Opinion Poll by NMS, 6–12 May 2025

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
ANO 2011 (PfE) 0.0% 30.3% 28.5–32.2% 28.0–32.7% 27.5–33.2% 26.7–34.1%
Svoboda a přímá demokracie (ESN) 0.0% 13.7% 12.4–15.2% 12.1–15.7% 11.8–16.0% 11.1–16.8%
Starostové a nezávislí (EPP) 0.0% 9.9% 8.7–11.2% 8.4–11.5% 8.2–11.9% 7.7–12.5%
Občanská demokratická strana (ECR) 0.0% 9.4% 8.3–10.7% 8.0–11.0% 7.7–11.3% 7.2–12.0%
TOP 09 (EPP) 0.0% 6.3% 5.4–7.4% 5.1–7.7% 4.9–8.0% 4.5–8.5%
Česká pirátská strana (Greens/EFA) 0.0% 6.1% 5.2–7.2% 5.0–7.5% 4.8–7.7% 4.4–8.3%
Křesťanská a demokratická unie–Československá strana lidová (EPP) 0.0% 6.1% 5.2–7.2% 5.0–7.5% 4.8–7.7% 4.4–8.3%
Motoristé sobě (PfE) 0.0% 4.9% 4.1–5.9% 3.9–6.2% 3.7–6.4% 3.4–6.9%
Stačilo! (GUE/NGL) 0.0% 4.6% 3.8–5.5% 3.6–5.8% 3.4–6.1% 3.1–6.6%
Sociální demokracie (S&D) 0.0% 2.8% 2.2–3.6% 2.1–3.8% 1.9–4.0% 1.7–4.4%
Přísaha (PfE) 0.0% 2.7% 2.1–3.5% 2.0–3.7% 1.8–3.9% 1.6–4.3%
Strana zelených (Greens/EFA) 0.0% 1.8% 1.4–2.5% 1.2–2.7% 1.1–2.8% 1.0–3.2%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
ANO 2011 (PfE) 0 9 8–9 8–9 8–9 7–9
Svoboda a přímá demokracie (ESN) 0 3 3–4 3–4 3–4 3–5
Starostové a nezávislí (EPP) 0 3 2–3 2–3 2–3 2–3
Občanská demokratická strana (ECR) 0 2 2 2 2–3 2–3
TOP 09 (EPP) 0 2 1–2 1–2 1–2 0–2
Česká pirátská strana (Greens/EFA) 0 1 1 1–2 1–2 0–2
Křesťanská a demokratická unie–Československá strana lidová (EPP) 0 1 1–2 1–2 0–2 0–2
Motoristé sobě (PfE) 0 0 0–1 0–1 0–1 0–1
Stačilo! (GUE/NGL) 0 0 0–1 0–1 0–1 0–1
Sociální demokracie (S&D) 0 0 0 0 0 0
Přísaha (PfE) 0 0 0 0 0 0
Strana zelených (Greens/EFA) 0 0 0 0 0 0

ANO 2011 (PfE)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the ANO 2011 (PfE) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 0% 100%  
3 0% 100%  
4 0% 100%  
5 0% 100%  
6 0% 100%  
7 1.3% 100%  
8 21% 98.7%  
9 78% 78% Median
10 0.4% 0.4%  
11 0% 0% Majority

Svoboda a přímá demokracie (ESN)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Svoboda a přímá demokracie (ESN) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 0% 100%  
3 75% 100% Median
4 24% 25%  
5 0.6% 0.6%  
6 0% 0%  

Starostové a nezávislí (EPP)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Starostové a nezávislí (EPP) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 38% 100%  
3 62% 62% Median
4 0% 0%  

Občanská demokratická strana (ECR)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Občanská demokratická strana (ECR) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 96% 100% Median
3 4% 4%  
4 0% 0%  

TOP 09 (EPP)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the TOP 09 (EPP) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 1.1% 100% Last Result
1 20% 98.9%  
2 79% 79% Median
3 0% 0%  

Česká pirátská strana (Greens/EFA)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Česká pirátská strana (Greens/EFA) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 2% 100% Last Result
1 92% 98% Median
2 6% 6%  
3 0% 0%  

Křesťanská a demokratická unie–Československá strana lidová (EPP)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Křesťanská a demokratická unie–Československá strana lidová (EPP) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 4% 100% Last Result
1 82% 96% Median
2 14% 14%  
3 0% 0%  

Motoristé sobě (PfE)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Motoristé sobě (PfE) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 73% 100% Last Result, Median
1 26% 27%  
2 0.2% 0.2%  
3 0% 0%  

Stačilo! (GUE/NGL)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Stačilo! (GUE/NGL) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 89% 100% Last Result, Median
1 11% 11%  
2 0% 0%  

Sociální demokracie (S&D)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Sociální demokracie (S&D) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Přísaha (PfE)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Přísaha (PfE) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Strana zelených (Greens/EFA)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Strana zelených (Greens/EFA) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Coalitions

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Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
ANO 2011 (PfE) – Motoristé sobě (PfE) – Přísaha (PfE) 0 9 0.1% 8–10 8–10 8–10 7–10
Starostové a nezávislí (EPP) – TOP 09 (EPP) – Křesťanská a demokratická unie–Československá strana lidová (EPP) 0 6 0% 5–6 4–6 4–7 3–7
Stačilo! (GUE/NGL) 0 0 0% 0–1 0–1 0–1 0–1
Sociální demokracie (S&D) 0 0 0% 0 0 0 0

ANO 2011 (PfE) – Motoristé sobě (PfE) – Přísaha (PfE)

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 0% 100%  
3 0% 100%  
4 0% 100%  
5 0% 100%  
6 0% 100%  
7 0.7% 100%  
8 13% 99.3%  
9 68% 86% Median
10 18% 18%  
11 0.1% 0.1% Majority
12 0% 0%  

Starostové a nezávislí (EPP) – TOP 09 (EPP) – Křesťanská a demokratická unie–Československá strana lidová (EPP)

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 0% 100%  
3 0.6% 100%  
4 9% 99.4%  
5 33% 90%  
6 53% 57% Median
7 4% 4%  
8 0% 0%  

Stačilo! (GUE/NGL)

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 89% 100% Last Result, Median
1 11% 11%  
2 0% 0%  

Sociální demokracie (S&D)

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations