Opinion Poll by Median, 1–31 May 2025

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
ANO 2011 (PfE) 0.0% 32.0% 30.2–33.9% 29.7–34.5% 29.2–35.0% 28.3–35.9%
Svoboda a přímá demokracie (ESN) 0.0% 13.5% 12.2–15.0% 11.9–15.4% 11.6–15.8% 11.0–16.5%
Starostové a nezávislí (EPP) 0.0% 10.5% 9.3–11.8% 9.0–12.2% 8.7–12.5% 8.2–13.2%
Občanská demokratická strana (ECR) 0.0% 9.0% 7.9–10.3% 7.6–10.6% 7.4–10.9% 6.9–11.6%
Stačilo! (GUE/NGL) 0.0% 6.5% 5.6–7.6% 5.4–7.9% 5.2–8.2% 4.8–8.8%
TOP 09 (EPP) 0.0% 6.1% 5.3–7.2% 5.0–7.5% 4.8–7.8% 4.4–8.3%
Křesťanská a demokratická unie–Československá strana lidová (EPP) 0.0% 5.9% 5.1–7.0% 4.8–7.3% 4.6–7.6% 4.3–8.1%
Česká pirátská strana (Greens/EFA) 0.0% 5.5% 4.7–6.6% 4.5–6.9% 4.3–7.1% 3.9–7.7%
Motoristé sobě (PfE) 0.0% 3.0% 2.4–3.8% 2.2–4.0% 2.1–4.2% 1.8–4.6%
Sociální demokracie (S&D) 0.0% 2.0% 1.5–2.7% 1.4–2.9% 1.3–3.0% 1.1–3.4%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
ANO 2011 (PfE) 0 9 8–9 8–10 8–10 7–10
Svoboda a přímá demokracie (ESN) 0 3 3–4 3–4 3–4 3–4
Starostové a nezávislí (EPP) 0 2 2–3 2–3 2–3 2–3
Občanská demokratická strana (ECR) 0 2 2 2 2–3 2–3
Stačilo! (GUE/NGL) 0 1 1–2 1–2 1–2 0–2
TOP 09 (EPP) 0 1 1–2 1–2 0–2 0–2
Křesťanská a demokratická unie–Československá strana lidová (EPP) 0 1 1–2 0–2 0–2 0–2
Česká pirátská strana (Greens/EFA) 0 1 0–1 0–1 0–2 0–2
Motoristé sobě (PfE) 0 0 0 0 0 0
Sociální demokracie (S&D) 0 0 0 0 0 0

ANO 2011 (PfE)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the ANO 2011 (PfE) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 0% 100%  
3 0% 100%  
4 0% 100%  
5 0% 100%  
6 0% 100%  
7 0.5% 100%  
8 36% 99.5%  
9 58% 63% Median
10 5% 5%  
11 0.1% 0.1% Majority
12 0% 0%  

Svoboda a přímá demokracie (ESN)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Svoboda a přímá demokracie (ESN) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 0.1% 100%  
3 53% 99.9% Median
4 46% 47%  
5 0.2% 0.2%  
6 0% 0%  

Starostové a nezávislí (EPP)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Starostové a nezávislí (EPP) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 51% 100% Median
3 49% 49%  
4 0.1% 0.1%  
5 0% 0%  

Občanská demokratická strana (ECR)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Občanská demokratická strana (ECR) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0.4% 100%  
2 96% 99.6% Median
3 4% 4%  
4 0% 0%  

Stačilo! (GUE/NGL)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Stačilo! (GUE/NGL) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0.9% 100% Last Result
1 65% 99.1% Median
2 34% 34%  
3 0% 0%  

TOP 09 (EPP)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the TOP 09 (EPP) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 4% 100% Last Result
1 82% 96% Median
2 14% 14%  
3 0% 0%  

Křesťanská a demokratická unie–Československá strana lidová (EPP)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Křesťanská a demokratická unie–Československá strana lidová (EPP) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 6% 100% Last Result
1 83% 94% Median
2 11% 11%  
3 0% 0%  

Česká pirátská strana (Greens/EFA)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Česká pirátská strana (Greens/EFA) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 19% 100% Last Result
1 78% 81% Median
2 3% 3%  
3 0% 0%  

Motoristé sobě (PfE)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Motoristé sobě (PfE) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 99.9% 100% Last Result, Median
1 0.1% 0.1%  
2 0% 0%  

Sociální demokracie (S&D)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Sociální demokracie (S&D) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Coalitions

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Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Starostové a nezávislí (EPP) – TOP 09 (EPP) – Křesťanská a demokratická unie–Československá strana lidová (EPP) 0 5 0% 4–5 4–6 4–6 3–6
Stačilo! (GUE/NGL) 0 1 0% 1–2 1–2 1–2 0–2
Sociální demokracie (S&D) 0 0 0% 0 0 0 0

Starostové a nezávislí (EPP) – TOP 09 (EPP) – Křesťanská a demokratická unie–Československá strana lidová (EPP)

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 0.1% 100%  
3 1.4% 99.9%  
4 43% 98.6% Median
5 46% 56%  
6 10% 10%  
7 0.1% 0.1%  
8 0% 0%  

Stačilo! (GUE/NGL)

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0.9% 100% Last Result
1 65% 99.1% Median
2 34% 34%  
3 0% 0%  

Sociální demokracie (S&D)

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations