Opinion Poll by Kantar for ČT24, 9–20 June 2025

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
ANO 2011 (PfE) 0.0% 33.5% 31.6–35.4% 31.1–36.0% 30.6–36.4% 29.8–37.4%
Starostové a nezávislí (EPP) 0.0% 11.5% 10.3–12.9% 10.0–13.3% 9.7–13.6% 9.1–14.3%
Svoboda a přímá demokracie (ESN) 0.0% 11.5% 10.3–12.9% 10.0–13.3% 9.7–13.6% 9.1–14.3%
Občanská demokratická strana (ECR) 0.0% 9.1% 8.0–10.3% 7.7–10.7% 7.4–11.0% 7.0–11.6%
Česká pirátská strana (Greens/EFA) 0.0% 7.5% 6.5–8.6% 6.2–9.0% 6.0–9.3% 5.6–9.9%
TOP 09 (EPP) 0.0% 6.1% 5.2–7.2% 5.0–7.5% 4.8–7.8% 4.4–8.3%
Křesťanská a demokratická unie–Československá strana lidová (EPP) 0.0% 5.9% 5.0–7.0% 4.8–7.3% 4.6–7.5% 4.2–8.1%
Motoristé sobě (PfE) 0.0% 4.5% 3.8–5.5% 3.6–5.8% 3.4–6.0% 3.1–6.5%
Komunistická strana Čech a Moravy–Spojení demokraté - Sdružení nezávislých–Stačilo! (NI) 0.0% 3.3% 2.7–4.2% 2.5–4.4% 2.4–4.6% 2.1–5.1%
Strana zelených (Greens/EFA) 0.0% 2.0% 1.5–2.7% 1.4–2.9% 1.3–3.0% 1.1–3.4%
Sociální demokracie (S&D) 0.0% 0.6% 0.4–1.0% 0.3–1.2% 0.3–1.3% 0.2–1.5%
Česká strana národně sociální (*) 0.0% 0.4% 0.2–0.8% 0.2–0.9% 0.2–1.0% 0.1–1.2%
Moravané (Greens/EFA) 0.0% 0.1% 0.0–0.4% 0.0–0.5% 0.0–0.5% 0.0–0.7%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
ANO 2011 (PfE) 0 9 8–9 8–9 8–10 8–10
Starostové a nezávislí (EPP) 0 3 2–3 2–3 2–3 2–4
Svoboda a přímá demokracie (ESN) 0 3 2–3 2–3 2–3 2–4
Občanská demokratická strana (ECR) 0 2 2 2–3 2–3 1–3
Česká pirátská strana (Greens/EFA) 0 2 1–2 1–2 1–2 1–2
TOP 09 (EPP) 0 1 1 1–2 0–2 0–2
Křesťanská a demokratická unie–Československá strana lidová (EPP) 0 1 0–1 0–1 0–2 0–2
Motoristé sobě (PfE) 0 0 0–1 0–1 0–1 0–1
Komunistická strana Čech a Moravy–Spojení demokraté - Sdružení nezávislých–Stačilo! (NI) 0 1 0–1 0–1 0–1 0–1
Strana zelených (Greens/EFA) 0 0 0 0 0 0
Sociální demokracie (S&D) 0 0 0 0 0 0
Česká strana národně sociální (*) 0 0 0 0 0 0
Moravané (Greens/EFA) 0 0 0 0 0 0

ANO 2011 (PfE)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the ANO 2011 (PfE) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 0% 100%  
3 0% 100%  
4 0% 100%  
5 0% 100%  
6 0% 100%  
7 0.1% 100%  
8 45% 99.9%  
9 52% 55% Median
10 3% 4%  
11 0.2% 0.2% Majority
12 0% 0%  

Starostové a nezávislí (EPP)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Starostové a nezávislí (EPP) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 17% 100%  
3 82% 83% Median
4 0.7% 0.7%  
5 0% 0%  

Svoboda a přímá demokracie (ESN)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Svoboda a přímá demokracie (ESN) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 28% 100%  
3 71% 72% Median
4 0.6% 0.6%  
5 0% 0%  

Občanská demokratická strana (ECR)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Občanská demokratická strana (ECR) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 1.3% 100%  
2 90% 98.7% Median
3 8% 8%  
4 0% 0%  

Česká pirátská strana (Greens/EFA)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Česká pirátská strana (Greens/EFA) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 17% 100%  
2 83% 83% Median
3 0.2% 0.2%  
4 0% 0%  

TOP 09 (EPP)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the TOP 09 (EPP) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 3% 100% Last Result
1 89% 97% Median
2 8% 8%  
3 0% 0%  

Křesťanská a demokratická unie–Československá strana lidová (EPP)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Křesťanská a demokratická unie–Československá strana lidová (EPP) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 12% 100% Last Result
1 85% 88% Median
2 4% 4%  
3 0% 0%  

Motoristé sobě (PfE)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Motoristé sobě (PfE) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 77% 100% Last Result, Median
1 23% 23%  
2 0% 0%  

Komunistická strana Čech a Moravy–Spojení demokraté - Sdružení nezávislých–Stačilo! (NI)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Komunistická strana Čech a Moravy–Spojení demokraté - Sdružení nezávislých–Stačilo! (NI) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 25% 100% Last Result
1 75% 75% Median
2 0.1% 0.1%  
3 0% 0%  

Strana zelených (Greens/EFA)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Strana zelených (Greens/EFA) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Sociální demokracie (S&D)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Sociální demokracie (S&D) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Česká strana národně sociální (*)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Česká strana národně sociální (*) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Moravané (Greens/EFA)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Moravané (Greens/EFA) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Coalitions

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Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Starostové a nezávislí (EPP) – TOP 09 (EPP) – Křesťanská a demokratická unie–Československá strana lidová (EPP) 0 5 0% 4–5 3–6 3–6 3–6
Sociální demokracie (S&D) 0 0 0% 0 0 0 0

Starostové a nezávislí (EPP) – TOP 09 (EPP) – Křesťanská a demokratická unie–Československá strana lidová (EPP)

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 0% 100%  
3 8% 100%  
4 12% 92%  
5 73% 80% Median
6 7% 7%  
7 0.5% 0.5%  
8 0% 0%  

Sociální demokracie (S&D)

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations