Opinion Poll by Kantar for ČT24, 12–30 May 2025
Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information
Voting Intentions
Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Poll Result | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ANO 2011 (PfE) | 0.0% | 34.5% | 32.6–36.4% | 32.1–37.0% | 31.6–37.5% | 30.7–38.4% |
| Starostové a nezávislí (EPP) | 0.0% | 12.0% | 10.8–13.4% | 10.4–13.8% | 10.1–14.1% | 9.6–14.8% |
| Svoboda a přímá demokracie (ESN) | 0.0% | 10.5% | 9.4–11.8% | 9.0–12.2% | 8.8–12.6% | 8.2–13.2% |
| Občanská demokratická strana (ECR) | 0.0% | 9.0% | 8.0–10.3% | 7.7–10.7% | 7.4–11.0% | 6.9–11.6% |
| Česká pirátská strana (Greens/EFA) | 0.0% | 6.5% | 5.6–7.6% | 5.3–7.9% | 5.1–8.2% | 4.7–8.7% |
| TOP 09 (EPP) | 0.0% | 6.1% | 5.2–7.2% | 5.0–7.5% | 4.8–7.7% | 4.4–8.3% |
| Křesťanská a demokratická unie–Československá strana lidová (EPP) | 0.0% | 5.9% | 5.0–7.0% | 4.8–7.3% | 4.6–7.5% | 4.2–8.1% |
| Motoristé sobě (PfE) | 0.0% | 5.0% | 4.2–6.0% | 4.0–6.3% | 3.8–6.5% | 3.5–7.0% |
| Stačilo! (GUE/NGL) | 0.0% | 4.5% | 3.8–5.5% | 3.6–5.7% | 3.4–6.0% | 3.1–6.5% |
| Sociální demokracie (S&D) | 0.0% | 2.0% | 1.5–2.7% | 1.4–2.9% | 1.3–3.0% | 1.1–3.4% |
Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.
Seats
Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ANO 2011 (PfE) | 0 | 9 | 9–10 | 8–10 | 8–11 | 8–11 |
| Starostové a nezávislí (EPP) | 0 | 3 | 3 | 2–3 | 2–4 | 2–4 |
| Svoboda a přímá demokracie (ESN) | 0 | 3 | 2–3 | 2–3 | 2–3 | 2–3 |
| Občanská demokratická strana (ECR) | 0 | 2 | 2–3 | 2–3 | 2–3 | 1–3 |
| Česká pirátská strana (Greens/EFA) | 0 | 1 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 0–2 |
| TOP 09 (EPP) | 0 | 1 | 1–2 | 0–2 | 0–2 | 0–2 |
| Křesťanská a demokratická unie–Československá strana lidová (EPP) | 0 | 1 | 0–2 | 0–2 | 0–2 | 0–2 |
| Motoristé sobě (PfE) | 0 | 0 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 |
| Stačilo! (GUE/NGL) | 0 | 0 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 |
| Sociální demokracie (S&D) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
ANO 2011 (PfE)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the ANO 2011 (PfE) page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 0% | 100% | |
| 2 | 0% | 100% | |
| 3 | 0% | 100% | |
| 4 | 0% | 100% | |
| 5 | 0% | 100% | |
| 6 | 0% | 100% | |
| 7 | 0% | 100% | |
| 8 | 8% | 100% | |
| 9 | 56% | 92% | Median |
| 10 | 34% | 37% | |
| 11 | 3% | 3% | Majority |
| 12 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 13 | 0% | 0% |
Starostové a nezávislí (EPP)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Starostové a nezávislí (EPP) page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 0% | 100% | |
| 2 | 8% | 100% | |
| 3 | 88% | 92% | Median |
| 4 | 4% | 4% | |
| 5 | 0% | 0% |
Svoboda a přímá demokracie (ESN)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Svoboda a přímá demokracie (ESN) page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 0% | 100% | |
| 2 | 44% | 100% | |
| 3 | 56% | 56% | Median |
| 4 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 5 | 0% | 0% |
Občanská demokratická strana (ECR)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Občanská demokratická strana (ECR) page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 2% | 100% | |
| 2 | 87% | 98% | Median |
| 3 | 10% | 10% | |
| 4 | 0% | 0% |
Česká pirátská strana (Greens/EFA)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Česká pirátská strana (Greens/EFA) page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 2% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 66% | 98% | Median |
| 2 | 32% | 32% | |
| 3 | 0% | 0% |
TOP 09 (EPP)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the TOP 09 (EPP) page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 7% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 81% | 93% | Median |
| 2 | 12% | 12% | |
| 3 | 0% | 0% |
Křesťanská a demokratická unie–Československá strana lidová (EPP)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Křesťanská a demokratická unie–Československá strana lidová (EPP) page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 14% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 73% | 86% | Median |
| 2 | 13% | 13% | |
| 3 | 0% | 0% |
Motoristé sobě (PfE)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Motoristé sobě (PfE) page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 50% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
| 1 | 50% | 50% | |
| 2 | 0.4% | 0.4% | |
| 3 | 0% | 0% |
Stačilo! (GUE/NGL)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Stačilo! (GUE/NGL) page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 79% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
| 1 | 21% | 21% | |
| 2 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 3 | 0% | 0% |
Sociální demokracie (S&D)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Sociální demokracie (S&D) page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 100% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
Coalitions
Confidence Intervals
| Coalition | Last Result | Median | Majority? | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Starostové a nezávislí (EPP) – TOP 09 (EPP) – Křesťanská a demokratická unie–Československá strana lidová (EPP) | 0 | 5 | 0% | 4–6 | 4–6 | 4–6 | 3–7 |
| Stačilo! (GUE/NGL) | 0 | 0 | 0% | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 |
| Sociální demokracie (S&D) | 0 | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Starostové a nezávislí (EPP) – TOP 09 (EPP) – Křesťanská a demokratická unie–Československá strana lidová (EPP)
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 0% | 100% | |
| 2 | 0% | 100% | |
| 3 | 2% | 100% | |
| 4 | 16% | 98% | |
| 5 | 62% | 82% | Median |
| 6 | 19% | 20% | |
| 7 | 0.6% | 0.6% | |
| 8 | 0% | 0% |
Stačilo! (GUE/NGL)
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 79% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
| 1 | 21% | 21% | |
| 2 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 3 | 0% | 0% |
Sociální demokracie (S&D)
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 100% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
Technical Information
Opinion Poll
- Polling firm: Kantar
- Commissioner(s): ČT24
- Fieldwork period: 12–30 May 2025
Calculations
- Sample size: 1018
- Simulations done: 2,097,152
- Error estimate: 1.69%