Opinion Poll by STEM for CNN Prima News, 12 June–1 July 2025
Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information
Voting Intentions
Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Poll Result | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ANO 2011 (PfE) | 0.0% | 30.7% | 29.2–32.3% | 28.8–32.7% | 28.5–33.1% | 27.8–33.8% |
| Svoboda a přímá demokracie (ESN) | 0.0% | 13.9% | 12.8–15.0% | 12.5–15.4% | 12.2–15.7% | 11.7–16.2% |
| Starostové a nezávislí (EPP) | 0.0% | 12.3% | 11.2–13.4% | 11.0–13.7% | 10.7–14.0% | 10.2–14.5% |
| Občanská demokratická strana (ECR) | 0.0% | 8.8% | 7.9–9.8% | 7.7–10.1% | 7.5–10.3% | 7.1–10.8% |
| Česká pirátská strana (Greens/EFA) | 0.0% | 7.9% | 7.1–8.8% | 6.8–9.1% | 6.6–9.3% | 6.3–9.8% |
| TOP 09 (EPP) | 0.0% | 5.9% | 5.2–6.7% | 5.0–7.0% | 4.8–7.2% | 4.5–7.6% |
| Křesťanská a demokratická unie–Československá strana lidová (EPP) | 0.0% | 5.7% | 5.0–6.5% | 4.8–6.8% | 4.7–7.0% | 4.3–7.4% |
| Stačilo! (GUE/NGL) | 0.0% | 5.0% | 4.4–5.8% | 4.2–6.0% | 4.0–6.2% | 3.7–6.6% |
| Motoristé sobě (PfE) | 0.0% | 4.0% | 3.4–4.7% | 3.2–4.9% | 3.1–5.1% | 2.9–5.4% |
| Přísaha (PfE) | 0.0% | 2.7% | 2.2–3.3% | 2.1–3.5% | 2.0–3.6% | 1.8–3.9% |
| Sociální demokracie (S&D) | 0.0% | 2.4% | 1.9–3.0% | 1.8–3.1% | 1.7–3.3% | 1.5–3.6% |
Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.
Seats
Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ANO 2011 (PfE) | 0 | 8 | 8–9 | 7–9 | 7–9 | 7–9 |
| Svoboda a přímá demokracie (ESN) | 0 | 3 | 3–4 | 3–4 | 3–4 | 3–4 |
| Starostové a nezávislí (EPP) | 0 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 2–4 | 2–4 |
| Občanská demokratická strana (ECR) | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 1–3 |
| Česká pirátská strana (Greens/EFA) | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–2 |
| TOP 09 (EPP) | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0–2 | 0–2 |
| Křesťanská a demokratická unie–Československá strana lidová (EPP) | 0 | 1 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–2 | 0–2 |
| Stačilo! (GUE/NGL) | 0 | 1 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 |
| Motoristé sobě (PfE) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0–1 | 0–1 |
| Přísaha (PfE) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Sociální demokracie (S&D) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
ANO 2011 (PfE)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the ANO 2011 (PfE) page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 0% | 100% | |
| 2 | 0% | 100% | |
| 3 | 0% | 100% | |
| 4 | 0% | 100% | |
| 5 | 0% | 100% | |
| 6 | 0% | 100% | |
| 7 | 7% | 100% | |
| 8 | 71% | 93% | Median |
| 9 | 22% | 22% | |
| 10 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 11 | 0% | 0% | Majority |
Svoboda a přímá demokracie (ESN)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Svoboda a přímá demokracie (ESN) page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 0% | 100% | |
| 2 | 0% | 100% | |
| 3 | 54% | 100% | Median |
| 4 | 46% | 46% | |
| 5 | 0% | 0% |
Starostové a nezávislí (EPP)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Starostové a nezávislí (EPP) page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 0% | 100% | |
| 2 | 3% | 100% | |
| 3 | 94% | 97% | Median |
| 4 | 3% | 3% | |
| 5 | 0% | 0% |
Občanská demokratická strana (ECR)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Občanská demokratická strana (ECR) page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 2% | 100% | |
| 2 | 96% | 98% | Median |
| 3 | 2% | 2% | |
| 4 | 0% | 0% |
Česká pirátská strana (Greens/EFA)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Česká pirátská strana (Greens/EFA) page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 6% | 100% | |
| 2 | 94% | 94% | Median |
| 3 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 4 | 0% | 0% |
TOP 09 (EPP)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the TOP 09 (EPP) page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 5% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 92% | 95% | Median |
| 2 | 3% | 3% | |
| 3 | 0% | 0% |
Křesťanská a demokratická unie–Československá strana lidová (EPP)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Křesťanská a demokratická unie–Československá strana lidová (EPP) page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 23% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 74% | 77% | Median |
| 2 | 4% | 4% | |
| 3 | 0% | 0% |
Stačilo! (GUE/NGL)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Stačilo! (GUE/NGL) page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 39% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 61% | 61% | Median |
| 2 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 3 | 0% | 0% |
Motoristé sobě (PfE)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Motoristé sobě (PfE) page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 95% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
| 1 | 5% | 5% | |
| 2 | 0% | 0% |
Přísaha (PfE)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Přísaha (PfE) page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 100% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
Sociální demokracie (S&D)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Sociální demokracie (S&D) page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 100% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
Coalitions
Confidence Intervals
| Coalition | Last Result | Median | Majority? | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ANO 2011 (PfE) – Motoristé sobě (PfE) – Přísaha (PfE) | 0 | 8 | 0% | 8–9 | 7–9 | 7–9 | 7–9 |
| Starostové a nezávislí (EPP) – TOP 09 (EPP) – Křesťanská a demokratická unie–Československá strana lidová (EPP) | 0 | 5 | 0% | 4–5 | 4–6 | 4–6 | 4–6 |
| Stačilo! (GUE/NGL) | 0 | 1 | 0% | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 |
| Sociální demokracie (S&D) | 0 | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
ANO 2011 (PfE) – Motoristé sobě (PfE) – Přísaha (PfE)
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 0% | 100% | |
| 2 | 0% | 100% | |
| 3 | 0% | 100% | |
| 4 | 0% | 100% | |
| 5 | 0% | 100% | |
| 6 | 0% | 100% | |
| 7 | 7% | 100% | |
| 8 | 67% | 93% | Median |
| 9 | 26% | 26% | |
| 10 | 0.4% | 0.4% | |
| 11 | 0% | 0% | Majority |
Starostové a nezávislí (EPP) – TOP 09 (EPP) – Křesťanská a demokratická unie–Československá strana lidová (EPP)
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 0% | 100% | |
| 2 | 0% | 100% | |
| 3 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 4 | 28% | 99.8% | |
| 5 | 65% | 72% | Median |
| 6 | 7% | 7% | |
| 7 | 0% | 0% |
Stačilo! (GUE/NGL)
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 39% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 61% | 61% | Median |
| 2 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 3 | 0% | 0% |
Sociální demokracie (S&D)
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 100% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
Technical Information
Opinion Poll
- Polling firm: STEM
- Commissioner(s): CNN Prima News
- Fieldwork period: 12 June–1 July 2025
Calculations
- Sample size: 1559
- Simulations done: 2,097,152
- Error estimate: 1.59%