Opinion Poll by STEM for CNN Prima News, 19 June–8 July 2025

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
ANO 2011 (PfE) 0.0% 30.9% 29.4–32.4% 29.0–32.9% 28.7–33.3% 28.0–34.0%
Starostové a nezávislí (EPP) 0.0% 13.2% 12.1–14.4% 11.9–14.7% 11.6–15.0% 11.1–15.6%
Svoboda a přímá demokracie (ESN) 0.0% 12.4% 11.4–13.6% 11.1–13.9% 10.9–14.2% 10.4–14.7%
Občanská demokratická strana (ECR) 0.0% 8.6% 7.7–9.5% 7.5–9.8% 7.3–10.1% 6.9–10.6%
Česká pirátská strana (Greens/EFA) 0.0% 8.0% 7.2–8.9% 6.9–9.2% 6.7–9.4% 6.4–9.9%
Stačilo! (GUE/NGL) 0.0% 6.3% 5.6–7.2% 5.4–7.4% 5.2–7.6% 4.9–8.1%
TOP 09 (EPP) 0.0% 5.8% 5.1–6.6% 4.9–6.9% 4.7–7.1% 4.4–7.5%
Křesťanská a demokratická unie–Československá strana lidová (EPP) 0.0% 5.6% 4.9–6.4% 4.7–6.7% 4.6–6.9% 4.3–7.3%
Motoristé sobě (PfE) 0.0% 3.5% 2.9–4.2% 2.8–4.3% 2.7–4.5% 2.4–4.9%
Sociální demokracie (S&D) 0.0% 3.2% 2.7–3.9% 2.6–4.1% 2.4–4.2% 2.2–4.6%
Přísaha (PfE) 0.0% 2.2% 1.8–2.8% 1.7–2.9% 1.6–3.0% 1.4–3.3%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
ANO 2011 (PfE) 0 8 8–9 8–9 7–9 7–10
Starostové a nezávislí (EPP) 0 3 3 3–4 3–4 3–4
Svoboda a přímá demokracie (ESN) 0 3 3 3 3–4 2–4
Občanská demokratická strana (ECR) 0 2 2 1–2 1–2 1–2
Česká pirátská strana (Greens/EFA) 0 2 1–2 1–2 1–2 1–2
Stačilo! (GUE/NGL) 0 1 1 1–2 1–2 0–2
TOP 09 (EPP) 0 1 1 0–1 0–1 0–2
Křesťanská a demokratická unie–Československá strana lidová (EPP) 0 1 0–1 0–1 0–1 0–1
Motoristé sobě (PfE) 0 0 0 0 0 0
Sociální demokracie (S&D) 0 0 0 0 0 0
Přísaha (PfE) 0 0 0 0 0 0

ANO 2011 (PfE)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the ANO 2011 (PfE) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 0% 100%  
3 0% 100%  
4 0% 100%  
5 0% 100%  
6 0% 100%  
7 3% 100%  
8 65% 97% Median
9 31% 31%  
10 0.7% 0.7%  
11 0% 0% Majority

Starostové a nezávislí (EPP)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Starostové a nezávislí (EPP) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 0.4% 100%  
3 95% 99.6% Median
4 5% 5%  
5 0% 0%  

Svoboda a přímá demokracie (ESN)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Svoboda a přímá demokracie (ESN) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 2% 100%  
3 95% 98% Median
4 3% 3%  
5 0% 0%  

Občanská demokratická strana (ECR)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Občanská demokratická strana (ECR) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 7% 100%  
2 92% 93% Median
3 0.2% 0.2%  
4 0% 0%  

Česká pirátská strana (Greens/EFA)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Česká pirátská strana (Greens/EFA) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 11% 100%  
2 89% 89% Median
3 0% 0%  

Stačilo! (GUE/NGL)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Stačilo! (GUE/NGL) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0.8% 100% Last Result
1 91% 99.2% Median
2 9% 9%  
3 0% 0%  

TOP 09 (EPP)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the TOP 09 (EPP) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 8% 100% Last Result
1 91% 92% Median
2 1.0% 1.0%  
3 0% 0%  

Křesťanská a demokratická unie–Československá strana lidová (EPP)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Křesťanská a demokratická unie–Československá strana lidová (EPP) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 18% 100% Last Result
1 82% 82% Median
2 0.3% 0.3%  
3 0% 0%  

Motoristé sobě (PfE)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Motoristé sobě (PfE) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 99.8% 100% Last Result, Median
1 0.2% 0.2%  
2 0% 0%  

Sociální demokracie (S&D)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Sociální demokracie (S&D) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 99.8% 100% Last Result, Median
1 0.2% 0.2%  
2 0% 0%  

Přísaha (PfE)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Přísaha (PfE) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Coalitions

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Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
ANO 2011 (PfE) – Motoristé sobě (PfE) – Přísaha (PfE) 0 8 0% 8–9 8–9 7–9 7–10
Starostové a nezávislí (EPP) – TOP 09 (EPP) – Křesťanská a demokratická unie–Československá strana lidová (EPP) 0 5 0% 4–5 4–5 4–6 3–6
Stačilo! (GUE/NGL) 0 1 0% 1 1–2 1–2 0–2
Sociální demokracie (S&D) 0 0 0% 0 0 0 0

ANO 2011 (PfE) – Motoristé sobě (PfE) – Přísaha (PfE)

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 0% 100%  
3 0% 100%  
4 0% 100%  
5 0% 100%  
6 0% 100%  
7 3% 100%  
8 65% 97% Median
9 31% 32%  
10 0.7% 0.7%  
11 0% 0% Majority

Starostové a nezávislí (EPP) – TOP 09 (EPP) – Křesťanská a demokratická unie–Československá strana lidová (EPP)

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 0% 100%  
3 1.0% 100%  
4 22% 99.0%  
5 73% 77% Median
6 4% 4%  
7 0.2% 0.2%  
8 0% 0%  

Stačilo! (GUE/NGL)

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0.8% 100% Last Result
1 91% 99.2% Median
2 9% 9%  
3 0% 0%  

Sociální demokracie (S&D)

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 99.8% 100% Last Result, Median
1 0.2% 0.2%  
2 0% 0%  

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations