Opinion Poll by Kantar, 9–27 February 2026

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
ANO 2011 (PfE) 0.0% 34.5% 32.7–36.5% 32.1–37.0% 31.7–37.5% 30.8–38.4%
Starostové a nezávislí (EPP) 0.0% 15.5% 14.1–17.1% 13.8–17.5% 13.4–17.9% 12.8–18.6%
Občanská demokratická strana (ECR) 0.0% 14.5% 13.1–15.9% 12.8–16.4% 12.4–16.7% 11.8–17.5%
Česká pirátská strana (Greens/EFA) 0.0% 9.0% 8.0–10.3% 7.7–10.6% 7.4–10.9% 6.9–11.6%
Svoboda a přímá demokracie (ESN) 0.0% 6.5% 5.6–7.6% 5.3–7.9% 5.2–8.2% 4.8–8.7%
Motoristé sobě (PfE) 0.0% 5.0% 4.3–6.0% 4.0–6.3% 3.9–6.6% 3.5–7.1%
Naše Česko (*) 0.0% 3.5% 2.9–4.3% 2.7–4.6% 2.5–4.8% 2.3–5.2%
Křesťanská a demokratická unie–Československá strana lidová (EPP) 0.0% 3.0% 2.4–3.8% 2.3–4.0% 2.1–4.2% 1.9–4.7%
TOP 09 (EPP) 0.0% 2.0% 1.6–2.7% 1.4–2.9% 1.3–3.1% 1.1–3.5%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
ANO 2011 (PfE) 0 9 9–10 9–10 8–10 8–11
Starostové a nezávislí (EPP) 0 4 4 3–5 3–5 3–5
Občanská demokratická strana (ECR) 0 4 3–4 3–4 3–4 3–5
Česká pirátská strana (Greens/EFA) 0 2 2 2–3 2–3 1–3
Svoboda a přímá demokracie (ESN) 0 1 1–2 1–2 1–2 0–2
Motoristé sobě (PfE) 0 1 0–1 0–1 0–1 0–2
Naše Česko (*) 0 0 0 0 0 0–1
Křesťanská a demokratická unie–Československá strana lidová (EPP) 0 0 0 0 0 0
TOP 09 (EPP) 0 0 0 0 0 0

ANO 2011 (PfE)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the ANO 2011 (PfE) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 0% 100%  
3 0% 100%  
4 0% 100%  
5 0% 100%  
6 0% 100%  
7 0% 100%  
8 3% 100%  
9 59% 97% Median
10 36% 37%  
11 2% 2% Majority
12 0% 0%  

Starostové a nezávislí (EPP)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Starostové a nezávislí (EPP) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 0% 100%  
3 8% 100%  
4 85% 92% Median
5 6% 6%  
6 0% 0%  

Občanská demokratická strana (ECR)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Občanská demokratická strana (ECR) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 0% 100%  
3 28% 100%  
4 71% 72% Median
5 1.0% 1.0%  
6 0% 0%  

Česká pirátská strana (Greens/EFA)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Česká pirátská strana (Greens/EFA) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0.6% 100%  
2 91% 99.4% Median
3 8% 8%  
4 0% 0%  

Svoboda a přímá demokracie (ESN)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Svoboda a přímá demokracie (ESN) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 2% 100% Last Result
1 71% 98% Median
2 27% 27%  
3 0% 0%  

Motoristé sobě (PfE)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Motoristé sobě (PfE) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 43% 100% Last Result
1 57% 57% Median
2 0.6% 0.6%  
3 0% 0%  

Naše Česko (*)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Naše Česko (*) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 98.8% 100% Last Result, Median
1 1.2% 1.2%  
2 0% 0%  

Křesťanská a demokratická unie–Československá strana lidová (EPP)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Křesťanská a demokratická unie–Československá strana lidová (EPP) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 99.9% 100% Last Result, Median
1 0.1% 0.1%  
2 0% 0%  

TOP 09 (EPP)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the TOP 09 (EPP) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Coalitions

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Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Starostové a nezávislí (EPP) – Křesťanská a demokratická unie–Československá strana lidová (EPP) – TOP 09 (EPP) 0 4 0% 4 3–5 3–5 3–5

Starostové a nezávislí (EPP) – Křesťanská a demokratická unie–Československá strana lidová (EPP) – TOP 09 (EPP)

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 0% 100%  
3 8% 100%  
4 85% 92% Median
5 7% 7%  
6 0% 0%  

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations