Opinion Poll by Kantar for ČT24, 18 May–5 June 2026

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
ANO 2011 (PfE) 0.0% 31.5% 29.7–33.4% 29.1–34.0% 28.7–34.5% 27.8–35.4%
Starostové a nezávislí (EPP) 0.0% 15.5% 14.1–17.0% 13.7–17.5% 13.3–17.8% 12.7–18.6%
Občanská demokratická strana (ECR) 0.0% 15.5% 14.1–17.0% 13.7–17.5% 13.3–17.8% 12.7–18.6%
Česká pirátská strana (Greens/EFA) 0.0% 9.5% 8.4–10.8% 8.1–11.1% 7.8–11.4% 7.3–12.1%
Svoboda a přímá demokracie (ESN) 0.0% 6.5% 5.6–7.6% 5.3–7.9% 5.1–8.2% 4.7–8.7%
Motoristé sobě (PfE) 0.0% 5.0% 4.2–6.0% 4.0–6.3% 3.8–6.5% 3.5–7.0%
Křesťanská a demokratická unie–Československá strana lidová (EPP) 0.0% 4.0% 3.3–4.9% 3.1–5.2% 2.9–5.4% 2.6–5.9%
TOP 09 (EPP) 0.0% 2.5% 2.0–3.2% 1.8–3.5% 1.7–3.7% 1.5–4.1%
Naše Česko (*) 0.0% 2.5% 2.0–3.2% 1.8–3.5% 1.7–3.7% 1.5–4.1%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
ANO 2011 (PfE) 0 9 8–10 8–10 8–10 7–10
Starostové a nezávislí (EPP) 0 4 4 3–5 3–5 3–5
Občanská demokratická strana (ECR) 0 4 4 3–5 3–5 3–5
Česká pirátská strana (Greens/EFA) 0 2 2–3 2–3 2–3 2–3
Svoboda a přímá demokracie (ESN) 0 1 1–2 1–2 1–2 0–2
Motoristé sobě (PfE) 0 0 0–1 0–1 0–1 0–1
Křesťanská a demokratická unie–Československá strana lidová (EPP) 0 0 0 0–1 0–1 0–1
TOP 09 (EPP) 0 0 0 0 0 0
Naše Česko (*) 0 0 0 0 0 0

ANO 2011 (PfE)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the ANO 2011 (PfE) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 0% 100%  
3 0% 100%  
4 0% 100%  
5 0% 100%  
6 0% 100%  
7 0.5% 100%  
8 29% 99.5%  
9 59% 71% Median
10 12% 12%  
11 0% 0% Majority

Starostové a nezávislí (EPP)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Starostové a nezávislí (EPP) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 0% 100%  
3 5% 100%  
4 85% 95% Median
5 10% 10%  
6 0% 0%  

Občanská demokratická strana (ECR)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Občanská demokratická strana (ECR) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 0% 100%  
3 6% 100%  
4 86% 94% Median
5 7% 7%  
6 0% 0%  

Česká pirátská strana (Greens/EFA)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Česká pirátská strana (Greens/EFA) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0.1% 100%  
2 73% 99.9% Median
3 27% 27%  
4 0% 0%  

Svoboda a přímá demokracie (ESN)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Svoboda a přímá demokracie (ESN) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 2% 100% Last Result
1 62% 98% Median
2 36% 36%  
3 0% 0%  

Motoristé sobě (PfE)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Motoristé sobě (PfE) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 54% 100% Last Result, Median
1 45% 46%  
2 0.5% 0.5%  
3 0% 0%  

Křesťanská a demokratická unie–Československá strana lidová (EPP)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Křesťanská a demokratická unie–Československá strana lidová (EPP) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 95% 100% Last Result, Median
1 5% 5%  
2 0% 0%  

TOP 09 (EPP)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the TOP 09 (EPP) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Naše Česko (*)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Naše Česko (*) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Coalitions

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Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Starostové a nezávislí (EPP) – Křesťanská a demokratická unie–Československá strana lidová (EPP) – TOP 09 (EPP) 0 4 0% 4–5 4–5 3–5 3–5

Starostové a nezávislí (EPP) – Křesťanská a demokratická unie–Československá strana lidová (EPP) – TOP 09 (EPP)

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 0% 100%  
3 4% 100%  
4 82% 96% Median
5 14% 14%  
6 0.3% 0.3%  
7 0% 0%  

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations