Opinion Poll by Ipsos, 22–28 September 2025

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
ANO 2011 (PfE) 0.0% 32.6% 31.0–34.2% 30.6–34.6% 30.2–35.0% 29.5–35.8%
Starostové a nezávislí (EPP) 0.0% 11.2% 10.2–12.3% 9.9–12.6% 9.7–12.9% 9.2–13.5%
Svoboda a přímá demokracie (ESN) 0.0% 10.1% 9.1–11.2% 8.9–11.5% 8.6–11.8% 8.2–12.3%
Občanská demokratická strana (ECR) 0.0% 9.1% 8.2–10.1% 7.9–10.4% 7.7–10.7% 7.3–11.2%
Česká pirátská strana (Greens/EFA) 0.0% 8.7% 7.8–9.7% 7.6–10.0% 7.4–10.3% 7.0–10.8%
TOP 09 (EPP) 0.0% 6.1% 5.4–7.0% 5.2–7.3% 5.0–7.5% 4.7–7.9%
Křesťanská a demokratická unie–Československá strana lidová (EPP) 0.0% 5.9% 5.2–6.8% 5.0–7.0% 4.8–7.3% 4.5–7.7%
Komunistická strana Čech a Moravy–Spojení demokraté - Sdružení nezávislých–Stačilo! (NI) 0.0% 5.7% 5.0–6.6% 4.8–6.8% 4.6–7.0% 4.3–7.5%
Motoristé sobě (PfE) 0.0% 5.4% 4.7–6.2% 4.5–6.5% 4.3–6.7% 4.0–7.1%
Přísaha (PfE) 0.0% 2.1% 1.7–2.7% 1.6–2.9% 1.5–3.0% 1.3–3.3%
Sociální demokracie (S&D) 0.0% 1.1% 0.8–1.5% 0.7–1.7% 0.7–1.8% 0.5–2.0%
Česká strana národně sociální (*) 0.0% 0.7% 0.5–1.1% 0.4–1.2% 0.4–1.2% 0.3–1.5%
Moravané (Greens/EFA) 0.0% 0.2% 0.1–0.5% 0.1–0.5% 0.1–0.6% 0.0–0.7%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
ANO 2011 (PfE) 0 8 8 8–9 7–9 7–10
Starostové a nezávislí (EPP) 0 2 2–3 2–3 2–3 2–3
Svoboda a přímá demokracie (ESN) 0 2 2 2–3 2–3 2–3
Občanská demokratická strana (ECR) 0 2 2 2 2 1–2
Česká pirátská strana (Greens/EFA) 0 2 2 2 2 1–2
TOP 09 (EPP) 0 1 1 1 1 0–2
Křesťanská a demokratická unie–Československá strana lidová (EPP) 0 1 1 1 0–1 0–2
Komunistická strana Čech a Moravy–Spojení demokraté - Sdružení nezávislých–Stačilo! (NI) 0 2 1–2 1–2 1–2 1–2
Motoristé sobě (PfE) 0 1 0–1 0–1 0–1 0–1
Přísaha (PfE) 0 0 0 0 0 0
Sociální demokracie (S&D) 0 0 0 0 0 0
Česká strana národně sociální (*) 0 0 0 0 0 0
Moravané (Greens/EFA) 0 0 0 0 0 0

ANO 2011 (PfE)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the ANO 2011 (PfE) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 0% 100%  
3 0% 100%  
4 0% 100%  
5 0% 100%  
6 0% 100%  
7 3% 100%  
8 89% 97% Median
9 8% 8%  
10 0.9% 0.9%  
11 0% 0% Majority

Starostové a nezávislí (EPP)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Starostové a nezávislí (EPP) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 50% 100% Median
3 50% 50%  
4 0% 0%  

Svoboda a přímá demokracie (ESN)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Svoboda a přímá demokracie (ESN) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 95% 100% Median
3 5% 5%  
4 0% 0%  

Občanská demokratická strana (ECR)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Občanská demokratická strana (ECR) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 1.1% 100%  
2 98.8% 98.9% Median
3 0.2% 0.2%  
4 0% 0%  

Česká pirátská strana (Greens/EFA)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Česká pirátská strana (Greens/EFA) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 1.3% 100%  
2 98% 98.7% Median
3 0.2% 0.2%  
4 0% 0%  

TOP 09 (EPP)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the TOP 09 (EPP) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 2% 100% Last Result
1 96% 98% Median
2 2% 2%  
3 0% 0%  

Křesťanská a demokratická unie–Československá strana lidová (EPP)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Křesťanská a demokratická unie–Československá strana lidová (EPP) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 4% 100% Last Result
1 96% 96% Median
2 0.6% 0.6%  
3 0% 0%  

Komunistická strana Čech a Moravy–Spojení demokraté - Sdružení nezávislých–Stačilo! (NI)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Komunistická strana Čech a Moravy–Spojení demokraté - Sdružení nezávislých–Stačilo! (NI) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 30% 100%  
2 70% 70% Median
3 0% 0%  

Motoristé sobě (PfE)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Motoristé sobě (PfE) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 27% 100% Last Result
1 73% 73% Median
2 0.5% 0.5%  
3 0% 0%  

Přísaha (PfE)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Přísaha (PfE) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Sociální demokracie (S&D)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Sociální demokracie (S&D) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Česká strana národně sociální (*)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Česká strana národně sociální (*) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Moravané (Greens/EFA)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Moravané (Greens/EFA) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Coalitions

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Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
ANO 2011 (PfE) – Motoristé sobě (PfE) – Přísaha (PfE) 0 9 0% 8–9 8–9 8–10 7–10
Starostové a nezávislí (EPP) – TOP 09 (EPP) – Křesťanská a demokratická unie–Československá strana lidová (EPP) 0 4 0% 4–5 4–5 4–5 3–6
Sociální demokracie (S&D) 0 0 0% 0 0 0 0

ANO 2011 (PfE) – Motoristé sobě (PfE) – Přísaha (PfE)

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 0% 100%  
3 0% 100%  
4 0% 100%  
5 0% 100%  
6 0% 100%  
7 0.6% 100%  
8 21% 99.4%  
9 75% 78% Median
10 3% 3%  
11 0% 0% Majority

Starostové a nezávislí (EPP) – TOP 09 (EPP) – Křesťanská a demokratická unie–Československá strana lidová (EPP)

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 0% 100%  
3 2% 100%  
4 51% 98% Median
5 47% 48%  
6 0.6% 0.6%  
7 0% 0%  

Sociální demokracie (S&D)

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations