Opinion Poll by Median, 1–30 June 2025
Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information
Voting Intentions
Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Poll Result | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ANO 2011 (PfE) | 0.0% | 32.0% | 30.2–33.9% | 29.6–34.5% | 29.2–34.9% | 28.3–35.8% |
| Svoboda a přímá demokracie (ESN) | 0.0% | 14.0% | 12.7–15.5% | 12.3–15.9% | 12.0–16.3% | 11.4–17.0% |
| Starostové a nezávislí (EPP) | 0.0% | 9.0% | 7.9–10.3% | 7.7–10.6% | 7.4–10.9% | 6.9–11.6% |
| Občanská demokratická strana (ECR) | 0.0% | 8.1% | 7.1–9.3% | 6.8–9.7% | 6.6–10.0% | 6.1–10.6% |
| Česká pirátská strana (Greens/EFA) | 0.0% | 8.0% | 7.0–9.2% | 6.7–9.6% | 6.5–9.9% | 6.1–10.5% |
| TOP 09 (EPP) | 0.0% | 5.5% | 4.7–6.5% | 4.4–6.8% | 4.2–7.1% | 3.9–7.6% |
| Motoristé sobě (PfE) | 0.0% | 5.5% | 4.7–6.5% | 4.4–6.8% | 4.2–7.1% | 3.9–7.6% |
| Stačilo! (GUE/NGL) | 0.0% | 5.5% | 4.7–6.5% | 4.4–6.8% | 4.2–7.1% | 3.9–7.6% |
| Křesťanská a demokratická unie–Československá strana lidová (EPP) | 0.0% | 5.3% | 4.5–6.3% | 4.3–6.6% | 4.1–6.8% | 3.7–7.3% |
| Přísaha (PfE) | 0.0% | 2.5% | 2.0–3.3% | 1.9–3.5% | 1.7–3.7% | 1.5–4.1% |
| Sociální demokracie (S&D) | 0.0% | 1.5% | 1.1–2.1% | 1.0–2.3% | 0.9–2.4% | 0.7–2.7% |
Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.
Seats
Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ANO 2011 (PfE) | 0 | 9 | 8–9 | 8–9 | 8–10 | 7–10 |
| Svoboda a přímá demokracie (ESN) | 0 | 3 | 3–4 | 3–4 | 3–4 | 3–5 |
| Starostové a nezávislí (EPP) | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2–3 | 2–3 | 1–3 |
| Občanská demokratická strana (ECR) | 0 | 2 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–3 |
| Česká pirátská strana (Greens/EFA) | 0 | 2 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–3 |
| TOP 09 (EPP) | 0 | 1 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–2 |
| Motoristé sobě (PfE) | 0 | 1 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–2 | 0–2 |
| Stačilo! (GUE/NGL) | 0 | 1 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–2 |
| Křesťanská a demokratická unie–Československá strana lidová (EPP) | 0 | 1 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–2 |
| Přísaha (PfE) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Sociální demokracie (S&D) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
ANO 2011 (PfE)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the ANO 2011 (PfE) page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 0% | 100% | |
| 2 | 0% | 100% | |
| 3 | 0% | 100% | |
| 4 | 0% | 100% | |
| 5 | 0% | 100% | |
| 6 | 0% | 100% | |
| 7 | 1.0% | 100% | |
| 8 | 41% | 99.0% | |
| 9 | 53% | 58% | Median |
| 10 | 5% | 5% | |
| 11 | 0.1% | 0.1% | Majority |
| 12 | 0% | 0% |
Svoboda a přímá demokracie (ESN)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Svoboda a přímá demokracie (ESN) page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 0% | 100% | |
| 2 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 3 | 65% | 99.9% | Median |
| 4 | 34% | 35% | |
| 5 | 0.9% | 0.9% | |
| 6 | 0% | 0% |
Starostové a nezávislí (EPP)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Starostové a nezávislí (EPP) page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 1.2% | 100% | |
| 2 | 92% | 98.8% | Median |
| 3 | 7% | 7% | |
| 4 | 0% | 0% |
Občanská demokratická strana (ECR)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Občanská demokratická strana (ECR) page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 22% | 100% | |
| 2 | 77% | 78% | Median |
| 3 | 1.4% | 1.4% | |
| 4 | 0% | 0% |
Česká pirátská strana (Greens/EFA)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Česká pirátská strana (Greens/EFA) page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 14% | 100% | |
| 2 | 86% | 86% | Median |
| 3 | 0.6% | 0.6% | |
| 4 | 0% | 0% |
TOP 09 (EPP)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the TOP 09 (EPP) page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 22% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 76% | 78% | Median |
| 2 | 2% | 2% | |
| 3 | 0% | 0% |
Motoristé sobě (PfE)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Motoristé sobě (PfE) page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 16% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 80% | 84% | Median |
| 2 | 5% | 5% | |
| 3 | 0% | 0% |
Stačilo! (GUE/NGL)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Stačilo! (GUE/NGL) page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 17% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 81% | 83% | Median |
| 2 | 2% | 2% | |
| 3 | 0% | 0% |
Křesťanská a demokratická unie–Československá strana lidová (EPP)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Křesťanská a demokratická unie–Československá strana lidová (EPP) page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 25% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 74% | 75% | Median |
| 2 | 1.1% | 1.1% | |
| 3 | 0% | 0% |
Přísaha (PfE)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Přísaha (PfE) page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 100% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
Sociální demokracie (S&D)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Sociální demokracie (S&D) page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 100% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
Coalitions
Confidence Intervals
| Coalition | Last Result | Median | Majority? | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ANO 2011 (PfE) – Motoristé sobě (PfE) – Přísaha (PfE) | 0 | 9 | 6% | 9–10 | 9–11 | 9–11 | 8–11 |
| Starostové a nezávislí (EPP) – TOP 09 (EPP) – Křesťanská a demokratická unie–Československá strana lidová (EPP) | 0 | 4 | 0% | 3–4 | 3–4 | 2–5 | 2–5 |
| Stačilo! (GUE/NGL) | 0 | 1 | 0% | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–2 |
| Sociální demokracie (S&D) | 0 | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
ANO 2011 (PfE) – Motoristé sobě (PfE) – Přísaha (PfE)
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 0% | 100% | |
| 2 | 0% | 100% | |
| 3 | 0% | 100% | |
| 4 | 0% | 100% | |
| 5 | 0% | 100% | |
| 6 | 0% | 100% | |
| 7 | 0% | 100% | |
| 8 | 2% | 100% | |
| 9 | 52% | 98% | |
| 10 | 40% | 46% | Median |
| 11 | 6% | 6% | Majority |
| 12 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 13 | 0% | 0% |
Starostové a nezávislí (EPP) – TOP 09 (EPP) – Křesťanská a demokratická unie–Československá strana lidová (EPP)
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 0% | 100% | |
| 2 | 4% | 100% | |
| 3 | 34% | 96% | |
| 4 | 60% | 62% | Median |
| 5 | 3% | 3% | |
| 6 | 0% | 0% |
Stačilo! (GUE/NGL)
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 17% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 81% | 83% | Median |
| 2 | 2% | 2% | |
| 3 | 0% | 0% |
Sociální demokracie (S&D)
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 100% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
Technical Information
Opinion Poll
- Polling firm: Median
- Commissioner(s): —
- Fieldwork period: 1–30 June 2025
Calculations
- Sample size: 1022
- Simulations done: 2,097,152
- Error estimate: 1.19%