Opinion Poll by Ipsos, 28 April–4 May 2025
Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information
Voting Intentions
Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Poll Result | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ANO 2011 (PfE) | 0.0% | 34.4% | 32.5–36.3% | 32.0–36.8% | 31.5–37.3% | 30.7–38.2% |
| Svoboda a přímá demokracie (ESN) | 0.0% | 10.4% | 9.3–11.7% | 9.0–12.1% | 8.7–12.4% | 8.2–13.1% |
| Starostové a nezávislí (EPP) | 0.0% | 9.8% | 8.7–11.0% | 8.4–11.4% | 8.1–11.7% | 7.6–12.4% |
| Občanská demokratická strana (ECR) | 0.0% | 9.4% | 8.3–10.6% | 8.0–11.0% | 7.8–11.3% | 7.3–11.9% |
| TOP 09 (EPP) | 0.0% | 6.3% | 5.4–7.4% | 5.2–7.7% | 5.0–8.0% | 4.6–8.5% |
| Česká pirátská strana (Greens/EFA) | 0.0% | 6.1% | 5.3–7.2% | 5.0–7.5% | 4.8–7.8% | 4.4–8.3% |
| Křesťanská a demokratická unie–Československá strana lidová (EPP) | 0.0% | 6.0% | 5.2–7.1% | 4.9–7.4% | 4.7–7.7% | 4.4–8.2% |
| Stačilo! (GUE/NGL) | 0.0% | 5.8% | 5.0–6.9% | 4.8–7.2% | 4.6–7.4% | 4.2–8.0% |
| Motoristé sobě (PfE) | 0.0% | 4.5% | 3.8–5.4% | 3.6–5.7% | 3.4–5.9% | 3.1–6.4% |
| Přísaha (PfE) | 0.0% | 2.4% | 1.9–3.1% | 1.7–3.3% | 1.6–3.5% | 1.4–3.9% |
| Strana zelených (Greens/EFA) | 0.0% | 2.1% | 1.6–2.8% | 1.5–3.0% | 1.4–3.2% | 1.2–3.5% |
| Sociální demokracie (S&D) | 0.0% | 1.8% | 1.4–2.5% | 1.3–2.7% | 1.2–2.8% | 1.0–3.2% |
Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.
Seats
Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ANO 2011 (PfE) | 0 | 10 | 9–10 | 9–10 | 8–10 | 8–11 |
| Svoboda a přímá demokracie (ESN) | 0 | 2 | 2–3 | 2–3 | 2–3 | 2–3 |
| Starostové a nezávislí (EPP) | 0 | 2 | 2–3 | 2–3 | 2–3 | 2–3 |
| Občanská demokratická strana (ECR) | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2–3 | 2–3 | 2–3 |
| TOP 09 (EPP) | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 0–2 |
| Česká pirátská strana (Greens/EFA) | 0 | 2 | 1–2 | 0–2 | 0–2 | 0–2 |
| Křesťanská a demokratická unie–Československá strana lidová (EPP) | 0 | 1 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 0–2 |
| Stačilo! (GUE/NGL) | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0–2 | 0–2 |
| Motoristé sobě (PfE) | 0 | 0 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 |
| Přísaha (PfE) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Strana zelených (Greens/EFA) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Sociální demokracie (S&D) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
ANO 2011 (PfE)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the ANO 2011 (PfE) page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 0% | 100% | |
| 2 | 0% | 100% | |
| 3 | 0% | 100% | |
| 4 | 0% | 100% | |
| 5 | 0% | 100% | |
| 6 | 0% | 100% | |
| 7 | 0% | 100% | |
| 8 | 3% | 100% | |
| 9 | 22% | 97% | |
| 10 | 74% | 75% | Median |
| 11 | 0.7% | 0.7% | Majority |
| 12 | 0% | 0% |
Svoboda a přímá demokracie (ESN)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Svoboda a přímá demokracie (ESN) page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 0% | 100% | |
| 2 | 83% | 100% | Median |
| 3 | 17% | 17% | |
| 4 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 5 | 0% | 0% |
Starostové a nezávislí (EPP)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Starostové a nezávislí (EPP) page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 0% | 100% | |
| 2 | 85% | 100% | Median |
| 3 | 15% | 15% | |
| 4 | 0% | 0% |
Občanská demokratická strana (ECR)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Občanská demokratická strana (ECR) page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 0% | 100% | |
| 2 | 94% | 100% | Median |
| 3 | 6% | 6% | |
| 4 | 0% | 0% |
TOP 09 (EPP)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the TOP 09 (EPP) page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0.7% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 90% | 99.3% | Median |
| 2 | 9% | 9% | |
| 3 | 0% | 0% |
Česká pirátská strana (Greens/EFA)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Česká pirátská strana (Greens/EFA) page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 5% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 33% | 95% | |
| 2 | 62% | 62% | Median |
| 3 | 0% | 0% |
Křesťanská a demokratická unie–Československá strana lidová (EPP)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Křesťanská a demokratická unie–Československá strana lidová (EPP) page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 2% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 86% | 98% | Median |
| 2 | 13% | 13% | |
| 3 | 0% | 0% |
Stačilo! (GUE/NGL)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Stačilo! (GUE/NGL) page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 4% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 91% | 96% | Median |
| 2 | 4% | 4% | |
| 3 | 0% | 0% |
Motoristé sobě (PfE)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Motoristé sobě (PfE) page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 87% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
| 1 | 13% | 13% | |
| 2 | 0% | 0% |
Přísaha (PfE)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Přísaha (PfE) page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 100% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
Strana zelených (Greens/EFA)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Strana zelených (Greens/EFA) page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 100% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
Sociální demokracie (S&D)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Sociální demokracie (S&D) page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 100% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
Coalitions
Confidence Intervals
| Coalition | Last Result | Median | Majority? | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ANO 2011 (PfE) – Motoristé sobě (PfE) – Přísaha (PfE) | 0 | 10 | 2% | 9–10 | 9–10 | 9–10 | 8–11 |
| Starostové a nezávislí (EPP) – TOP 09 (EPP) – Křesťanská a demokratická unie–Československá strana lidová (EPP) | 0 | 4 | 0% | 4–5 | 4–5 | 4–5 | 3–6 |
| Stačilo! (GUE/NGL) | 0 | 1 | 0% | 1 | 1 | 0–2 | 0–2 |
| Sociální demokracie (S&D) | 0 | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
ANO 2011 (PfE) – Motoristé sobě (PfE) – Přísaha (PfE)
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 0% | 100% | |
| 2 | 0% | 100% | |
| 3 | 0% | 100% | |
| 4 | 0% | 100% | |
| 5 | 0% | 100% | |
| 6 | 0% | 100% | |
| 7 | 0% | 100% | |
| 8 | 2% | 100% | |
| 9 | 12% | 98% | |
| 10 | 84% | 86% | Median |
| 11 | 2% | 2% | Majority |
| 12 | 0% | 0% |
Starostové a nezávislí (EPP) – TOP 09 (EPP) – Křesťanská a demokratická unie–Československá strana lidová (EPP)
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 0% | 100% | |
| 2 | 0% | 100% | |
| 3 | 0.5% | 100% | |
| 4 | 66% | 99.5% | Median |
| 5 | 31% | 33% | |
| 6 | 2% | 2% | |
| 7 | 0% | 0% |
Stačilo! (GUE/NGL)
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 4% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 91% | 96% | Median |
| 2 | 4% | 4% | |
| 3 | 0% | 0% |
Sociální demokracie (S&D)
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 100% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
Technical Information
Opinion Poll
- Polling firm: Ipsos
- Commissioner(s): —
- Fieldwork period: 28 April–4 May 2025
Calculations
- Sample size: 1045
- Simulations done: 2,097,152
- Error estimate: 1.77%