Opinion Poll by Median, 1–31 July 2026

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
ANO 2011 (PfE) 0.0% 33.7% 31.8–35.6% 31.3–36.1% 30.8–36.6% 29.9–37.6%
Starostové a nezávislí (EPP) 0.0% 14.9% 13.5–16.4% 13.1–16.8% 12.8–17.2% 12.2–17.9%
Občanská demokratická strana (ECR) 0.0% 11.8% 10.6–13.2% 10.3–13.6% 10.0–14.0% 9.4–14.7%
Česká pirátská strana (Greens/EFA) 0.0% 7.9% 6.9–9.1% 6.7–9.4% 6.4–9.8% 6.0–10.3%
Svoboda a přímá demokracie (ESN) 0.0% 7.4% 6.5–8.6% 6.2–8.9% 6.0–9.2% 5.5–9.8%
Motoristé sobě (PfE) 0.0% 4.5% 3.8–5.5% 3.6–5.7% 3.4–6.0% 3.1–6.4%
Naše Česko (*) 0.0% 3.4% 2.8–4.3% 2.6–4.5% 2.5–4.7% 2.2–5.2%
Křesťanská a demokratická unie–Československá strana lidová (EPP) 0.0% 3.4% 2.8–4.3% 2.6–4.5% 2.5–4.7% 2.2–5.2%
TOP 09 (EPP) 0.0% 2.9% 2.4–3.7% 2.2–4.0% 2.1–4.2% 1.8–4.6%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
ANO 2011 (PfE) 0 10 9–10 9–10 9–11 9–11
Starostové a nezávislí (EPP) 0 4 4 4–5 3–5 3–5
Občanská demokratická strana (ECR) 0 3 3–4 3–4 3–4 2–4
Česká pirátská strana (Greens/EFA) 0 2 2 2 1–2 1–3
Svoboda a přímá demokracie (ESN) 0 2 1–2 1–2 1–2 1–2
Motoristé sobě (PfE) 0 0 0–1 0–1 0–1 0–1
Naše Česko (*) 0 0 0 0 0 0–1
Křesťanská a demokratická unie–Československá strana lidová (EPP) 0 0 0 0 0 0–1
TOP 09 (EPP) 0 0 0 0 0 0

ANO 2011 (PfE)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the ANO 2011 (PfE) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 0% 100%  
3 0% 100%  
4 0% 100%  
5 0% 100%  
6 0% 100%  
7 0% 100%  
8 0.3% 100%  
9 29% 99.7%  
10 67% 71% Median
11 4% 4% Majority
12 0% 0%  

Starostové a nezávislí (EPP)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Starostové a nezávislí (EPP) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 0% 100%  
3 4% 100%  
4 87% 96% Median
5 9% 9%  
6 0% 0%  

Občanská demokratická strana (ECR)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Občanská demokratická strana (ECR) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 2% 100%  
3 84% 98% Median
4 14% 14%  
5 0% 0%  

Česká pirátská strana (Greens/EFA)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Česká pirátská strana (Greens/EFA) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 4% 100%  
2 95% 96% Median
3 2% 2%  
4 0% 0%  

Svoboda a přímá demokracie (ESN)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Svoboda a přímá demokracie (ESN) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 12% 100%  
2 87% 88% Median
3 0.4% 0.4%  
4 0% 0%  

Motoristé sobě (PfE)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Motoristé sobě (PfE) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 81% 100% Last Result, Median
1 19% 19%  
2 0.1% 0.1%  
3 0% 0%  

Naše Česko (*)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Naše Česko (*) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 99.4% 100% Last Result, Median
1 0.6% 0.6%  
2 0% 0%  

Křesťanská a demokratická unie–Československá strana lidová (EPP)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Křesťanská a demokratická unie–Československá strana lidová (EPP) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 99.2% 100% Last Result, Median
1 0.8% 0.8%  
2 0% 0%  

TOP 09 (EPP)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the TOP 09 (EPP) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 99.9% 100% Last Result, Median
1 0.1% 0.1%  
2 0% 0%  

Coalitions

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Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Starostové a nezávislí (EPP) – Křesťanská a demokratická unie–Československá strana lidová (EPP) – TOP 09 (EPP) 0 4 0% 4 4–5 3–5 3–5

Starostové a nezávislí (EPP) – Křesťanská a demokratická unie–Československá strana lidová (EPP) – TOP 09 (EPP)

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 0% 100%  
3 4% 100%  
4 86% 96% Median
5 10% 10%  
6 0% 0%  

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations