Opinion Poll by Ipsos, 24–29 June 2025

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
ANO 2011 (PfE) 0.0% 35.1% 33.2–37.0% 32.7–37.6% 32.2–38.0% 31.3–39.0%
Starostové a nezávislí (EPP) 0.0% 10.8% 9.7–12.2% 9.3–12.5% 9.1–12.9% 8.5–13.5%
Svoboda a přímá demokracie (ESN) 0.0% 10.5% 9.4–11.9% 9.1–12.2% 8.8–12.6% 8.3–13.2%
Občanská demokratická strana (ECR) 0.0% 9.2% 8.1–10.4% 7.8–10.8% 7.6–11.1% 7.1–11.7%
Česká pirátská strana (Greens/EFA) 0.0% 6.7% 5.8–7.8% 5.5–8.1% 5.3–8.4% 4.9–8.9%
TOP 09 (EPP) 0.0% 6.2% 5.3–7.3% 5.1–7.6% 4.9–7.8% 4.5–8.4%
Křesťanská a demokratická unie–Československá strana lidová (EPP) 0.0% 6.0% 5.1–7.1% 4.9–7.3% 4.7–7.6% 4.3–8.2%
Komunistická strana Čech a Moravy–Spojení demokraté - Sdružení nezávislých–Stačilo! (NI) 0.0% 5.9% 5.0–7.0% 4.8–7.2% 4.6–7.5% 4.2–8.0%
Motoristé sobě (PfE) 0.0% 4.5% 3.8–5.5% 3.6–5.8% 3.4–6.0% 3.1–6.5%
Přísaha (PfE) 0.0% 2.4% 1.9–3.2% 1.8–3.4% 1.6–3.6% 1.4–3.9%
Sociální demokracie (S&D) 0.0% 1.2% 0.8–1.7% 0.7–1.9% 0.7–2.0% 0.5–2.3%
Česká strana národně sociální (*) 0.0% 0.7% 0.4–1.1% 0.4–1.3% 0.3–1.4% 0.2–1.6%
Moravané (Greens/EFA) 0.0% 0.2% 0.1–0.5% 0.1–0.6% 0.0–0.7% 0.0–0.9%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
ANO 2011 (PfE) 0 9 8–10 8–10 8–10 8–10
Starostové a nezávislí (EPP) 0 2 2–3 2–3 2–3 2–3
Svoboda a přímá demokracie (ESN) 0 2 2–3 2–3 2–3 2–3
Občanská demokratická strana (ECR) 0 2 2 2 2 1–3
Česká pirátská strana (Greens/EFA) 0 1 1–2 1–2 1–2 0–2
TOP 09 (EPP) 0 1 1 1 0–1 0–2
Křesťanská a demokratická unie–Československá strana lidová (EPP) 0 1 1 0–1 0–1 0–2
Komunistická strana Čech a Moravy–Spojení demokraté - Sdružení nezávislých–Stačilo! (NI) 0 2 2 1–2 1–2 1–2
Motoristé sobě (PfE) 0 0 0–1 0–1 0–1 0–1
Přísaha (PfE) 0 0 0 0 0 0
Sociální demokracie (S&D) 0 0 0 0 0 0
Česká strana národně sociální (*) 0 0 0 0 0 0
Moravané (Greens/EFA) 0 0 0 0 0 0

ANO 2011 (PfE)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the ANO 2011 (PfE) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 0% 100%  
3 0% 100%  
4 0% 100%  
5 0% 100%  
6 0% 100%  
7 0% 100%  
8 14% 100%  
9 60% 86% Median
10 26% 26%  
11 0.1% 0.1% Majority
12 0% 0%  

Starostové a nezávislí (EPP)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Starostové a nezávislí (EPP) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 69% 100% Median
3 31% 31%  
4 0% 0%  

Svoboda a přímá demokracie (ESN)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Svoboda a přímá demokracie (ESN) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 53% 100% Median
3 47% 47%  
4 0% 0%  

Občanská demokratická strana (ECR)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Občanská demokratická strana (ECR) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 2% 100%  
2 96% 98% Median
3 2% 2%  
4 0% 0%  

Česká pirátská strana (Greens/EFA)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Česká pirátská strana (Greens/EFA) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0.9% 100% Last Result
1 87% 99.1% Median
2 12% 12%  
3 0% 0%  

TOP 09 (EPP)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the TOP 09 (EPP) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 4% 100% Last Result
1 94% 96% Median
2 2% 2%  
3 0% 0%  

Křesťanská a demokratická unie–Československá strana lidová (EPP)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Křesťanská a demokratická unie–Československá strana lidová (EPP) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 7% 100% Last Result
1 91% 93% Median
2 2% 2%  
3 0% 0%  

Komunistická strana Čech a Moravy–Spojení demokraté - Sdružení nezávislých–Stačilo! (NI)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Komunistická strana Čech a Moravy–Spojení demokraté - Sdružení nezávislých–Stačilo! (NI) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 7% 100%  
2 93% 93% Median
3 0.1% 0.1%  
4 0% 0%  

Motoristé sobě (PfE)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Motoristé sobě (PfE) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 87% 100% Last Result, Median
1 13% 13%  
2 0% 0%  

Přísaha (PfE)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Přísaha (PfE) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Sociální demokracie (S&D)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Sociální demokracie (S&D) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 99.8% 100% Last Result, Median
1 0.2% 0.2%  
2 0% 0%  

Česká strana národně sociální (*)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Česká strana národně sociální (*) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Moravané (Greens/EFA)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Moravané (Greens/EFA) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Coalitions

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Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
ANO 2011 (PfE) – Motoristé sobě (PfE) – Přísaha (PfE) 0 9 0.4% 9–10 8–10 8–10 8–10
Starostové a nezávislí (EPP) – TOP 09 (EPP) – Křesťanská a demokratická unie–Československá strana lidová (EPP) 0 4 0% 4–5 4–5 3–5 3–6
Sociální demokracie (S&D) 0 0 0% 0 0 0 0

ANO 2011 (PfE) – Motoristé sobě (PfE) – Přísaha (PfE)

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 0% 100%  
3 0% 100%  
4 0% 100%  
5 0% 100%  
6 0% 100%  
7 0% 100%  
8 6% 100%  
9 63% 94% Median
10 31% 31%  
11 0.4% 0.4% Majority
12 0% 0%  

Starostové a nezávislí (EPP) – TOP 09 (EPP) – Křesťanská a demokratická unie–Československá strana lidová (EPP)

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 0.1% 100%  
3 3% 99.9%  
4 70% 97% Median
5 27% 27%  
6 0.7% 0.7%  
7 0% 0%  

Sociální demokracie (S&D)

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 99.8% 100% Last Result, Median
1 0.2% 0.2%  
2 0% 0%  

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations