Opinion Poll by STEM for CNN Prima News, 14 August–2 September 2025

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
ANO 2011 (PfE) 0.0% 30.6% 29.2–32.2% 28.7–32.6% 28.4–33.0% 27.7–33.7%
Svoboda a přímá demokracie (ESN) 0.0% 12.9% 11.9–14.1% 11.6–14.4% 11.3–14.7% 10.8–15.2%
Starostové a nezávislí (EPP) 0.0% 10.5% 9.6–11.6% 9.3–11.9% 9.1–12.1% 8.6–12.7%
Česká pirátská strana (Greens/EFA) 0.0% 9.2% 8.3–10.2% 8.0–10.5% 7.8–10.7% 7.4–11.2%
Občanská demokratická strana (ECR) 0.0% 8.7% 7.8–9.7% 7.6–10.0% 7.4–10.2% 7.0–10.7%
TOP 09 (EPP) 0.0% 5.9% 5.2–6.7% 5.0–7.0% 4.8–7.2% 4.5–7.6%
Křesťanská a demokratická unie–Československá strana lidová (EPP) 0.0% 5.7% 5.0–6.5% 4.8–6.7% 4.6–7.0% 4.3–7.4%
Komunistická strana Čech a Moravy–Spojení demokraté - Sdružení nezávislých–Stačilo! (NI) 0.0% 5.5% 4.8–6.3% 4.6–6.5% 4.5–6.7% 4.1–7.1%
Motoristé sobě (PfE) 0.0% 5.5% 4.8–6.3% 4.6–6.5% 4.5–6.7% 4.1–7.1%
Přísaha (PfE) 0.0% 2.9% 2.4–3.5% 2.3–3.7% 2.2–3.9% 2.0–4.2%
Sociální demokracie (S&D) 0.0% 1.0% 0.8–1.4% 0.7–1.6% 0.6–1.7% 0.5–1.9%
Česká strana národně sociální (*) 0.0% 0.6% 0.4–1.0% 0.4–1.1% 0.4–1.2% 0.3–1.4%
Moravané (Greens/EFA) 0.0% 0.2% 0.1–0.4% 0.1–0.5% 0.1–0.6% 0.0–0.7%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
ANO 2011 (PfE) 0 8 7–8 7–8 7–9 7–9
Svoboda a přímá demokracie (ESN) 0 3 3 2–4 2–4 2–4
Starostové a nezávislí (EPP) 0 2 2–3 2–3 2–3 2–3
Česká pirátská strana (Greens/EFA) 0 2 2 2 2 1–3
Občanská demokratická strana (ECR) 0 2 2 2 1–2 1–2
TOP 09 (EPP) 0 1 1 0–1 0–1 0–2
Křesťanská a demokratická unie–Československá strana lidová (EPP) 0 1 0–1 0–1 0–1 0–1
Komunistická strana Čech a Moravy–Spojení demokraté - Sdružení nezávislých–Stačilo! (NI) 0 2 1–2 1–2 1–2 1–2
Motoristé sobě (PfE) 0 1 0–1 0–1 0–1 0–1
Přísaha (PfE) 0 0 0 0 0 0
Sociální demokracie (S&D) 0 0 0 0 0 0
Česká strana národně sociální (*) 0 0 0 0 0 0
Moravané (Greens/EFA) 0 0 0 0 0 0

ANO 2011 (PfE)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the ANO 2011 (PfE) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 0% 100%  
3 0% 100%  
4 0% 100%  
5 0% 100%  
6 0.1% 100%  
7 32% 99.9%  
8 63% 68% Median
9 5% 5%  
10 0% 0%  

Svoboda a přímá demokracie (ESN)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Svoboda a přímá demokracie (ESN) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 6% 100%  
3 87% 94% Median
4 7% 7%  
5 0% 0%  

Starostové a nezávislí (EPP)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Starostové a nezávislí (EPP) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 69% 100% Median
3 31% 31%  
4 0% 0%  

Česká pirátská strana (Greens/EFA)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Česká pirátská strana (Greens/EFA) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 1.2% 100%  
2 97% 98.8% Median
3 2% 2%  
4 0% 0%  

Občanská demokratická strana (ECR)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Občanská demokratická strana (ECR) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 3% 100%  
2 97% 97% Median
3 0.1% 0.1%  
4 0% 0%  

TOP 09 (EPP)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the TOP 09 (EPP) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 9% 100% Last Result
1 91% 91% Median
2 0.7% 0.7%  
3 0% 0%  

Křesťanská a demokratická unie–Československá strana lidová (EPP)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Křesťanská a demokratická unie–Československá strana lidová (EPP) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 21% 100% Last Result
1 78% 79% Median
2 0.4% 0.4%  
3 0% 0%  

Komunistická strana Čech a Moravy–Spojení demokraté - Sdružení nezávislých–Stačilo! (NI)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Komunistická strana Čech a Moravy–Spojení demokraté - Sdružení nezávislých–Stačilo! (NI) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 49% 100%  
2 51% 51% Median
3 0% 0%  

Motoristé sobě (PfE)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Motoristé sobě (PfE) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 24% 100% Last Result
1 76% 76% Median
2 0.1% 0.1%  
3 0% 0%  

Přísaha (PfE)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Přísaha (PfE) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Sociální demokracie (S&D)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Sociální demokracie (S&D) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Česká strana národně sociální (*)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Česká strana národně sociální (*) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Moravané (Greens/EFA)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Moravané (Greens/EFA) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Coalitions

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Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
ANO 2011 (PfE) – Motoristé sobě (PfE) – Přísaha (PfE) 0 8 0% 8–9 8–9 7–10 7–10
Starostové a nezávislí (EPP) – TOP 09 (EPP) – Křesťanská a demokratická unie–Československá strana lidová (EPP) 0 4 0% 4–5 3–5 2–5 2–5
Sociální demokracie (S&D) 0 0 0% 0 0 0 0

ANO 2011 (PfE) – Motoristé sobě (PfE) – Přísaha (PfE)

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 0% 100%  
3 0% 100%  
4 0% 100%  
5 0% 100%  
6 0% 100%  
7 3% 100%  
8 49% 97%  
9 44% 48% Median
10 4% 4%  
11 0% 0% Majority

Starostové a nezávislí (EPP) – TOP 09 (EPP) – Křesťanská a demokratická unie–Československá strana lidová (EPP)

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 4% 100%  
3 4% 96%  
4 80% 93% Median
5 13% 13%  
6 0% 0%  

Sociální demokracie (S&D)

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations