Opinion Poll by STEM for CNN Prima News, 7–26 August 2025

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
ANO 2011 (PfE) 0.0% 31.1% 29.6–32.7% 29.2–33.1% 28.9–33.5% 28.2–34.2%
Svoboda a přímá demokracie (ESN) 0.0% 12.8% 11.8–13.9% 11.5–14.3% 11.2–14.6% 10.7–15.1%
Starostové a nezávislí (EPP) 0.0% 10.1% 9.1–11.1% 8.9–11.4% 8.7–11.7% 8.2–12.2%
Občanská demokratická strana (ECR) 0.0% 9.0% 8.1–10.0% 7.9–10.3% 7.7–10.5% 7.3–11.0%
Česká pirátská strana (Greens/EFA) 0.0% 8.9% 8.0–9.9% 7.8–10.2% 7.6–10.4% 7.2–10.9%
TOP 09 (EPP) 0.0% 6.1% 5.3–6.9% 5.2–7.2% 5.0–7.4% 4.7–7.8%
Křesťanská a demokratická unie–Československá strana lidová (EPP) 0.0% 5.8% 5.1–6.7% 4.9–6.9% 4.8–7.1% 4.4–7.5%
Motoristé sobě (PfE) 0.0% 5.1% 4.5–5.9% 4.3–6.1% 4.1–6.3% 3.8–6.7%
Komunistická strana Čech a Moravy–Spojení demokraté - Sdružení nezávislých–Stačilo! (NI) 0.0% 4.8% 4.1–5.6% 4.0–5.8% 3.8–6.0% 3.5–6.4%
Přísaha (PfE) 0.0% 3.4% 2.9–4.1% 2.7–4.3% 2.6–4.5% 2.4–4.8%
Sociální demokracie (S&D) 0.0% 0.9% 0.7–1.3% 0.6–1.4% 0.5–1.5% 0.4–1.7%
Česká strana národně sociální (*) 0.0% 0.6% 0.4–0.9% 0.4–1.0% 0.3–1.1% 0.2–1.3%
Moravané (Greens/EFA) 0.0% 0.2% 0.1–0.4% 0.1–0.5% 0.1–0.6% 0.0–0.7%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
ANO 2011 (PfE) 0 8 7–8 7–9 7–9 7–9
Svoboda a přímá demokracie (ESN) 0 3 3 3 2–4 2–4
Starostové a nezávislí (EPP) 0 2 2–3 2–3 2–3 2–3
Občanská demokratická strana (ECR) 0 2 2 2 2 1–3
Česká pirátská strana (Greens/EFA) 0 2 2 2 2–3 1–3
TOP 09 (EPP) 0 1 1 0–1 0–2 0–2
Křesťanská a demokratická unie–Československá strana lidová (EPP) 0 1 1 0–2 0–2 0–2
Motoristé sobě (PfE) 0 1 0–1 0–1 0–1 0–1
Komunistická strana Čech a Moravy–Spojení demokraté - Sdružení nezávislých–Stačilo! (NI) 0 1 1–2 1–2 1–2 1–2
Přísaha (PfE) 0 0 0 0 0 0
Sociální demokracie (S&D) 0 0 0 0 0 0
Česká strana národně sociální (*) 0 0 0 0 0 0
Moravané (Greens/EFA) 0 0 0 0 0 0

ANO 2011 (PfE)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the ANO 2011 (PfE) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 0% 100%  
3 0% 100%  
4 0% 100%  
5 0% 100%  
6 0% 100%  
7 13% 100%  
8 80% 87% Median
9 6% 7%  
10 0% 0%  

Svoboda a přímá demokracie (ESN)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Svoboda a přímá demokracie (ESN) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 3% 100%  
3 92% 97% Median
4 5% 5%  
5 0% 0%  

Starostové a nezávislí (EPP)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Starostové a nezávislí (EPP) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 89% 100% Median
3 11% 11%  
4 0% 0%  

Občanská demokratická strana (ECR)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Občanská demokratická strana (ECR) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 1.0% 100%  
2 98% 99.0% Median
3 1.3% 1.3%  
4 0% 0%  

Česká pirátská strana (Greens/EFA)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Česká pirátská strana (Greens/EFA) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0.9% 100%  
2 94% 99.1% Median
3 5% 5%  
4 0% 0%  

TOP 09 (EPP)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the TOP 09 (EPP) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 6% 100% Last Result
1 89% 94% Median
2 5% 5%  
3 0% 0%  

Křesťanská a demokratická unie–Československá strana lidová (EPP)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Křesťanská a demokratická unie–Československá strana lidová (EPP) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 6% 100% Last Result
1 89% 94% Median
2 6% 6%  
3 0% 0%  

Motoristé sobě (PfE)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Motoristé sobě (PfE) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 35% 100% Last Result
1 65% 65% Median
2 0% 0%  

Komunistická strana Čech a Moravy–Spojení demokraté - Sdružení nezávislých–Stačilo! (NI)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Komunistická strana Čech a Moravy–Spojení demokraté - Sdružení nezávislých–Stačilo! (NI) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0.2% 100% Last Result
1 74% 99.8% Median
2 26% 26%  
3 0% 0%  

Přísaha (PfE)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Přísaha (PfE) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 99.9% 100% Last Result, Median
1 0.1% 0.1%  
2 0% 0%  

Sociální demokracie (S&D)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Sociální demokracie (S&D) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Česká strana národně sociální (*)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Česká strana národně sociální (*) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Moravané (Greens/EFA)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Moravané (Greens/EFA) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Coalitions

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Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
ANO 2011 (PfE) – Motoristé sobě (PfE) – Přísaha (PfE) 0 9 0% 8–9 8–9 8–9 7–10
Starostové a nezávislí (EPP) – TOP 09 (EPP) – Křesťanská a demokratická unie–Československá strana lidová (EPP) 0 4 0% 4–5 3–5 3–5 3–5
Sociální demokracie (S&D) 0 0 0% 0 0 0 0

ANO 2011 (PfE) – Motoristé sobě (PfE) – Přísaha (PfE)

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 0% 100%  
3 0% 100%  
4 0% 100%  
5 0% 100%  
6 0% 100%  
7 2% 100%  
8 39% 98%  
9 57% 59% Median
10 2% 2%  
11 0% 0% Majority

Starostové a nezávislí (EPP) – TOP 09 (EPP) – Křesťanská a demokratická unie–Československá strana lidová (EPP)

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 0.4% 100%  
3 7% 99.6%  
4 75% 93% Median
5 17% 17%  
6 0.2% 0.2%  
7 0% 0%  

Sociální demokracie (S&D)

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations