Opinion Poll by STEM for CNN Prima News, 24 July–12 August 2025

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
ANO 2011 (PfE) 0.0% 32.5% 31.0–34.0% 30.5–34.5% 30.2–34.9% 29.5–35.6%
Svoboda a přímá demokracie (ESN) 0.0% 12.1% 11.1–13.2% 10.8–13.5% 10.6–13.8% 10.1–14.4%
Starostové a nezávislí (EPP) 0.0% 10.8% 9.8–11.9% 9.6–12.2% 9.3–12.5% 8.9–13.0%
Česká pirátská strana (Greens/EFA) 0.0% 9.2% 8.3–10.2% 8.0–10.5% 7.8–10.7% 7.4–11.2%
Občanská demokratická strana (ECR) 0.0% 8.7% 7.8–9.7% 7.6–9.9% 7.4–10.2% 7.0–10.7%
TOP 09 (EPP) 0.0% 5.8% 5.1–6.7% 4.9–6.9% 4.8–7.1% 4.4–7.5%
Křesťanská a demokratická unie–Československá strana lidová (EPP) 0.0% 5.6% 4.9–6.5% 4.7–6.7% 4.6–6.9% 4.3–7.3%
Komunistická strana Čech a Moravy–Spojení demokraté - Sdružení nezávislých–Stačilo! (NI) 0.0% 5.2% 4.6–6.1% 4.4–6.3% 4.2–6.5% 3.9–6.9%
Motoristé sobě (PfE) 0.0% 4.7% 4.1–5.5% 3.9–5.7% 3.8–5.9% 3.5–6.3%
Přísaha (PfE) 0.0% 2.4% 2.0–3.0% 1.8–3.1% 1.7–3.3% 1.6–3.6%
Sociální demokracie (S&D) 0.0% 1.0% 0.7–1.4% 0.6–1.5% 0.6–1.6% 0.5–1.8%
Česká strana národně sociální (*) 0.0% 0.6% 0.4–1.0% 0.4–1.1% 0.4–1.2% 0.3–1.4%
Moravané (Greens/EFA) 0.0% 0.2% 0.1–0.4% 0.1–0.5% 0.1–0.6% 0.0–0.7%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
ANO 2011 (PfE) 0 8 8–9 8–9 8–9 7–9
Svoboda a přímá demokracie (ESN) 0 3 2–3 2–3 2–3 2–3
Starostové a nezávislí (EPP) 0 2 2–3 2–3 2–3 2–3
Česká pirátská strana (Greens/EFA) 0 2 2 2 2 1–2
Občanská demokratická strana (ECR) 0 2 2 2 1–2 1–2
TOP 09 (EPP) 0 1 1 0–1 0–1 0–2
Křesťanská a demokratická unie–Československá strana lidová (EPP) 0 1 1 0–1 0–1 0–2
Komunistická strana Čech a Moravy–Spojení demokraté - Sdružení nezávislých–Stačilo! (NI) 0 1 1–2 1–2 1–2 1–2
Motoristé sobě (PfE) 0 0 0–1 0–1 0–1 0–1
Přísaha (PfE) 0 0 0 0 0 0
Sociální demokracie (S&D) 0 0 0 0 0 0
Česká strana národně sociální (*) 0 0 0 0 0 0
Moravané (Greens/EFA) 0 0 0 0 0 0

ANO 2011 (PfE)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the ANO 2011 (PfE) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 0% 100%  
3 0% 100%  
4 0% 100%  
5 0% 100%  
6 0% 100%  
7 1.4% 100%  
8 83% 98.6% Median
9 16% 16%  
10 0.3% 0.3%  
11 0% 0% Majority

Svoboda a přímá demokracie (ESN)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Svoboda a přímá demokracie (ESN) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 13% 100%  
3 87% 87% Median
4 0.1% 0.1%  
5 0% 0%  

Starostové a nezávislí (EPP)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Starostové a nezávislí (EPP) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 58% 100% Median
3 42% 42%  
4 0% 0%  

Česká pirátská strana (Greens/EFA)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Česká pirátská strana (Greens/EFA) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0.6% 100%  
2 99.1% 99.4% Median
3 0.4% 0.4%  
4 0% 0%  

Občanská demokratická strana (ECR)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Občanská demokratická strana (ECR) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 4% 100%  
2 96% 96% Median
3 0.1% 0.1%  
4 0% 0%  

TOP 09 (EPP)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the TOP 09 (EPP) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 7% 100% Last Result
1 93% 93% Median
2 0.6% 0.6%  
3 0% 0%  

Křesťanská a demokratická unie–Československá strana lidová (EPP)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Křesťanská a demokratická unie–Československá strana lidová (EPP) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 7% 100% Last Result
1 92% 93% Median
2 1.4% 1.4%  
3 0% 0%  

Komunistická strana Čech a Moravy–Spojení demokraté - Sdružení nezávislých–Stačilo! (NI)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Komunistická strana Čech a Moravy–Spojení demokraté - Sdružení nezávislých–Stačilo! (NI) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 70% 100% Median
2 30% 30%  
3 0% 0%  

Motoristé sobě (PfE)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Motoristé sobě (PfE) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 59% 100% Last Result, Median
1 41% 41%  
2 0% 0%  

Přísaha (PfE)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Přísaha (PfE) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Sociální demokracie (S&D)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Sociální demokracie (S&D) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Česká strana národně sociální (*)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Česká strana národně sociální (*) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Moravané (Greens/EFA)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Moravané (Greens/EFA) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Coalitions

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Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
ANO 2011 (PfE) – Motoristé sobě (PfE) – Přísaha (PfE) 0 9 0% 8–9 8–9 8–10 7–10
Starostové a nezávislí (EPP) – TOP 09 (EPP) – Křesťanská a demokratická unie–Československá strana lidová (EPP) 0 4 0% 4–5 3–5 3–5 3–5
Sociální demokracie (S&D) 0 0 0% 0 0 0 0

ANO 2011 (PfE) – Motoristé sobě (PfE) – Přísaha (PfE)

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 0% 100%  
3 0% 100%  
4 0% 100%  
5 0% 100%  
6 0% 100%  
7 0.6% 100%  
8 47% 99.4% Median
9 48% 52%  
10 4% 4%  
11 0% 0% Majority

Starostové a nezávislí (EPP) – TOP 09 (EPP) – Křesťanská a demokratická unie–Československá strana lidová (EPP)

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 0.1% 100%  
3 5% 99.9%  
4 59% 95% Median
5 35% 36%  
6 0.5% 0.5%  
7 0% 0%  

Sociální demokracie (S&D)

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations