Opinion Poll by Median, 1–30 June 2026

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
ANO 2011 (PfE) 0.0% 34.0% 32.1–35.9% 31.6–36.4% 31.1–36.9% 30.2–37.9%
Občanská demokratická strana (ECR) 0.0% 13.0% 11.8–14.5% 11.4–14.9% 11.1–15.2% 10.5–15.9%
Starostové a nezávislí (EPP) 0.0% 12.5% 11.3–13.9% 10.9–14.4% 10.6–14.7% 10.1–15.4%
Česká pirátská strana (Greens/EFA) 0.0% 7.0% 6.1–8.2% 5.9–8.5% 5.6–8.8% 5.2–9.4%
Svoboda a přímá demokracie (ESN) 0.0% 6.5% 5.6–7.6% 5.3–7.9% 5.1–8.1% 4.7–8.7%
Motoristé sobě (PfE) 0.0% 5.0% 4.2–6.0% 4.0–6.3% 3.8–6.5% 3.5–7.0%
Naše Česko (*) 0.0% 4.0% 3.3–4.9% 3.1–5.2% 3.0–5.4% 2.7–5.9%
Křesťanská a demokratická unie–Československá strana lidová (EPP) 0.0% 3.5% 2.9–4.4% 2.7–4.6% 2.5–4.8% 2.3–5.3%
TOP 09 (EPP) 0.0% 3.0% 2.4–3.8% 2.3–4.1% 2.1–4.3% 1.9–4.7%
Přísaha (PfE) 0.0% 2.0% 1.5–2.6% 1.4–2.8% 1.3–3.0% 1.1–3.4%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
ANO 2011 (PfE) 0 10 9–11 9–11 9–11 9–12
Občanská demokratická strana (ECR) 0 4 3–4 3–4 3–4 3–5
Starostové a nezávislí (EPP) 0 3 3–4 3–4 3–4 3–4
Česká pirátská strana (Greens/EFA) 0 2 1–2 1–2 1–2 1–2
Svoboda a přímá demokracie (ESN) 0 2 1–2 1–2 1–2 0–2
Motoristé sobě (PfE) 0 0 0–1 0–1 0–1 0–2
Naše Česko (*) 0 0 0 0–1 0–1 0–1
Křesťanská a demokratická unie–Československá strana lidová (EPP) 0 0 0 0 0 0–1
TOP 09 (EPP) 0 0 0 0 0 0
Přísaha (PfE) 0 0 0 0 0 0

ANO 2011 (PfE)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the ANO 2011 (PfE) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 0% 100%  
3 0% 100%  
4 0% 100%  
5 0% 100%  
6 0% 100%  
7 0% 100%  
8 0.2% 100%  
9 16% 99.8%  
10 58% 84% Median
11 24% 26% Majority
12 2% 2%  
13 0% 0%  

Občanská demokratická strana (ECR)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Občanská demokratická strana (ECR) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 0% 100%  
3 39% 100%  
4 60% 61% Median
5 0.8% 0.8%  
6 0% 0%  

Starostové a nezávislí (EPP)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Starostové a nezávislí (EPP) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 0.3% 100%  
3 57% 99.7% Median
4 42% 42%  
5 0.2% 0.2%  
6 0% 0%  

Česká pirátská strana (Greens/EFA)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Česká pirátská strana (Greens/EFA) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0.2% 100% Last Result
1 24% 99.8%  
2 76% 76% Median
3 0.3% 0.3%  
4 0% 0%  

Svoboda a přímá demokracie (ESN)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Svoboda a přímá demokracie (ESN) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 2% 100% Last Result
1 45% 98%  
2 53% 53% Median
3 0% 0%  

Motoristé sobě (PfE)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Motoristé sobě (PfE) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 52% 100% Last Result, Median
1 46% 48%  
2 2% 2%  
3 0% 0%  

Naše Česko (*)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Naše Česko (*) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 94% 100% Last Result, Median
1 6% 6%  
2 0% 0%  

Křesťanská a demokratická unie–Československá strana lidová (EPP)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Křesťanská a demokratická unie–Československá strana lidová (EPP) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 99.0% 100% Last Result, Median
1 1.0% 1.0%  
2 0% 0%  

TOP 09 (EPP)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the TOP 09 (EPP) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 99.9% 100% Last Result, Median
1 0.1% 0.1%  
2 0% 0%  

Přísaha (PfE)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Přísaha (PfE) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Coalitions

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Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
ANO 2011 (PfE) – Motoristé sobě (PfE) – Přísaha (PfE) 0 11 52% 10–12 10–12 9–12 9–12
Starostové a nezávislí (EPP) – Křesťanská a demokratická unie–Československá strana lidová (EPP) – TOP 09 (EPP) 0 3 0% 3–4 3–4 3–4 3–4

ANO 2011 (PfE) – Motoristé sobě (PfE) – Přísaha (PfE)

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 0% 100%  
3 0% 100%  
4 0% 100%  
5 0% 100%  
6 0% 100%  
7 0% 100%  
8 0% 100%  
9 3% 100%  
10 45% 97% Median
11 39% 52% Majority
12 13% 13%  
13 0.2% 0.2%  
14 0% 0%  

Starostové a nezávislí (EPP) – Křesťanská a demokratická unie–Československá strana lidová (EPP) – TOP 09 (EPP)

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 0.3% 100%  
3 57% 99.7% Median
4 43% 43%  
5 0.4% 0.4%  
6 0% 0%  

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations