Opinion Poll by STEM for CNN Prima News, 9–27 May 2025

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
ANO 2011 (PfE) 0.0% 31.6% 30.1–33.1% 29.7–33.6% 29.3–33.9% 28.6–34.7%
Svoboda a přímá demokracie (ESN) 0.0% 12.8% 11.8–14.0% 11.5–14.3% 11.2–14.6% 10.8–15.2%
Starostové a nezávislí (EPP) 0.0% 11.4% 10.4–12.5% 10.2–12.8% 9.9–13.1% 9.5–13.6%
Občanská demokratická strana (ECR) 0.0% 9.3% 8.4–10.4% 8.2–10.7% 8.0–10.9% 7.6–11.4%
TOP 09 (EPP) 0.0% 6.3% 5.6–7.2% 5.4–7.4% 5.2–7.7% 4.9–8.1%
Česká pirátská strana (Greens/EFA) 0.0% 6.1% 5.4–7.0% 5.2–7.2% 5.0–7.4% 4.7–7.9%
Křesťanská a demokratická unie–Československá strana lidová (EPP) 0.0% 6.1% 5.4–7.0% 5.2–7.2% 5.0–7.4% 4.7–7.9%
Stačilo! (GUE/NGL) 0.0% 5.4% 4.7–6.2% 4.5–6.5% 4.4–6.7% 4.1–7.1%
Motoristé sobě (PfE) 0.0% 3.6% 3.1–4.3% 2.9–4.5% 2.8–4.7% 2.5–5.0%
Sociální demokracie (S&D) 0.0% 3.1% 2.6–3.7% 2.5–3.9% 2.3–4.1% 2.1–4.4%
Přísaha (PfE) 0.0% 2.1% 1.7–2.7% 1.6–2.8% 1.5–3.0% 1.3–3.3%
Strana zelených (Greens/EFA) 0.0% 1.4% 1.1–1.9% 1.0–2.0% 0.9–2.1% 0.8–2.4%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
ANO 2011 (PfE) 0 9 8–9 8–9 8–9 8–10
Svoboda a přímá demokracie (ESN) 0 3 3 3–4 3–4 2–4
Starostové a nezávislí (EPP) 0 3 2–3 2–3 2–3 2–3
Občanská demokratická strana (ECR) 0 2 2 2–3 2–3 2–3
TOP 09 (EPP) 0 1 1–2 1–2 1–2 0–2
Česká pirátská strana (Greens/EFA) 0 1 1–2 1–2 0–2 0–2
Křesťanská a demokratická unie–Československá strana lidová (EPP) 0 1 1–2 1–2 0–2 0–2
Stačilo! (GUE/NGL) 0 1 0–1 0–1 0–1 0–2
Motoristé sobě (PfE) 0 0 0 0 0 0
Sociální demokracie (S&D) 0 0 0 0 0 0
Přísaha (PfE) 0 0 0 0 0 0
Strana zelených (Greens/EFA) 0 0 0 0 0 0

ANO 2011 (PfE)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the ANO 2011 (PfE) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 0% 100%  
3 0% 100%  
4 0% 100%  
5 0% 100%  
6 0% 100%  
7 0.2% 100%  
8 39% 99.8%  
9 60% 61% Median
10 1.0% 1.0%  
11 0% 0% Majority

Svoboda a přímá demokracie (ESN)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Svoboda a přímá demokracie (ESN) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 0.6% 100%  
3 89% 99.4% Median
4 10% 10%  
5 0% 0%  

Starostové a nezávislí (EPP)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Starostové a nezávislí (EPP) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 25% 100%  
3 75% 75% Median
4 0.3% 0.3%  
5 0% 0%  

Občanská demokratická strana (ECR)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Občanská demokratická strana (ECR) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 94% 100% Median
3 6% 6%  
4 0% 0%  

TOP 09 (EPP)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the TOP 09 (EPP) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0.5% 100% Last Result
1 73% 99.5% Median
2 26% 26%  
3 0% 0%  

Česká pirátská strana (Greens/EFA)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Česká pirátská strana (Greens/EFA) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 4% 100% Last Result
1 67% 96% Median
2 29% 29%  
3 0% 0%  

Křesťanská a demokratická unie–Československá strana lidová (EPP)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Křesťanská a demokratická unie–Československá strana lidová (EPP) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 3% 100% Last Result
1 77% 97% Median
2 20% 20%  
3 0% 0%  

Stačilo! (GUE/NGL)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Stačilo! (GUE/NGL) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 20% 100% Last Result
1 79% 80% Median
2 0.8% 0.8%  
3 0% 0%  

Motoristé sobě (PfE)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Motoristé sobě (PfE) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 99.7% 100% Last Result, Median
1 0.3% 0.3%  
2 0% 0%  

Sociální demokracie (S&D)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Sociální demokracie (S&D) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Přísaha (PfE)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Přísaha (PfE) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Strana zelených (Greens/EFA)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Strana zelených (Greens/EFA) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Coalitions

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Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
ANO 2011 (PfE) – Motoristé sobě (PfE) – Přísaha (PfE) 0 9 0% 8–9 8–9 8–9 8–10
Starostové a nezávislí (EPP) – TOP 09 (EPP) – Křesťanská a demokratická unie–Československá strana lidová (EPP) 0 5 0% 5–6 4–6 4–6 4–6
Stačilo! (GUE/NGL) 0 1 0% 0–1 0–1 0–1 0–2
Sociální demokracie (S&D) 0 0 0% 0 0 0 0

ANO 2011 (PfE) – Motoristé sobě (PfE) – Přísaha (PfE)

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 0% 100%  
3 0% 100%  
4 0% 100%  
5 0% 100%  
6 0% 100%  
7 0.2% 100%  
8 38% 99.8%  
9 60% 62% Median
10 1.0% 1.0%  
11 0% 0% Majority

Starostové a nezávislí (EPP) – TOP 09 (EPP) – Křesťanská a demokratická unie–Československá strana lidová (EPP)

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 0% 100%  
3 0% 100%  
4 5% 100%  
5 72% 95% Median
6 22% 23%  
7 0.4% 0.4%  
8 0% 0%  

Stačilo! (GUE/NGL)

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 20% 100% Last Result
1 79% 80% Median
2 0.8% 0.8%  
3 0% 0%  

Sociální demokracie (S&D)

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations