Opinion Poll by STEM for CNN Prima News, 17 July–5 August 2025

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
ANO 2011 (PfE) 0.0% 31.1% 29.6–32.6% 29.2–33.1% 28.8–33.4% 28.1–34.2%
Svoboda a přímá demokracie (ESN) 0.0% 13.2% 12.2–14.4% 11.9–14.7% 11.6–15.0% 11.1–15.6%
Starostové a nezávislí (EPP) 0.0% 10.5% 9.6–11.6% 9.3–11.9% 9.1–12.1% 8.6–12.7%
Občanská demokratická strana (ECR) 0.0% 9.2% 8.3–10.2% 8.0–10.5% 7.8–10.7% 7.4–11.2%
Česká pirátská strana (Greens/EFA) 0.0% 8.1% 7.3–9.1% 7.1–9.4% 6.9–9.6% 6.5–10.1%
Stačilo! (GUE/NGL) 0.0% 8.0% 7.2–8.9% 6.9–9.2% 6.7–9.5% 6.4–9.9%
TOP 09 (EPP) 0.0% 6.2% 5.5–7.1% 5.3–7.3% 5.1–7.5% 4.8–7.9%
Křesťanská a demokratická unie–Československá strana lidová (EPP) 0.0% 6.0% 5.3–6.8% 5.1–7.1% 4.9–7.3% 4.6–7.7%
Motoristé sobě (PfE) 0.0% 4.9% 4.3–5.7% 4.1–5.9% 3.9–6.1% 3.6–6.5%
Přísaha (PfE) 0.0% 2.2% 1.8–2.8% 1.7–2.9% 1.6–3.0% 1.4–3.3%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
ANO 2011 (PfE) 0 8 7–8 7–8 7–9 7–9
Svoboda a přímá demokracie (ESN) 0 3 3 3 3–4 2–4
Starostové a nezávislí (EPP) 0 2 2–3 2–3 2–3 2–3
Občanská demokratická strana (ECR) 0 2 2 2 2 1–2
Česká pirátská strana (Greens/EFA) 0 2 1–2 1–2 1–2 1–2
Stačilo! (GUE/NGL) 0 2 1–2 1–2 1–2 1–2
TOP 09 (EPP) 0 1 1 1 1–2 0–2
Křesťanská a demokratická unie–Československá strana lidová (EPP) 0 1 1 1 0–1 0–2
Motoristé sobě (PfE) 0 0 0–1 0–1 0–1 0–1
Přísaha (PfE) 0 0 0 0 0 0

ANO 2011 (PfE)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the ANO 2011 (PfE) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 0% 100%  
3 0% 100%  
4 0% 100%  
5 0% 100%  
6 0.1% 100%  
7 29% 99.9%  
8 69% 71% Median
9 3% 3%  
10 0% 0%  

Svoboda a přímá demokracie (ESN)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Svoboda a přímá demokracie (ESN) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 1.0% 100%  
3 96% 99.0% Median
4 3% 3%  
5 0% 0%  

Starostové a nezávislí (EPP)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Starostové a nezávislí (EPP) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 84% 100% Median
3 16% 16%  
4 0% 0%  

Občanská demokratická strana (ECR)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Občanská demokratická strana (ECR) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 1.4% 100%  
2 98% 98.6% Median
3 0.4% 0.4%  
4 0% 0%  

Česká pirátská strana (Greens/EFA)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Česká pirátská strana (Greens/EFA) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 14% 100%  
2 86% 86% Median
3 0% 0%  

Stačilo! (GUE/NGL)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Stačilo! (GUE/NGL) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 18% 100%  
2 82% 82% Median
3 0% 0%  

TOP 09 (EPP)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the TOP 09 (EPP) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 1.2% 100% Last Result
1 94% 98.8% Median
2 5% 5%  
3 0% 0%  

Křesťanská a demokratická unie–Československá strana lidová (EPP)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Křesťanská a demokratická unie–Československá strana lidová (EPP) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 4% 100% Last Result
1 95% 96% Median
2 1.1% 1.1%  
3 0% 0%  

Motoristé sobě (PfE)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Motoristé sobě (PfE) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 60% 100% Last Result, Median
1 40% 40%  
2 0% 0%  

Přísaha (PfE)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Přísaha (PfE) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Coalitions

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Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
ANO 2011 (PfE) – Motoristé sobě (PfE) – Přísaha (PfE) 0 8 0% 8–9 7–9 7–9 7–9
Starostové a nezávislí (EPP) – TOP 09 (EPP) – Křesťanská a demokratická unie–Československá strana lidová (EPP) 0 4 0% 4–5 4–5 3–5 3–5
Stačilo! (GUE/NGL) 0 2 0% 1–2 1–2 1–2 1–2

ANO 2011 (PfE) – Motoristé sobě (PfE) – Přísaha (PfE)

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 0% 100%  
3 0% 100%  
4 0% 100%  
5 0% 100%  
6 0% 100%  
7 7% 100%  
8 72% 93% Median
9 20% 21%  
10 0.4% 0.4%  
11 0% 0% Majority

Starostové a nezávislí (EPP) – TOP 09 (EPP) – Křesťanská a demokratická unie–Československá strana lidová (EPP)

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 0% 100%  
3 3% 100%  
4 78% 97% Median
5 19% 20%  
6 0.2% 0.2%  
7 0% 0%  

Stačilo! (GUE/NGL)

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 18% 100%  
2 82% 82% Median
3 0% 0%  

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations