Opinion Poll by Kantar for ČT24, 23 March–2 April 2026

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
ANO 2011 (PfE) 0.0% 34.0% 32.3–35.8% 31.8–36.3% 31.4–36.7% 30.6–37.6%
Starostové a nezávislí (EPP) 0.0% 15.5% 14.2–16.9% 13.9–17.3% 13.5–17.7% 13.0–18.4%
Česká pirátská strana (Greens/EFA) 0.0% 9.5% 8.5–10.7% 8.2–11.0% 8.0–11.3% 7.5–11.9%
Občanská demokratická strana (ECR) 0.0% 8.8% 7.9–10.0% 7.6–10.3% 7.3–10.6% 6.9–11.2%
Svoboda a přímá demokracie (ESN) 0.0% 6.5% 5.7–7.5% 5.4–7.8% 5.2–8.0% 4.9–8.6%
TOP 09 (EPP) 0.0% 5.9% 5.1–6.9% 4.9–7.2% 4.7–7.4% 4.4–7.9%
Křesťanská a demokratická unie–Československá strana lidová (EPP) 0.0% 5.8% 5.0–6.7% 4.8–7.0% 4.6–7.2% 4.2–7.7%
Motoristé sobě (PfE) 0.0% 5.0% 4.3–5.9% 4.1–6.2% 3.9–6.4% 3.6–6.8%
Naše Česko (*) 0.0% 3.0% 2.5–3.7% 2.3–3.9% 2.2–4.1% 1.9–4.5%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
ANO 2011 (PfE) 0 9 9–10 8–10 8–10 8–11
Starostové a nezávislí (EPP) 0 4 3–4 3–5 3–5 3–5
Česká pirátská strana (Greens/EFA) 0 2 2–3 2–3 2–3 2–3
Občanská demokratická strana (ECR) 0 2 2 2 2–3 1–3
Svoboda a přímá demokracie (ESN) 0 1 1–2 1–2 1–2 0–2
TOP 09 (EPP) 0 1 1 0–2 0–2 0–2
Křesťanská a demokratická unie–Československá strana lidová (EPP) 0 1 0–1 0–1 0–2 0–2
Motoristé sobě (PfE) 0 1 0–1 0–1 0–1 0–1
Naše Česko (*) 0 0 0 0 0 0

ANO 2011 (PfE)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the ANO 2011 (PfE) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 0% 100%  
3 0% 100%  
4 0% 100%  
5 0% 100%  
6 0% 100%  
7 0% 100%  
8 6% 100%  
9 65% 94% Median
10 28% 28%  
11 0.9% 0.9% Majority
12 0% 0%  

Starostové a nezávislí (EPP)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Starostové a nezávislí (EPP) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 0% 100%  
3 10% 100%  
4 84% 90% Median
5 6% 6%  
6 0% 0%  

Česká pirátská strana (Greens/EFA)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Česká pirátská strana (Greens/EFA) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0.1% 100%  
2 87% 99.9% Median
3 13% 13%  
4 0% 0%  

Občanská demokratická strana (ECR)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Občanská demokratická strana (ECR) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 1.0% 100%  
2 95% 99.0% Median
3 4% 4%  
4 0% 0%  

Svoboda a přímá demokracie (ESN)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Svoboda a přímá demokracie (ESN) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 1.0% 100% Last Result
1 73% 99.0% Median
2 26% 26%  
3 0% 0%  

TOP 09 (EPP)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the TOP 09 (EPP) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 8% 100% Last Result
1 84% 92% Median
2 8% 8%  
3 0% 0%  

Křesťanská a demokratická unie–Československá strana lidová (EPP)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Křesťanská a demokratická unie–Československá strana lidová (EPP) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 13% 100% Last Result
1 83% 87% Median
2 4% 4%  
3 0% 0%  

Motoristé sobě (PfE)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Motoristé sobě (PfE) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 49% 100% Last Result
1 50% 51% Median
2 0.2% 0.2%  
3 0% 0%  

Naše Česko (*)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Naše Česko (*) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Coalitions

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Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Starostové a nezávislí (EPP) – TOP 09 (EPP) – Křesťanská a demokratická unie–Československá strana lidová (EPP) 0 6 0% 5–7 5–7 5–7 4–7

Starostové a nezávislí (EPP) – TOP 09 (EPP) – Křesťanská a demokratická unie–Československá strana lidová (EPP)

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 0% 100%  
3 0% 100%  
4 0.9% 100%  
5 23% 99.1%  
6 66% 76% Median
7 10% 10%  
8 0.1% 0.1%  
9 0% 0%  

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations