Opinion Poll by NMS for Novinky, 1–7 April 2026
Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information
Voting Intentions
Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Poll Result | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ANO 2011 (PfE) | 0.0% | 32.7% | 30.8–34.6% | 30.3–35.1% | 29.9–35.6% | 29.0–36.5% |
| Občanská demokratická strana (ECR) | 0.0% | 13.9% | 12.6–15.3% | 12.2–15.8% | 11.9–16.1% | 11.3–16.9% |
| Starostové a nezávislí (EPP) | 0.0% | 13.7% | 12.4–15.1% | 12.0–15.6% | 11.7–15.9% | 11.1–16.6% |
| Česká pirátská strana (Greens/EFA) | 0.0% | 8.0% | 7.0–9.1% | 6.7–9.5% | 6.4–9.8% | 6.0–10.4% |
| Svoboda a přímá demokracie (ESN) | 0.0% | 7.4% | 6.4–8.5% | 6.2–8.9% | 5.9–9.1% | 5.5–9.7% |
| Motoristé sobě (PfE) | 0.0% | 4.4% | 3.6–5.3% | 3.4–5.6% | 3.3–5.8% | 3.0–6.3% |
| Naše Česko (*) | 0.0% | 4.1% | 3.4–5.0% | 3.2–5.2% | 3.0–5.5% | 2.7–5.9% |
| TOP 09 (EPP) | 0.0% | 3.1% | 2.5–3.9% | 2.3–4.1% | 2.2–4.4% | 2.0–4.8% |
| Křesťanská a demokratická unie–Československá strana lidová (EPP) | 0.0% | 2.5% | 2.0–3.3% | 1.8–3.5% | 1.7–3.7% | 1.5–4.1% |
| Přísaha (PfE) | 0.0% | 1.4% | 1.0–2.0% | 0.9–2.1% | 0.8–2.3% | 0.7–2.6% |
| Strana zelených (Greens/EFA) | 0.0% | 1.4% | 1.0–2.0% | 0.9–2.1% | 0.8–2.3% | 0.7–2.6% |
| Komunistická strana Čech a Moravy–Spojení demokraté - Sdružení nezávislých–Stačilo! (NI) | 0.0% | 0.8% | 0.5–1.3% | 0.4–1.4% | 0.4–1.5% | 0.3–1.8% |
| Česká strana národně sociální (*) | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0–0.4% | 0.0–0.5% | 0.0–0.5% | 0.0–0.7% |
| Sociální demokracie (S&D) | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0–0.4% | 0.0–0.5% | 0.0–0.5% | 0.0–0.7% |
| Moravané (Greens/EFA) | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0–0.2% | 0.0–0.3% | 0.0–0.4% | 0.0–0.5% |
Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.
Seats
Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ANO 2011 (PfE) | 0 | 9 | 9–10 | 9–10 | 9–10 | 8–11 |
| Občanská demokratická strana (ECR) | 0 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 3–4 | 3–5 |
| Starostové a nezávislí (EPP) | 0 | 4 | 4 | 3–4 | 3–4 | 3–4 |
| Česká pirátská strana (Greens/EFA) | 0 | 2 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–3 |
| Svoboda a přímá demokracie (ESN) | 0 | 2 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–2 |
| Motoristé sobě (PfE) | 0 | 0 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 |
| Naše Česko (*) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0–1 |
| TOP 09 (EPP) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Křesťanská a demokratická unie–Československá strana lidová (EPP) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Přísaha (PfE) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Strana zelených (Greens/EFA) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Komunistická strana Čech a Moravy–Spojení demokraté - Sdružení nezávislých–Stačilo! (NI) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Česká strana národně sociální (*) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Sociální demokracie (S&D) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Moravané (Greens/EFA) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
ANO 2011 (PfE)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the ANO 2011 (PfE) page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 0% | 100% | |
| 2 | 0% | 100% | |
| 3 | 0% | 100% | |
| 4 | 0% | 100% | |
| 5 | 0% | 100% | |
| 6 | 0% | 100% | |
| 7 | 0% | 100% | |
| 8 | 1.4% | 100% | |
| 9 | 87% | 98.6% | Median |
| 10 | 10% | 12% | |
| 11 | 1.1% | 1.1% | Majority |
| 12 | 0% | 0% |
Občanská demokratická strana (ECR)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Občanská demokratická strana (ECR) page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 0% | 100% | |
| 2 | 0% | 100% | |
| 3 | 4% | 100% | |
| 4 | 95% | 96% | Median |
| 5 | 1.4% | 1.4% | |
| 6 | 0% | 0% |
Starostové a nezávislí (EPP)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Starostové a nezávislí (EPP) page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 0% | 100% | |
| 2 | 0% | 100% | |
| 3 | 10% | 100% | |
| 4 | 90% | 90% | Median |
| 5 | 0% | 0% |
Česká pirátská strana (Greens/EFA)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Česká pirátská strana (Greens/EFA) page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 25% | 100% | |
| 2 | 74% | 75% | Median |
| 3 | 1.3% | 1.3% | |
| 4 | 0% | 0% |
Svoboda a přímá demokracie (ESN)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Svoboda a přímá demokracie (ESN) page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 12% | 100% | |
| 2 | 88% | 88% | Median |
| 3 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 4 | 0% | 0% |
Motoristé sobě (PfE)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Motoristé sobě (PfE) page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 65% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
| 1 | 35% | 35% | |
| 2 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 3 | 0% | 0% |
Naše Česko (*)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Naše Česko (*) page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 98.7% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
| 1 | 1.3% | 1.3% | |
| 2 | 0% | 0% |
TOP 09 (EPP)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the TOP 09 (EPP) page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 100% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
Křesťanská a demokratická unie–Československá strana lidová (EPP)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Křesťanská a demokratická unie–Československá strana lidová (EPP) page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 100% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
Přísaha (PfE)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Přísaha (PfE) page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 100% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
Strana zelených (Greens/EFA)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Strana zelených (Greens/EFA) page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 100% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
Komunistická strana Čech a Moravy–Spojení demokraté - Sdružení nezávislých–Stačilo! (NI)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Komunistická strana Čech a Moravy–Spojení demokraté - Sdružení nezávislých–Stačilo! (NI) page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 100% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
Česká strana národně sociální (*)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Česká strana národně sociální (*) page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 100% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
Sociální demokracie (S&D)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Sociální demokracie (S&D) page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 100% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
Moravané (Greens/EFA)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Moravané (Greens/EFA) page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 100% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
Coalitions
Confidence Intervals
| Coalition | Last Result | Median | Majority? | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ANO 2011 (PfE) – Motoristé sobě (PfE) – Přísaha (PfE) | 0 | 9 | 7% | 9–10 | 9–11 | 9–11 | 8–11 |
| Starostové a nezávislí (EPP) – TOP 09 (EPP) – Křesťanská a demokratická unie–Československá strana lidová (EPP) | 0 | 4 | 0% | 4 | 3–4 | 3–4 | 3–4 |
| Sociální demokracie (S&D) | 0 | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
ANO 2011 (PfE) – Motoristé sobě (PfE) – Přísaha (PfE)
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 0% | 100% | |
| 2 | 0% | 100% | |
| 3 | 0% | 100% | |
| 4 | 0% | 100% | |
| 5 | 0% | 100% | |
| 6 | 0% | 100% | |
| 7 | 0% | 100% | |
| 8 | 1.4% | 100% | |
| 9 | 57% | 98.6% | Median |
| 10 | 35% | 41% | |
| 11 | 7% | 7% | Majority |
| 12 | 0% | 0% |
Starostové a nezávislí (EPP) – TOP 09 (EPP) – Křesťanská a demokratická unie–Československá strana lidová (EPP)
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 0% | 100% | |
| 2 | 0% | 100% | |
| 3 | 10% | 100% | |
| 4 | 90% | 90% | Median |
| 5 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 6 | 0% | 0% |
Sociální demokracie (S&D)
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 100% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
Technical Information
Opinion Poll
- Polling firm: NMS
- Commissioner(s): Novinky
- Fieldwork period: 1–7 April 2026
Calculations
- Sample size: 1031
- Simulations done: 2,097,152
- Error estimate: 2.94%