Opinion Poll by STEM for CNN Prima News, 18 April–6 May 2025

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
ANO 2011 (PfE) 0.0% 30.7% 29.2–32.2% 28.8–32.6% 28.4–33.0% 27.7–33.7%
Svoboda a přímá demokracie (ESN) 0.0% 12.6% 11.6–13.8% 11.3–14.1% 11.1–14.4% 10.6–14.9%
Starostové a nezávislí (EPP) 0.0% 10.0% 9.1–11.1% 8.8–11.4% 8.6–11.6% 8.2–12.1%
Občanská demokratická strana (ECR) 0.0% 8.7% 7.8–9.7% 7.6–9.9% 7.4–10.2% 7.0–10.7%
Česká pirátská strana (Greens/EFA) 0.0% 6.6% 5.8–7.5% 5.6–7.7% 5.4–7.9% 5.1–8.4%
Stačilo! (GUE/NGL) 0.0% 6.5% 5.8–7.4% 5.6–7.6% 5.4–7.8% 5.0–8.3%
TOP 09 (EPP) 0.0% 5.9% 5.2–6.7% 5.0–6.9% 4.8–7.1% 4.5–7.6%
Křesťanská a demokratická unie–Československá strana lidová (EPP) 0.0% 5.7% 5.0–6.5% 4.8–6.7% 4.6–6.9% 4.3–7.4%
Motoristé sobě (PfE) 0.0% 4.5% 3.9–5.3% 3.7–5.5% 3.6–5.7% 3.3–6.1%
Sociální demokracie (S&D) 0.0% 3.5% 3.0–4.2% 2.8–4.4% 2.7–4.5% 2.5–4.9%
Strana zelených (Greens/EFA) 0.0% 2.5% 2.0–3.1% 1.9–3.2% 1.8–3.4% 1.6–3.7%
Přísaha (PfE) 0.0% 2.0% 1.6–2.5% 1.5–2.7% 1.4–2.8% 1.2–3.1%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
ANO 2011 (PfE) 0 8 8–9 8–9 8–9 7–9
Svoboda a přímá demokracie (ESN) 0 3 3–4 3–4 3–4 3–4
Starostové a nezávislí (EPP) 0 2 2–3 2–3 2–3 2–3
Občanská demokratická strana (ECR) 0 2 2 2–3 2–3 2–3
Česká pirátská strana (Greens/EFA) 0 1 1–2 1–2 1–2 1–2
Stačilo! (GUE/NGL) 0 1 1–2 1–2 1–2 1–2
TOP 09 (EPP) 0 1 1–2 1–2 1–2 0–2
Křesťanská a demokratická unie–Československá strana lidová (EPP) 0 1 1 1 0–2 0–2
Motoristé sobě (PfE) 0 0 0–1 0–1 0–1 0–1
Sociální demokracie (S&D) 0 0 0 0 0 0
Strana zelených (Greens/EFA) 0 0 0 0 0 0
Přísaha (PfE) 0 0 0 0 0 0

ANO 2011 (PfE)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the ANO 2011 (PfE) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 0% 100%  
3 0% 100%  
4 0% 100%  
5 0% 100%  
6 0% 100%  
7 0.6% 100%  
8 72% 99.4% Median
9 27% 27%  
10 0.4% 0.4%  
11 0% 0% Majority

Svoboda a přímá demokracie (ESN)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Svoboda a přímá demokracie (ESN) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 0.2% 100%  
3 87% 99.8% Median
4 13% 13%  
5 0% 0%  

Starostové a nezávislí (EPP)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Starostové a nezávislí (EPP) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 67% 100% Median
3 33% 33%  
4 0% 0%  

Občanská demokratická strana (ECR)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Občanská demokratická strana (ECR) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0.3% 100%  
2 93% 99.7% Median
3 7% 7%  
4 0% 0%  

Česká pirátská strana (Greens/EFA)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Česká pirátská strana (Greens/EFA) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0.3% 100% Last Result
1 52% 99.7% Median
2 48% 48%  
3 0% 0%  

Stačilo! (GUE/NGL)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Stačilo! (GUE/NGL) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0.4% 100% Last Result
1 54% 99.6% Median
2 45% 45%  
3 0% 0%  

TOP 09 (EPP)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the TOP 09 (EPP) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 2% 100% Last Result
1 88% 98% Median
2 10% 10%  
3 0% 0%  

Křesťanská a demokratická unie–Československá strana lidová (EPP)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Křesťanská a demokratická unie–Československá strana lidová (EPP) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 4% 100% Last Result
1 92% 96% Median
2 5% 5%  
3 0% 0%  

Motoristé sobě (PfE)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Motoristé sobě (PfE) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 80% 100% Last Result, Median
1 20% 20%  
2 0% 0%  

Sociální demokracie (S&D)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Sociální demokracie (S&D) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 99.8% 100% Last Result, Median
1 0.2% 0.2%  
2 0% 0%  

Strana zelených (Greens/EFA)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Strana zelených (Greens/EFA) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Přísaha (PfE)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Přísaha (PfE) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Coalitions

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Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
ANO 2011 (PfE) – Motoristé sobě (PfE) – Přísaha (PfE) 0 8 0% 8–9 8–10 8–10 8–10
Starostové a nezávislí (EPP) – TOP 09 (EPP) – Křesťanská a demokratická unie–Československá strana lidová (EPP) 0 4 0% 4–5 4–5 4–6 3–6
Stačilo! (GUE/NGL) 0 1 0% 1–2 1–2 1–2 1–2
Sociální demokracie (S&D) 0 0 0% 0 0 0 0

ANO 2011 (PfE) – Motoristé sobě (PfE) – Přísaha (PfE)

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 0% 100%  
3 0% 100%  
4 0% 100%  
5 0% 100%  
6 0% 100%  
7 0.3% 100%  
8 60% 99.7% Median
9 32% 40%  
10 8% 8%  
11 0% 0% Majority

Starostové a nezávislí (EPP) – TOP 09 (EPP) – Křesťanská a demokratická unie–Československá strana lidová (EPP)

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 0% 100%  
3 2% 100%  
4 59% 98% Median
5 36% 39%  
6 4% 4%  
7 0% 0%  

Stačilo! (GUE/NGL)

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0.4% 100% Last Result
1 54% 99.6% Median
2 45% 45%  
3 0% 0%  

Sociální demokracie (S&D)

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 99.8% 100% Last Result, Median
1 0.2% 0.2%  
2 0% 0%  

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations