Opinion Poll by STEM for CNN Prima News, 3–22 July 2025

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
ANO 2011 (PfE) 0.0% 32.9% 31.4–34.5% 31.0–34.9% 30.6–35.3% 29.9–36.0%
Svoboda a přímá demokracie (ESN) 0.0% 12.5% 11.5–13.6% 11.2–14.0% 11.0–14.3% 10.5–14.8%
Starostové a nezávislí (EPP) 0.0% 12.0% 11.0–13.1% 10.7–13.4% 10.5–13.7% 10.0–14.3%
Občanská demokratická strana (ECR) 0.0% 9.1% 8.2–10.1% 8.0–10.4% 7.8–10.7% 7.4–11.1%
Česká pirátská strana (Greens/EFA) 0.0% 7.6% 6.8–8.5% 6.5–8.8% 6.4–9.0% 6.0–9.5%
Stačilo! (GUE/NGL) 0.0% 7.2% 6.4–8.1% 6.2–8.4% 6.0–8.6% 5.6–9.0%
TOP 09 (EPP) 0.0% 6.2% 5.4–7.0% 5.2–7.3% 5.1–7.5% 4.7–7.9%
Křesťanská a demokratická unie–Československá strana lidová (EPP) 0.0% 6.0% 5.3–6.8% 5.1–7.1% 4.9–7.3% 4.6–7.7%
Motoristé sobě (PfE) 0.0% 4.1% 3.5–4.8% 3.4–5.0% 3.2–5.2% 3.0–5.6%
Přísaha (PfE) 0.0% 1.9% 1.5–2.5% 1.4–2.6% 1.3–2.7% 1.2–3.0%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
ANO 2011 (PfE) 0 8 8–9 8–9 7–9 7–9
Svoboda a přímá demokracie (ESN) 0 3 3 2–3 2–3 2–4
Starostové a nezávislí (EPP) 0 3 2–3 2–3 2–3 2–3
Občanská demokratická strana (ECR) 0 2 2 2 2 1–3
Česká pirátská strana (Greens/EFA) 0 2 1–2 1–2 1–2 1–2
Stačilo! (GUE/NGL) 0 1 1–2 1–2 1–2 1–2
TOP 09 (EPP) 0 1 1 1 1–2 0–2
Křesťanská a demokratická unie–Československá strana lidová (EPP) 0 1 1 1 0–1 0–2
Motoristé sobě (PfE) 0 0 0 0 0–1 0–1
Přísaha (PfE) 0 0 0 0 0 0

ANO 2011 (PfE)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the ANO 2011 (PfE) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 0% 100%  
3 0% 100%  
4 0% 100%  
5 0% 100%  
6 0% 100%  
7 3% 100%  
8 60% 97% Median
9 37% 37%  
10 0.1% 0.1%  
11 0% 0% Majority

Svoboda a přímá demokracie (ESN)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Svoboda a přímá demokracie (ESN) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 6% 100%  
3 93% 94% Median
4 1.0% 1.0%  
5 0% 0%  

Starostové a nezávislí (EPP)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Starostové a nezávislí (EPP) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 19% 100%  
3 81% 81% Median
4 0.3% 0.3%  
5 0% 0%  

Občanská demokratická strana (ECR)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Občanská demokratická strana (ECR) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 1.0% 100%  
2 98% 99.0% Median
3 0.8% 0.8%  
4 0% 0%  

Česká pirátská strana (Greens/EFA)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Česká pirátská strana (Greens/EFA) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 48% 100%  
2 52% 52% Median
3 0% 0%  

Stačilo! (GUE/NGL)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Stačilo! (GUE/NGL) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 63% 100% Median
2 37% 37%  
3 0% 0%  

TOP 09 (EPP)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the TOP 09 (EPP) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 2% 100% Last Result
1 95% 98% Median
2 3% 3%  
3 0% 0%  

Křesťanská a demokratická unie–Československá strana lidová (EPP)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Křesťanská a demokratická unie–Československá strana lidová (EPP) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 4% 100% Last Result
1 94% 96% Median
2 2% 2%  
3 0% 0%  

Motoristé sobě (PfE)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Motoristé sobě (PfE) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 96% 100% Last Result, Median
1 4% 4%  
2 0% 0%  

Přísaha (PfE)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Přísaha (PfE) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Coalitions

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Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
ANO 2011 (PfE) – Motoristé sobě (PfE) – Přísaha (PfE) 0 8 0% 8–9 8–9 7–9 7–10
Starostové a nezávislí (EPP) – TOP 09 (EPP) – Křesťanská a demokratická unie–Československá strana lidová (EPP) 0 5 0% 4–5 4–5 4–6 3–6
Stačilo! (GUE/NGL) 0 1 0% 1–2 1–2 1–2 1–2

ANO 2011 (PfE) – Motoristé sobě (PfE) – Přísaha (PfE)

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 0% 100%  
3 0% 100%  
4 0% 100%  
5 0% 100%  
6 0% 100%  
7 3% 100%  
8 58% 97% Median
9 39% 40%  
10 0.9% 0.9%  
11 0% 0% Majority

Starostové a nezávislí (EPP) – TOP 09 (EPP) – Křesťanská a demokratická unie–Československá strana lidová (EPP)

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 0% 100%  
3 1.3% 100%  
4 21% 98.7%  
5 75% 78% Median
6 3% 3%  
7 0% 0%  

Stačilo! (GUE/NGL)

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 63% 100% Median
2 37% 37%  
3 0% 0%  

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations