Opinion Poll by Ipsos, 26 May–1 June 2025

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
ANO 2011 (PfE) 0.0% 34.1% 32.2–36.1% 31.7–36.6% 31.2–37.1% 30.3–38.0%
Svoboda a přímá demokracie (ESN) 0.0% 10.1% 9.0–11.5% 8.7–11.8% 8.4–12.2% 7.9–12.8%
Starostové a nezávislí (EPP) 0.0% 9.9% 8.8–11.2% 8.5–11.6% 8.2–11.9% 7.7–12.6%
Občanská demokratická strana (ECR) 0.0% 8.8% 7.8–10.1% 7.5–10.5% 7.2–10.8% 6.8–11.4%
Stačilo! (GUE/NGL) 0.0% 6.4% 5.5–7.5% 5.2–7.8% 5.0–8.0% 4.6–8.6%
Česká pirátská strana (Greens/EFA) 0.0% 6.0% 5.1–7.0% 4.9–7.3% 4.7–7.6% 4.3–8.2%
TOP 09 (EPP) 0.0% 6.0% 5.1–7.0% 4.9–7.3% 4.7–7.6% 4.3–8.2%
Křesťanská a demokratická unie–Československá strana lidová (EPP) 0.0% 5.8% 4.9–6.8% 4.7–7.1% 4.5–7.4% 4.1–7.9%
Motoristé sobě (PfE) 0.0% 4.6% 3.8–5.5% 3.6–5.8% 3.4–6.1% 3.1–6.6%
Strana zelených (Greens/EFA) 0.0% 2.7% 2.1–3.5% 2.0–3.7% 1.8–3.9% 1.6–4.3%
Sociální demokracie (S&D) 0.0% 2.7% 2.1–3.5% 2.0–3.7% 1.8–3.9% 1.6–4.3%
Přísaha (PfE) 0.0% 2.1% 1.6–2.8% 1.5–3.0% 1.4–3.2% 1.2–3.6%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
ANO 2011 (PfE) 0 9 9–10 9–11 8–11 8–11
Svoboda a přímá demokracie (ESN) 0 3 2–3 2–3 2–3 2–3
Starostové a nezávislí (EPP) 0 2 2–3 2–3 2–3 2–3
Občanská demokratická strana (ECR) 0 2 2 2–3 2–3 2–3
Stačilo! (GUE/NGL) 0 1 1–2 1–2 0–2 0–2
Česká pirátská strana (Greens/EFA) 0 1 0–1 0–2 0–2 0–2
TOP 09 (EPP) 0 1 1 0–2 0–2 0–2
Křesťanská a demokratická unie–Československá strana lidová (EPP) 0 1 0–1 0–1 0–2 0–2
Motoristé sobě (PfE) 0 0 0–1 0–1 0–1 0–1
Strana zelených (Greens/EFA) 0 0 0 0 0 0
Sociální demokracie (S&D) 0 0 0 0 0 0
Přísaha (PfE) 0 0 0 0 0 0

ANO 2011 (PfE)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the ANO 2011 (PfE) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 0% 100%  
3 0% 100%  
4 0% 100%  
5 0% 100%  
6 0% 100%  
7 0% 100%  
8 3% 100%  
9 47% 97% Median
10 43% 50%  
11 7% 7% Majority
12 0% 0%  

Svoboda a přímá demokracie (ESN)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Svoboda a přímá demokracie (ESN) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 21% 100%  
3 79% 79% Median
4 0.1% 0.1%  
5 0% 0%  

Starostové a nezávislí (EPP)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Starostové a nezávislí (EPP) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 65% 100% Median
3 35% 35%  
4 0% 0%  

Občanská demokratická strana (ECR)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Občanská demokratická strana (ECR) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0.4% 100%  
2 93% 99.6% Median
3 6% 6%  
4 0% 0%  

Stačilo! (GUE/NGL)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Stačilo! (GUE/NGL) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 5% 100% Last Result
1 50% 95% Median
2 45% 45%  
3 0% 0%  

Česká pirátská strana (Greens/EFA)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Česká pirátská strana (Greens/EFA) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 13% 100% Last Result
1 82% 87% Median
2 5% 5%  
3 0% 0%  

TOP 09 (EPP)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the TOP 09 (EPP) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 6% 100% Last Result
1 86% 94% Median
2 8% 8%  
3 0% 0%  

Křesťanská a demokratická unie–Československá strana lidová (EPP)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Křesťanská a demokratická unie–Československá strana lidová (EPP) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 25% 100% Last Result
1 71% 75% Median
2 4% 4%  
3 0% 0%  

Motoristé sobě (PfE)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Motoristé sobě (PfE) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 87% 100% Last Result, Median
1 13% 13%  
2 0.1% 0.1%  
3 0% 0%  

Strana zelených (Greens/EFA)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Strana zelených (Greens/EFA) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Sociální demokracie (S&D)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Sociální demokracie (S&D) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 99.9% 100% Last Result, Median
1 0.1% 0.1%  
2 0% 0%  

Přísaha (PfE)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Přísaha (PfE) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Coalitions

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Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
ANO 2011 (PfE) – Motoristé sobě (PfE) – Přísaha (PfE) 0 10 13% 9–11 9–11 9–11 8–12
Starostové a nezávislí (EPP) – TOP 09 (EPP) – Křesťanská a demokratická unie–Československá strana lidová (EPP) 0 4 0% 4–5 3–5 3–5 3–6
Stačilo! (GUE/NGL) 0 1 0% 1–2 1–2 0–2 0–2
Sociální demokracie (S&D) 0 0 0% 0 0 0 0

ANO 2011 (PfE) – Motoristé sobě (PfE) – Přísaha (PfE)

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 0% 100%  
3 0% 100%  
4 0% 100%  
5 0% 100%  
6 0% 100%  
7 0% 100%  
8 0.7% 100%  
9 46% 99.3% Median
10 40% 53%  
11 12% 13% Majority
12 0.8% 0.8%  
13 0% 0%  

Starostové a nezávislí (EPP) – TOP 09 (EPP) – Křesťanská a demokratická unie–Československá strana lidová (EPP)

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 0.1% 100%  
3 8% 99.9%  
4 71% 92% Median
5 19% 21%  
6 2% 2%  
7 0% 0%  

Stačilo! (GUE/NGL)

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 5% 100% Last Result
1 50% 95% Median
2 45% 45%  
3 0% 0%  

Sociální demokracie (S&D)

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 99.9% 100% Last Result, Median
1 0.1% 0.1%  
2 0% 0%  

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations