Opinion Poll by NMS, 30 May–3 June 2025

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
ANO 2011 (PfE) 0.0% 30.5% 28.7–32.4% 28.2–33.0% 27.8–33.4% 26.9–34.4%
Svoboda a přímá demokracie (ESN) 0.0% 16.7% 15.3–18.3% 14.9–18.8% 14.6–19.2% 13.9–20.0%
Starostové a nezávislí (EPP) 0.0% 11.9% 10.7–13.3% 10.3–13.7% 10.0–14.1% 9.5–14.7%
Občanská demokratická strana (ECR) 0.0% 8.4% 7.4–9.6% 7.1–10.0% 6.9–10.3% 6.4–10.9%
Česká pirátská strana (Greens/EFA) 0.0% 6.2% 5.4–7.3% 5.1–7.7% 4.9–7.9% 4.5–8.5%
TOP 09 (EPP) 0.0% 5.7% 4.9–6.8% 4.7–7.1% 4.5–7.4% 4.1–7.9%
Křesťanská a demokratická unie–Československá strana lidová (EPP) 0.0% 5.6% 4.7–6.6% 4.5–6.9% 4.3–7.1% 3.9–7.7%
Stačilo! (GUE/NGL) 0.0% 5.2% 4.4–6.2% 4.1–6.4% 3.9–6.7% 3.6–7.2%
Motoristé sobě (PfE) 0.0% 3.6% 2.9–4.4% 2.7–4.7% 2.6–4.9% 2.3–5.3%
Sociální demokracie (S&D) 0.0% 2.0% 1.5–2.7% 1.4–2.9% 1.3–3.0% 1.1–3.4%
Strana zelených (Greens/EFA) 0.0% 1.6% 1.2–2.2% 1.1–2.4% 1.0–2.6% 0.8–2.9%
Přísaha (PfE) 0.0% 1.3% 0.9–1.9% 0.8–2.0% 0.7–2.2% 0.6–2.5%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
ANO 2011 (PfE) 0 8 8–9 8–9 7–9 7–10
Svoboda a přímá demokracie (ESN) 0 4 4–5 4–5 4–5 4–5
Starostové a nezávislí (EPP) 0 3 3 3 3–4 2–4
Občanská demokratická strana (ECR) 0 2 2 2 2 1–3
Česká pirátská strana (Greens/EFA) 0 1 1 1–2 1–2 0–2
TOP 09 (EPP) 0 1 1 0–1 0–1 0–2
Křesťanská a demokratická unie–Československá strana lidová (EPP) 0 1 0–1 0–1 0–1 0–2
Stačilo! (GUE/NGL) 0 1 0–1 0–1 0–1 0–2
Motoristé sobě (PfE) 0 0 0 0 0 0–1
Sociální demokracie (S&D) 0 0 0 0 0 0
Strana zelených (Greens/EFA) 0 0 0 0 0 0
Přísaha (PfE) 0 0 0 0 0 0

ANO 2011 (PfE)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the ANO 2011 (PfE) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 0% 100%  
3 0% 100%  
4 0% 100%  
5 0% 100%  
6 0% 100%  
7 3% 100%  
8 85% 97% Median
9 12% 13%  
10 0.6% 0.6%  
11 0% 0% Majority

Svoboda a přímá demokracie (ESN)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Svoboda a přímá demokracie (ESN) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 0% 100%  
3 0.5% 100%  
4 84% 99.5% Median
5 16% 16%  
6 0.2% 0.2%  
7 0% 0%  

Starostové a nezávislí (EPP)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Starostové a nezávislí (EPP) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 2% 100%  
3 95% 98% Median
4 3% 3%  
5 0% 0%  

Občanská demokratická strana (ECR)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Občanská demokratická strana (ECR) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 1.3% 100%  
2 98% 98.7% Median
3 0.6% 0.6%  
4 0% 0%  

Česká pirátská strana (Greens/EFA)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Česká pirátská strana (Greens/EFA) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 2% 100% Last Result
1 92% 98% Median
2 6% 6%  
3 0% 0%  

TOP 09 (EPP)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the TOP 09 (EPP) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 8% 100% Last Result
1 90% 92% Median
2 2% 2%  
3 0% 0%  

Křesťanská a demokratická unie–Československá strana lidová (EPP)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Křesťanská a demokratická unie–Československá strana lidová (EPP) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 15% 100% Last Result
1 83% 85% Median
2 2% 2%  
3 0% 0%  

Stačilo! (GUE/NGL)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Stačilo! (GUE/NGL) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 15% 100% Last Result
1 84% 85% Median
2 0.6% 0.6%  
3 0% 0%  

Motoristé sobě (PfE)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Motoristé sobě (PfE) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 99.3% 100% Last Result, Median
1 0.7% 0.7%  
2 0% 0%  

Sociální demokracie (S&D)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Sociální demokracie (S&D) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Strana zelených (Greens/EFA)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Strana zelených (Greens/EFA) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Přísaha (PfE)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Přísaha (PfE) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Coalitions

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Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
ANO 2011 (PfE) – Motoristé sobě (PfE) – Přísaha (PfE) 0 8 0% 8–9 8–9 8–9 7–10
Starostové a nezávislí (EPP) – TOP 09 (EPP) – Křesťanská a demokratická unie–Československá strana lidová (EPP) 0 5 0% 4–5 4–6 4–6 3–6
Stačilo! (GUE/NGL) 0 1 0% 0–1 0–1 0–1 0–2
Sociální demokracie (S&D) 0 0 0% 0 0 0 0

ANO 2011 (PfE) – Motoristé sobě (PfE) – Přísaha (PfE)

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 0% 100%  
3 0% 100%  
4 0% 100%  
5 0% 100%  
6 0% 100%  
7 2% 100%  
8 85% 98% Median
9 12% 13%  
10 0.7% 0.7%  
11 0% 0% Majority

Starostové a nezávislí (EPP) – TOP 09 (EPP) – Křesťanská a demokratická unie–Československá strana lidová (EPP)

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 0% 100%  
3 0.8% 100%  
4 20% 99.1%  
5 74% 79% Median
6 5% 5%  
7 0% 0%  

Stačilo! (GUE/NGL)

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 15% 100% Last Result
1 84% 85% Median
2 0.6% 0.6%  
3 0% 0%  

Sociální demokracie (S&D)

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations