nezávislí (EPP)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Starostové a nezávislí (EPP) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 73% 100% Median
3 27% 27%  
4 0% 0%  

Občanská demokratická strana (ECR)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Občanská demokratická strana (ECR) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0.5% 100%  
2 78% 99.5% Median
3 22% 22%  
4 0% 0%  

Česká pirátská strana (Greens/EFA)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Česká pirátská strana (Greens/EFA) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 1.0% 100% Last Result
1 83% 99.0% Median
2 16% 16%  
3 0% 0%  

Stačilo! (GUE/NGL)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Stačilo! (GUE/NGL) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0.6% 100% Last Result
1 70% 99.4% Median
2 29% 29%  
3 0% 0%  

TOP 09 (EPP)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the TOP 09 (EPP) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 8% 100% Last Result
1 79% 92% Median
2 12% 12%  
3 0% 0%  

Křesťanská a demokratická unie–Československá strana lidová (EPP)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Křesťanská a demokratická unie–Československá strana lidová (EPP) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 13% 100% Last Result
1 84% 87% Median
2 3% 3%  
3 0% 0%  

Motoristé sobě (PfE)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Motoristé sobě (PfE) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 80% 100% Last Result, Median
1 20% 20%  
2 0.1% 0.1%  
3 0% 0%  

Sociální demokracie (S&D)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Sociální demokracie (S&D) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 99.8% 100% Last Result, Median
1 0.2% 0.2%  
2 0% 0%  

Přísaha (PfE)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Přísaha (PfE) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Strana zelených (Greens/EFA)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Strana zelených (Greens/EFA) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Coalitions

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Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
ANO 2011 (PfE) – Motoristé sobě (PfE) – Přísaha (PfE) 0 9 0.4% 8–10 8–10 8–10 8–10
Starostové a nezávislí (EPP) – TOP 09 (EPP) – Křesťanská a demokratická unie–Československá strana lidová (EPP) 0 4 0% 4–5 3–5 3–5 3–6
Stačilo! (GUE/NGL) 0 1 0% 1–2 1–2 1–2 0–2
Sociální demokracie (S&D) 0 0 0% 0 0 0 0

ANO 2011 (PfE) – Motoristé sobě (PfE) – Přísaha (PfE)

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 0% 100%  
3 0% 100%  
4 0% 100%  
5 0% 100%  
6 0% 100%  
7 0% 100%  
8 27% 100%  
9 58% 73% Median
10 14% 14%  
11 0.4% 0.4% Majority
12 0% 0%  

Starostové a nezávislí (EPP) – TOP 09 (EPP) – Křesťanská a demokratická unie–Československá strana lidová (EPP)

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 0.1% 100%  
3 9% 99.9%  
4 62% 91% Median
5 28% 29%  
6 0.9% 0.9%  
7 0% 0%  

Stačilo! (GUE/NGL)

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0.6% 100% Last Result
1 70% 99.4% Median
2 29% 29%  
3 0% 0%  

Sociální demokracie (S&D)

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 99.8% 100% Last Result, Median
1 0.2% 0.2%  
2 0% 0%  

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations