Opinion Poll by STEM for CNN Prima News, 18–24 September 2025

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
ANO 2011 (PfE) 0.0% 28.0% 26.4–29.7% 26.0–30.2% 25.6–30.6% 24.8–31.5%
Svoboda a přímá demokracie (ESN) 0.0% 13.8% 12.6–15.1% 12.2–15.5% 11.9–15.8% 11.4–16.5%
Starostové a nezávislí (EPP) 0.0% 12.2% 11.1–13.5% 10.7–13.9% 10.5–14.2% 10.0–14.8%
Česká pirátská strana (Greens/EFA) 0.0% 9.8% 8.8–11.0% 8.5–11.3% 8.3–11.6% 7.8–12.2%
Občanská demokratická strana (ECR) 0.0% 9.1% 8.1–10.2% 7.8–10.5% 7.6–10.8% 7.1–11.4%
TOP 09 (EPP) 0.0% 6.1% 5.3–7.1% 5.1–7.4% 4.9–7.6% 4.5–8.1%
Křesťanská a demokratická unie–Československá strana lidová (EPP) 0.0% 5.9% 5.1–6.8% 4.8–7.1% 4.7–7.3% 4.3–7.8%
Motoristé sobě (PfE) 0.0% 5.6% 4.8–6.6% 4.6–6.8% 4.4–7.1% 4.1–7.5%
Komunistická strana Čech a Moravy–Spojení demokraté - Sdružení nezávislých–Stačilo! (NI) 0.0% 4.0% 3.4–4.9% 3.2–5.1% 3.1–5.3% 2.8–5.7%
Přísaha (PfE) 0.0% 3.4% 2.8–4.1% 2.6–4.4% 2.5–4.6% 2.2–5.0%
Sociální demokracie (S&D) 0.0% 0.7% 0.5–1.2% 0.4–1.3% 0.4–1.4% 0.3–1.6%
Česká strana národně sociální (*) 0.0% 0.5% 0.3–0.9% 0.3–1.0% 0.2–1.1% 0.2–1.3%
Moravané (Greens/EFA) 0.0% 0.2% 0.1–0.4% 0.1–0.5% 0.0–0.6% 0.0–0.8%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
ANO 2011 (PfE) 0 7 7–8 7–8 7–8 6–9
Svoboda a přímá demokracie (ESN) 0 3 3–4 3–4 3–4 3–4
Starostové a nezávislí (EPP) 0 3 3 2–3 2–3 2–4
Česká pirátská strana (Greens/EFA) 0 2 2 2–3 2–3 2–3
Občanská demokratická strana (ECR) 0 2 2 2 2 1–3
TOP 09 (EPP) 0 1 1 1 1 0–2
Křesťanská a demokratická unie–Československá strana lidová (EPP) 0 1 0–2 0–2 0–2 0–2
Motoristé sobě (PfE) 0 1 0–1 0–1 0–1 0–1
Komunistická strana Čech a Moravy–Spojení demokraté - Sdružení nezávislých–Stačilo! (NI) 0 1 0–2 0–2 0–2 0–2
Přísaha (PfE) 0 0 0 0 0 0
Sociální demokracie (S&D) 0 0 0 0 0 0
Česká strana národně sociální (*) 0 0 0 0 0 0
Moravané (Greens/EFA) 0 0 0 0 0 0

ANO 2011 (PfE)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the ANO 2011 (PfE) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 0% 100%  
3 0% 100%  
4 0% 100%  
5 0% 100%  
6 2% 100%  
7 58% 98% Median
8 40% 40%  
9 0.8% 0.8%  
10 0% 0%  

Svoboda a přímá demokracie (ESN)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Svoboda a přímá demokracie (ESN) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 0.5% 100%  
3 86% 99.5% Median
4 13% 13%  
5 0% 0%  

Starostové a nezávislí (EPP)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Starostové a nezávislí (EPP) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 5% 100%  
3 94% 95% Median
4 0.6% 0.6%  
5 0% 0%  

Česká pirátská strana (Greens/EFA)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Česká pirátská strana (Greens/EFA) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 93% 100% Median
3 7% 7%  
4 0% 0%  

Občanská demokratická strana (ECR)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Občanská demokratická strana (ECR) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0.9% 100%  
2 98.5% 99.1% Median
3 0.6% 0.6%  
4 0% 0%  

TOP 09 (EPP)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the TOP 09 (EPP) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 2% 100% Last Result
1 96% 98% Median
2 2% 2%  
3 0% 0%  

Křesťanská a demokratická unie–Československá strana lidová (EPP)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Křesťanská a demokratická unie–Československá strana lidová (EPP) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 14% 100% Last Result
1 63% 86% Median
2 23% 23%  
3 0% 0%  

Motoristé sobě (PfE)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Motoristé sobě (PfE) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 39% 100% Last Result
1 61% 61% Median
2 0.1% 0.1%  
3 0% 0%  

Komunistická strana Čech a Moravy–Spojení demokraté - Sdružení nezávislých–Stačilo! (NI)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Komunistická strana Čech a Moravy–Spojení demokraté - Sdružení nezávislých–Stačilo! (NI) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 34% 100% Last Result
1 55% 66% Median
2 11% 11%  
3 0% 0%  

Přísaha (PfE)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Přísaha (PfE) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 99.9% 100% Last Result, Median
1 0.1% 0.1%  
2 0% 0%  

Sociální demokracie (S&D)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Sociální demokracie (S&D) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Česká strana národně sociální (*)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Česká strana národně sociální (*) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Moravané (Greens/EFA)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Moravané (Greens/EFA) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Coalitions

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Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
ANO 2011 (PfE) – Motoristé sobě (PfE) – Přísaha (PfE) 0 8 0% 7–9 7–9 7–9 7–9
Starostové a nezávislí (EPP) – TOP 09 (EPP) – Křesťanská a demokratická unie–Československá strana lidová (EPP) 0 5 0% 4–6 4–6 4–6 4–6
Sociální demokracie (S&D) 0 0 0% 0 0 0 0

ANO 2011 (PfE) – Motoristé sobě (PfE) – Přísaha (PfE)

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 0% 100%  
3 0% 100%  
4 0% 100%  
5 0% 100%  
6 0% 100%  
7 35% 100%  
8 29% 65% Median
9 35% 36%  
10 0.2% 0.2%  
11 0% 0% Majority

Starostové a nezávislí (EPP) – TOP 09 (EPP) – Křesťanská a demokratická unie–Československá strana lidová (EPP)

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 0% 100%  
3 0.4% 100%  
4 19% 99.6%  
5 56% 80% Median
6 24% 24%  
7 0% 0%  

Sociální demokracie (S&D)

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations