Opinion Poll by STEM for CNN Prima News, 5–24 June 2025
Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information
Voting Intentions
Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Poll Result | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ANO 2011 (PfE) | 0.0% | 31.9% | 30.4–33.4% | 30.0–33.9% | 29.6–34.3% | 28.9–35.0% |
| Svoboda a přímá demokracie (ESN) | 0.0% | 13.0% | 11.9–14.1% | 11.7–14.5% | 11.4–14.8% | 10.9–15.3% |
| Starostové a nezávislí (EPP) | 0.0% | 10.6% | 9.7–11.7% | 9.4–12.0% | 9.2–12.3% | 8.7–12.8% |
| Občanská demokratická strana (ECR) | 0.0% | 8.9% | 8.1–9.9% | 7.8–10.2% | 7.6–10.5% | 7.2–11.0% |
| Česká pirátská strana (Greens/EFA) | 0.0% | 7.8% | 7.0–8.7% | 6.7–9.0% | 6.5–9.2% | 6.2–9.7% |
| TOP 09 (EPP) | 0.0% | 6.0% | 5.3–6.9% | 5.1–7.1% | 5.0–7.3% | 4.6–7.8% |
| Křesťanská a demokratická unie–Československá strana lidová (EPP) | 0.0% | 5.9% | 5.2–6.7% | 5.0–6.9% | 4.8–7.1% | 4.5–7.6% |
| Motoristé sobě (PfE) | 0.0% | 4.8% | 4.2–5.6% | 4.0–5.8% | 3.9–6.0% | 3.6–6.4% |
| Stačilo! (GUE/NGL) | 0.0% | 4.6% | 4.0–5.4% | 3.8–5.6% | 3.7–5.8% | 3.4–6.2% |
| Přísaha (PfE) | 0.0% | 2.9% | 2.4–3.5% | 2.3–3.7% | 2.2–3.9% | 2.0–4.2% |
| Sociální demokracie (S&D) | 0.0% | 2.9% | 2.4–3.5% | 2.3–3.7% | 2.2–3.9% | 2.0–4.2% |
Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.
Seats
Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ANO 2011 (PfE) | 0 | 9 | 8–9 | 8–9 | 8–10 | 8–10 |
| Svoboda a přímá demokracie (ESN) | 0 | 3 | 3–4 | 3–4 | 3–4 | 3–4 |
| Starostové a nezávislí (EPP) | 0 | 3 | 2–3 | 2–3 | 2–3 | 2–3 |
| Občanská demokratická strana (ECR) | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2–3 | 2–3 |
| Česká pirátská strana (Greens/EFA) | 0 | 2 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–2 |
| TOP 09 (EPP) | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 0–2 |
| Křesťanská a demokratická unie–Československá strana lidová (EPP) | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1–2 | 0–2 | 0–2 |
| Motoristé sobě (PfE) | 0 | 0 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 |
| Stačilo! (GUE/NGL) | 0 | 0 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 |
| Přísaha (PfE) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Sociální demokracie (S&D) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
ANO 2011 (PfE)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the ANO 2011 (PfE) page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 0% | 100% | |
| 2 | 0% | 100% | |
| 3 | 0% | 100% | |
| 4 | 0% | 100% | |
| 5 | 0% | 100% | |
| 6 | 0% | 100% | |
| 7 | 0.3% | 100% | |
| 8 | 37% | 99.7% | |
| 9 | 59% | 62% | Median |
| 10 | 3% | 3% | |
| 11 | 0% | 0% | Majority |
Svoboda a přímá demokracie (ESN)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Svoboda a přímá demokracie (ESN) page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 0% | 100% | |
| 2 | 0.3% | 100% | |
| 3 | 76% | 99.7% | Median |
| 4 | 24% | 24% | |
| 5 | 0% | 0% |
Starostové a nezávislí (EPP)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Starostové a nezávislí (EPP) page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 0% | 100% | |
| 2 | 46% | 100% | |
| 3 | 54% | 54% | Median |
| 4 | 0% | 0% |
Občanská demokratická strana (ECR)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Občanská demokratická strana (ECR) page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 2 | 96% | 99.8% | Median |
| 3 | 4% | 4% | |
| 4 | 0% | 0% |
Česká pirátská strana (Greens/EFA)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Česká pirátská strana (Greens/EFA) page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 10% | 100% | |
| 2 | 90% | 90% | Median |
| 3 | 0% | 0% |
TOP 09 (EPP)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the TOP 09 (EPP) page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 2% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 92% | 98% | Median |
| 2 | 5% | 5% | |
| 3 | 0% | 0% |
Křesťanská a demokratická unie–Československá strana lidová (EPP)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Křesťanská a demokratická unie–Československá strana lidová (EPP) page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 5% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 90% | 95% | Median |
| 2 | 5% | 5% | |
| 3 | 0% | 0% |
Motoristé sobě (PfE)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Motoristé sobě (PfE) page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 66% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
| 1 | 34% | 34% | |
| 2 | 0% | 0% |
Stačilo! (GUE/NGL)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Stačilo! (GUE/NGL) page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 74% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
| 1 | 26% | 26% | |
| 2 | 0% | 0% |
Přísaha (PfE)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Přísaha (PfE) page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 100% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
Sociální demokracie (S&D)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Sociální demokracie (S&D) page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 100% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
Coalitions
Confidence Intervals
| Coalition | Last Result | Median | Majority? | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ANO 2011 (PfE) – Motoristé sobě (PfE) – Přísaha (PfE) | 0 | 9 | 0.1% | 8–10 | 8–10 | 8–10 | 8–10 |
| Starostové a nezávislí (EPP) – TOP 09 (EPP) – Křesťanská a demokratická unie–Československá strana lidová (EPP) | 0 | 5 | 0% | 4–5 | 4–5 | 4–6 | 3–6 |
| Stačilo! (GUE/NGL) | 0 | 0 | 0% | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 |
| Sociální demokracie (S&D) | 0 | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
ANO 2011 (PfE) – Motoristé sobě (PfE) – Přísaha (PfE)
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 0% | 100% | |
| 2 | 0% | 100% | |
| 3 | 0% | 100% | |
| 4 | 0% | 100% | |
| 5 | 0% | 100% | |
| 6 | 0% | 100% | |
| 7 | 0% | 100% | |
| 8 | 12% | 100% | |
| 9 | 76% | 88% | Median |
| 10 | 11% | 12% | |
| 11 | 0.1% | 0.1% | Majority |
| 12 | 0% | 0% |
Starostové a nezávislí (EPP) – TOP 09 (EPP) – Křesťanská a demokratická unie–Československá strana lidová (EPP)
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 0% | 100% | |
| 2 | 0% | 100% | |
| 3 | 1.2% | 100% | |
| 4 | 42% | 98.8% | |
| 5 | 54% | 57% | Median |
| 6 | 3% | 3% | |
| 7 | 0% | 0% |
Stačilo! (GUE/NGL)
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 74% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
| 1 | 26% | 26% | |
| 2 | 0% | 0% |
Sociální demokracie (S&D)
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 100% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
Technical Information
Opinion Poll
- Polling firm: STEM
- Commissioner(s): CNN Prima News
- Fieldwork period: 5–24 June 2025
Calculations
- Sample size: 1555
- Simulations done: 2,097,152
- Error estimate: 0.90%