Opinion Poll by NMS, 13–17 February 2026

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
ANO 2011 (PfE) 0.0% 32.6% 30.3–35.0% 29.6–35.7% 29.1–36.3% 28.0–37.4%
Občanská demokratická strana (ECR) 0.0% 14.7% 13.1–16.7% 12.6–17.2% 12.2–17.7% 11.5–18.6%
Starostové a nezávislí (EPP) 0.0% 14.6% 12.9–16.5% 12.5–17.0% 12.1–17.5% 11.3–18.5%
Česká pirátská strana (Greens/EFA) 0.0% 7.2% 6.1–8.7% 5.7–9.1% 5.5–9.5% 5.0–10.2%
Svoboda a přímá demokracie (ESN) 0.0% 6.5% 5.4–7.9% 5.1–8.3% 4.8–8.6% 4.3–9.3%
Naše Česko (*) 0.0% 4.8% 3.8–6.0% 3.6–6.4% 3.4–6.7% 3.0–7.3%
Motoristé sobě (PfE) 0.0% 4.8% 3.8–6.0% 3.6–6.4% 3.4–6.7% 3.0–7.3%
Křesťanská a demokratická unie–Československá strana lidová (EPP) 0.0% 2.6% 2.0–3.6% 1.8–3.9% 1.6–4.1% 1.4–4.7%
TOP 09 (EPP) 0.0% 2.5% 1.8–3.4% 1.7–3.7% 1.5–4.0% 1.3–4.5%
Právo Respekt Odbornost (*) 0.0% 1.5% 1.1–2.4% 0.9–2.6% 0.8–2.8% 0.7–3.3%
Přísaha (PfE) 0.0% 1.4% 0.9–2.2% 0.8–2.4% 0.7–2.6% 0.6–3.0%
Strana svobodných občanů (NI) 0.0% 1.4% 0.9–2.2% 0.8–2.4% 0.7–2.6% 0.6–3.0%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
ANO 2011 (PfE) 0 9 8–10 8–10 8–10 8–11
Občanská demokratická strana (ECR) 0 4 3–4 3–5 3–5 3–5
Starostové a nezávislí (EPP) 0 4 3–5 3–5 3–5 3–5
Česká pirátská strana (Greens/EFA) 0 2 1–2 1–2 1–2 0–3
Svoboda a přímá demokracie (ESN) 0 1 1–2 1–2 0–2 0–2
Naše Česko (*) 0 0 0–1 0–1 0–2 0–2
Motoristé sobě (PfE) 0 0 0–1 0–2 0–2 0–2
Křesťanská a demokratická unie–Československá strana lidová (EPP) 0 0 0 0 0 0
TOP 09 (EPP) 0 0 0 0 0 0
Právo Respekt Odbornost (*) 0 0 0 0 0 0
Přísaha (PfE) 0 0 0 0 0 0
Strana svobodných občanů (NI) 0 0 0 0 0 0

ANO 2011 (PfE)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the ANO 2011 (PfE) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 0% 100%  
3 0% 100%  
4 0% 100%  
5 0% 100%  
6 0% 100%  
7 0.5% 100%  
8 17% 99.5%  
9 42% 82% Median
10 38% 40%  
11 2% 2% Majority
12 0% 0%  

Občanská demokratická strana (ECR)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Občanská demokratická strana (ECR) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 0% 100%  
3 20% 100%  
4 73% 80% Median
5 7% 7%  
6 0.1% 0.1%  
7 0% 0%  

Starostové a nezávislí (EPP)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Starostové a nezávislí (EPP) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 0% 100%  
3 33% 100%  
4 51% 67% Median
5 16% 16%  
6 0.1% 0.1%  
7 0% 0%  

Česká pirátská strana (Greens/EFA)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Česká pirátská strana (Greens/EFA) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 2% 100% Last Result
1 27% 98%  
2 71% 71% Median
3 0.8% 0.8%  
4 0% 0%  

Svoboda a přímá demokracie (ESN)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Svoboda a přímá demokracie (ESN) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 5% 100% Last Result
1 49% 95% Median
2 46% 47%  
3 0% 0%  

Naše Česko (*)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Naše Česko (*) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 66% 100% Last Result, Median
1 32% 34%  
2 3% 3%  
3 0% 0%  

Motoristé sobě (PfE)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Motoristé sobě (PfE) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 52% 100% Last Result, Median
1 40% 48%  
2 8% 8%  
3 0% 0%  

Křesťanská a demokratická unie–Československá strana lidová (EPP)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Křesťanská a demokratická unie–Československá strana lidová (EPP) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 99.9% 100% Last Result, Median
1 0.1% 0.1%  
2 0% 0%  

TOP 09 (EPP)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the TOP 09 (EPP) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Právo Respekt Odbornost (*)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Právo Respekt Odbornost (*) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Přísaha (PfE)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Přísaha (PfE) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Strana svobodných občanů (NI)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Strana svobodných občanů (NI) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Coalitions

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Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
ANO 2011 (PfE) – Motoristé sobě (PfE) – Přísaha (PfE) 0 10 20% 9–11 9–11 8–11 8–12
Starostové a nezávislí (EPP) – Křesťanská a demokratická unie–Československá strana lidová (EPP) – TOP 09 (EPP) 0 4 0% 3–5 3–5 3–5 3–5

ANO 2011 (PfE) – Motoristé sobě (PfE) – Přísaha (PfE)

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 0% 100%  
3 0% 100%  
4 0% 100%  
5 0% 100%  
6 0% 100%  
7 0% 100%  
8 4% 100%  
9 34% 96% Median
10 42% 62%  
11 19% 20% Majority
12 1.2% 1.2%  
13 0% 0%  

Starostové a nezávislí (EPP) – Křesťanská a demokratická unie–Československá strana lidová (EPP) – TOP 09 (EPP)

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 0% 100%  
3 33% 100%  
4 51% 67% Median
5 16% 16%  
6 0.1% 0.1%  
7 0% 0%  

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations