Opinion Poll by NMS for Novinky, 3–8 June 2026

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
ANO 2011 (PfE) 0.0% 31.6% 29.8–33.5% 29.3–34.0% 28.8–34.5% 28.0–35.4%
Starostové a nezávislí (EPP) 0.0% 14.8% 13.4–16.3% 13.1–16.7% 12.7–17.1% 12.1–17.8%
Občanská demokratická strana (ECR) 0.0% 13.9% 12.6–15.4% 12.2–15.8% 11.9–16.2% 11.3–16.9%
Svoboda a přímá demokracie (ESN) 0.0% 7.5% 6.6–8.7% 6.3–9.0% 6.1–9.3% 5.6–9.9%
Česká pirátská strana (Greens/EFA) 0.0% 7.4% 6.5–8.6% 6.2–8.9% 6.0–9.2% 5.6–9.8%
Motoristé sobě (PfE) 0.0% 5.8% 5.0–6.8% 4.7–7.1% 4.5–7.4% 4.2–7.9%
Naše Česko (*) 0.0% 3.9% 3.2–4.8% 3.0–5.0% 2.9–5.2% 2.6–5.7%
TOP 09 (EPP) 0.0% 3.0% 2.4–3.8% 2.3–4.0% 2.1–4.2% 1.9–4.6%
Křesťanská a demokratická unie–Československá strana lidová (EPP) 0.0% 2.4% 1.9–3.2% 1.8–3.4% 1.6–3.6% 1.4–3.9%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
ANO 2011 (PfE) 0 9 8–9 8–10 8–10 8–10
Starostové a nezávislí (EPP) 0 4 3–4 3–4 3–5 3–5
Občanská demokratická strana (ECR) 0 4 3–4 3–4 3–4 3–5
Svoboda a přímá demokracie (ESN) 0 2 1–2 1–2 1–2 1–2
Česká pirátská strana (Greens/EFA) 0 2 1–2 1–2 1–2 1–2
Motoristé sobě (PfE) 0 1 0–2 0–2 0–2 0–2
Naše Česko (*) 0 0 0 0 0–1 0–1
TOP 09 (EPP) 0 0 0 0 0 0
Křesťanská a demokratická unie–Československá strana lidová (EPP) 0 0 0 0 0 0

ANO 2011 (PfE)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the ANO 2011 (PfE) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 0% 100%  
3 0% 100%  
4 0% 100%  
5 0% 100%  
6 0% 100%  
7 0.2% 100%  
8 28% 99.8%  
9 65% 72% Median
10 7% 7%  
11 0.1% 0.1% Majority
12 0% 0%  

Starostové a nezávislí (EPP)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Starostové a nezávislí (EPP) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 0% 100%  
3 13% 100%  
4 84% 87% Median
5 3% 3%  
6 0% 0%  

Občanská demokratická strana (ECR)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Občanská demokratická strana (ECR) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 0% 100%  
3 40% 100%  
4 60% 60% Median
5 0.5% 0.5%  
6 0% 0%  

Svoboda a přímá demokracie (ESN)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Svoboda a přímá demokracie (ESN) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 19% 100%  
2 81% 81% Median
3 0.2% 0.2%  
4 0% 0%  

Česká pirátská strana (Greens/EFA)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Česká pirátská strana (Greens/EFA) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 16% 100%  
2 84% 84% Median
3 0.3% 0.3%  
4 0% 0%  

Motoristé sobě (PfE)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Motoristé sobě (PfE) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 11% 100% Last Result
1 79% 89% Median
2 10% 10%  
3 0% 0%  

Naše Česko (*)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Naše Česko (*) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 96% 100% Last Result, Median
1 4% 4%  
2 0% 0%  

TOP 09 (EPP)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the TOP 09 (EPP) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 99.9% 100% Last Result, Median
1 0.1% 0.1%  
2 0% 0%  

Křesťanská a demokratická unie–Československá strana lidová (EPP)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Křesťanská a demokratická unie–Československá strana lidová (EPP) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Coalitions

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Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Starostové a nezávislí (EPP) – TOP 09 (EPP) – Křesťanská a demokratická unie–Československá strana lidová (EPP) 0 4 0% 3–4 3–4 3–5 3–5

Starostové a nezávislí (EPP) – TOP 09 (EPP) – Křesťanská a demokratická unie–Československá strana lidová (EPP)

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 0% 100%  
3 13% 100%  
4 84% 87% Median
5 3% 3%  
6 0% 0%  

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations