Opinion Poll by STEM for PrimaCNN, 16–21 June 2026
Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information
Voting Intentions
Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Poll Result | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ANO 2011 (PfE) | 0.0% | 32.2% | 30.6–33.8% | 30.1–34.3% | 29.7–34.7% | 29.0–35.5% |
| Starostové a nezávislí (EPP) | 0.0% | 13.5% | 12.4–14.8% | 12.1–15.2% | 11.8–15.5% | 11.3–16.1% |
| Občanská demokratická strana (ECR) | 0.0% | 13.0% | 11.9–14.3% | 11.6–14.6% | 11.3–14.9% | 10.8–15.5% |
| Svoboda a přímá demokracie (ESN) | 0.0% | 7.9% | 7.0–8.9% | 6.8–9.2% | 6.6–9.5% | 6.2–10.0% |
| Česká pirátská strana (Greens/EFA) | 0.0% | 7.6% | 6.8–8.6% | 6.5–8.9% | 6.3–9.2% | 5.9–9.7% |
| Motoristé sobě (PfE) | 0.0% | 5.3% | 4.6–6.2% | 4.4–6.4% | 4.3–6.7% | 3.9–7.1% |
| TOP 09 (EPP) | 0.0% | 3.4% | 2.9–4.1% | 2.7–4.3% | 2.6–4.5% | 2.3–4.9% |
| Naše Česko (*) | 0.0% | 3.2% | 2.6–3.9% | 2.5–4.1% | 2.4–4.3% | 2.1–4.6% |
| Křesťanská a demokratická unie–Československá strana lidová (EPP) | 0.0% | 2.4% | 1.9–3.0% | 1.8–3.2% | 1.7–3.3% | 1.5–3.7% |
| Strana zelených (Greens/EFA) | 0.0% | 1.8% | 1.4–2.3% | 1.3–2.5% | 1.2–2.6% | 1.0–2.9% |
| Přísaha (PfE) | 0.0% | 1.2% | 0.9–1.7% | 0.8–1.8% | 0.7–1.9% | 0.6–2.2% |
| Komunistická strana Čech a Moravy–Spojení demokraté - Sdružení nezávislých–Stačilo! (NI) | 0.0% | 0.8% | 0.6–1.2% | 0.5–1.4% | 0.5–1.5% | 0.4–1.7% |
| Sociální demokracie (S&D) | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.1–0.4% | 0.0–0.5% | 0.0–0.5% | 0.0–0.7% |
| Česká strana národně sociální (*) | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0–0.3% | 0.0–0.4% | 0.0–0.4% | 0.0–0.5% |
| Moravané (Greens/EFA) | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0–0.2% | 0.0–0.2% | 0.0–0.3% | 0.0–0.4% |
Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.
Seats
Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ANO 2011 (PfE) | 0 | 9 | 9–10 | 9–10 | 9–10 | 9–10 |
| Starostové a nezávislí (EPP) | 0 | 4 | 3–4 | 3–4 | 3–4 | 3–5 |
| Občanská demokratická strana (ECR) | 0 | 4 | 4 | 3–4 | 3–4 | 3–4 |
| Svoboda a přímá demokracie (ESN) | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 |
| Česká pirátská strana (Greens/EFA) | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–2 |
| Motoristé sobě (PfE) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–2 |
| TOP 09 (EPP) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Naše Česko (*) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Křesťanská a demokratická unie–Československá strana lidová (EPP) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Strana zelených (Greens/EFA) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Přísaha (PfE) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Komunistická strana Čech a Moravy–Spojení demokraté - Sdružení nezávislých–Stačilo! (NI) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Sociální demokracie (S&D) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Česká strana národně sociální (*) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Moravané (Greens/EFA) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
ANO 2011 (PfE)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the ANO 2011 (PfE) page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 0% | 100% | |
| 2 | 0% | 100% | |
| 3 | 0% | 100% | |
| 4 | 0% | 100% | |
| 5 | 0% | 100% | |
| 6 | 0% | 100% | |
| 7 | 0% | 100% | |
| 8 | 0.3% | 100% | |
| 9 | 64% | 99.7% | Median |
| 10 | 36% | 36% | |
| 11 | 0.1% | 0.1% | Majority |
| 12 | 0% | 0% |
Starostové a nezávislí (EPP)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Starostové a nezávislí (EPP) page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 0% | 100% | |
| 2 | 0% | 100% | |
| 3 | 31% | 100% | |
| 4 | 68% | 69% | Median |
| 5 | 1.4% | 1.4% | |
| 6 | 0% | 0% |
Občanská demokratická strana (ECR)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Občanská demokratická strana (ECR) page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 0% | 100% | |
| 2 | 0% | 100% | |
| 3 | 7% | 100% | |
| 4 | 93% | 93% | Median |
| 5 | 0% | 0% |
Svoboda a přímá demokracie (ESN)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Svoboda a přímá demokracie (ESN) page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 0.4% | 100% | |
| 2 | 99.6% | 99.6% | Median |
| 3 | 0% | 0% |
Česká pirátská strana (Greens/EFA)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Česká pirátská strana (Greens/EFA) page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 7% | 100% | |
| 2 | 93% | 93% | Median |
| 3 | 0% | 0% |
Motoristé sobě (PfE)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Motoristé sobě (PfE) page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 92% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
| 1 | 7% | 8% | |
| 2 | 0.5% | 0.5% | |
| 3 | 0% | 0% |
TOP 09 (EPP)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the TOP 09 (EPP) page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 100% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
Naše Česko (*)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Naše Česko (*) page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 100% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
Křesťanská a demokratická unie–Československá strana lidová (EPP)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Křesťanská a demokratická unie–Československá strana lidová (EPP) page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 100% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
Strana zelených (Greens/EFA)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Strana zelených (Greens/EFA) page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 100% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
Přísaha (PfE)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Přísaha (PfE) page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 100% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
Komunistická strana Čech a Moravy–Spojení demokraté - Sdružení nezávislých–Stačilo! (NI)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Komunistická strana Čech a Moravy–Spojení demokraté - Sdružení nezávislých–Stačilo! (NI) page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 100% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
Sociální demokracie (S&D)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Sociální demokracie (S&D) page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 100% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
Česká strana národně sociální (*)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Česká strana národně sociální (*) page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 100% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
Moravané (Greens/EFA)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Moravané (Greens/EFA) page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 100% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
Coalitions
Confidence Intervals
| Coalition | Last Result | Median | Majority? | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ANO 2011 (PfE) – Motoristé sobě (PfE) – Přísaha (PfE) | 0 | 9 | 1.3% | 9–10 | 9–10 | 9–10 | 9–11 |
| Starostové a nezávislí (EPP) – TOP 09 (EPP) – Křesťanská a demokratická unie–Československá strana lidová (EPP) | 0 | 4 | 0% | 3–4 | 3–4 | 3–4 | 3–5 |
| Sociální demokracie (S&D) | 0 | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
ANO 2011 (PfE) – Motoristé sobě (PfE) – Přísaha (PfE)
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 0% | 100% | |
| 2 | 0% | 100% | |
| 3 | 0% | 100% | |
| 4 | 0% | 100% | |
| 5 | 0% | 100% | |
| 6 | 0% | 100% | |
| 7 | 0% | 100% | |
| 8 | 0% | 100% | |
| 9 | 58% | 100% | Median |
| 10 | 41% | 42% | |
| 11 | 1.3% | 1.3% | Majority |
| 12 | 0% | 0% |
Starostové a nezávislí (EPP) – TOP 09 (EPP) – Křesťanská a demokratická unie–Československá strana lidová (EPP)
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 0% | 100% | |
| 2 | 0% | 100% | |
| 3 | 31% | 100% | |
| 4 | 68% | 69% | Median |
| 5 | 1.4% | 1.4% | |
| 6 | 0% | 0% |
Sociální demokracie (S&D)
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 100% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
Technical Information
Opinion Poll
- Polling firm: STEM
- Commissioner(s): PrimaCNN
- Fieldwork period: 16–21 June 2026
Calculations
- Sample size: 1352
- Simulations done: 2,097,152
- Error estimate: 2.12%