Opinion Poll by STEM for CNN Prima News, 30 May–11 June 2025

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
ANO 2011 (PfE) 0.0% 31.2% 29.7–32.8% 29.3–33.2% 28.9–33.6% 28.2–34.3%
Svoboda a přímá demokracie (ESN) 0.0% 13.1% 12.0–14.3% 11.8–14.6% 11.5–14.9% 11.0–15.4%
Starostové a nezávislí (EPP) 0.0% 10.6% 9.6–11.6% 9.4–11.9% 9.1–12.2% 8.7–12.7%
Občanská demokratická strana (ECR) 0.0% 9.3% 8.4–10.3% 8.1–10.6% 7.9–10.8% 7.5–11.3%
Česká pirátská strana (Greens/EFA) 0.0% 6.7% 5.9–7.6% 5.7–7.8% 5.6–8.1% 5.2–8.5%
TOP 09 (EPP) 0.0% 6.3% 5.5–7.1% 5.3–7.4% 5.2–7.6% 4.8–8.0%
Křesťanská a demokratická unie–Československá strana lidová (EPP) 0.0% 6.1% 5.3–6.9% 5.1–7.1% 5.0–7.4% 4.6–7.8%
Stačilo! (GUE/NGL) 0.0% 5.0% 4.4–5.8% 4.2–6.0% 4.0–6.2% 3.7–6.6%
Motoristé sobě (PfE) 0.0% 4.4% 3.8–5.1% 3.6–5.3% 3.5–5.5% 3.2–5.9%
Sociální demokracie (S&D) 0.0% 3.0% 2.5–3.7% 2.4–3.9% 2.3–4.0% 2.1–4.3%
Přísaha (PfE) 0.0% 1.8% 1.4–2.3% 1.3–2.5% 1.2–2.6% 1.1–2.9%
Strana zelených (Greens/EFA) 0.0% 1.8% 1.4–2.3% 1.3–2.5% 1.2–2.6% 1.1–2.9%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
ANO 2011 (PfE) 0 9 8–9 8–9 8–9 7–10
Svoboda a přímá demokracie (ESN) 0 3 3–4 3–4 3–4 3–4
Starostové a nezávislí (EPP) 0 3 2–3 2–3 2–3 2–3
Občanská demokratická strana (ECR) 0 2 2–3 2–3 2–3 2–3
Česká pirátská strana (Greens/EFA) 0 2 1–2 1–2 1–2 1–2
TOP 09 (EPP) 0 1 1–2 1–2 1–2 0–2
Křesťanská a demokratická unie–Československá strana lidová (EPP) 0 1 1 1 1 0–2
Stačilo! (GUE/NGL) 0 0 0–1 0–1 0–1 0–1
Motoristé sobě (PfE) 0 0 0 0–1 0–1 0–1
Sociální demokracie (S&D) 0 0 0 0 0 0
Přísaha (PfE) 0 0 0 0 0 0
Strana zelených (Greens/EFA) 0 0 0 0 0 0

ANO 2011 (PfE)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the ANO 2011 (PfE) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 0% 100%  
3 0% 100%  
4 0% 100%  
5 0% 100%  
6 0% 100%  
7 0.7% 100%  
8 35% 99.3%  
9 63% 64% Median
10 2% 2%  
11 0% 0% Majority

Svoboda a přímá demokracie (ESN)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Svoboda a přímá demokracie (ESN) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 0.1% 100%  
3 72% 99.9% Median
4 28% 28%  
5 0% 0%  

Starostové a nezávislí (EPP)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Starostové a nezávislí (EPP) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 40% 100%  
3 60% 60% Median
4 0% 0%  

Občanská demokratická strana (ECR)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Občanská demokratická strana (ECR) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 89% 100% Median
3 11% 11%  
4 0% 0%  

Česká pirátská strana (Greens/EFA)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Česká pirátská strana (Greens/EFA) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 39% 100%  
2 61% 61% Median
3 0% 0%  

TOP 09 (EPP)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the TOP 09 (EPP) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 2% 100% Last Result
1 69% 98% Median
2 29% 29%  
3 0% 0%  

Křesťanská a demokratická unie–Československá strana lidová (EPP)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Křesťanská a demokratická unie–Československá strana lidová (EPP) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 2% 100% Last Result
1 96% 98% Median
2 2% 2%  
3 0% 0%  

Stačilo! (GUE/NGL)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Stačilo! (GUE/NGL) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 60% 100% Last Result, Median
1 40% 40%  
2 0% 0%  

Motoristé sobě (PfE)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Motoristé sobě (PfE) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 92% 100% Last Result, Median
1 8% 8%  
2 0% 0%  

Sociální demokracie (S&D)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Sociální demokracie (S&D) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Přísaha (PfE)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Přísaha (PfE) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Strana zelených (Greens/EFA)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Strana zelených (Greens/EFA) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Coalitions

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Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
ANO 2011 (PfE) – Motoristé sobě (PfE) – Přísaha (PfE) 0 9 0.3% 8–9 8–9 8–10 8–10
Starostové a nezávislí (EPP) – TOP 09 (EPP) – Křesťanská a demokratická unie–Československá strana lidová (EPP) 0 5 0% 4–5 4–6 4–6 4–6
Stačilo! (GUE/NGL) 0 0 0% 0–1 0–1 0–1 0–1
Sociální demokracie (S&D) 0 0 0% 0 0 0 0

ANO 2011 (PfE) – Motoristé sobě (PfE) – Přísaha (PfE)

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 0% 100%  
3 0% 100%  
4 0% 100%  
5 0% 100%  
6 0% 100%  
7 0.1% 100%  
8 32% 99.9%  
9 64% 68% Median
10 4% 5%  
11 0.3% 0.3% Majority
12 0% 0%  

Starostové a nezávislí (EPP) – TOP 09 (EPP) – Křesťanská a demokratická unie–Československá strana lidová (EPP)

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 0% 100%  
3 0.2% 100%  
4 18% 99.8%  
5 76% 82% Median
6 6% 6%  
7 0% 0%  

Stačilo! (GUE/NGL)

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 60% 100% Last Result, Median
1 40% 40%  
2 0% 0%  

Sociální demokracie (S&D)

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations