Opinion Poll by Kantar for ČT24, 3–21 August 2026
Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information
Voting Intentions

Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Poll Result | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ANO 2011 (PfE) | 0.0% | 30.5% | 28.8–32.3% | 28.4–32.7% | 28.0–33.2% | 27.2–34.0% |
| Starostové a nezávislí (EPP) | 0.0% | 17.0% | 15.7–18.5% | 15.3–18.9% | 15.0–19.2% | 14.4–20.0% |
| Občanská demokratická strana (ECR) | 0.0% | 15.5% | 14.2–16.9% | 13.9–17.3% | 13.5–17.7% | 13.0–18.4% |
| Česká pirátská strana (Greens/EFA) | 0.0% | 8.5% | 7.5–9.6% | 7.3–9.9% | 7.0–10.2% | 6.6–10.8% |
| Svoboda a přímá demokracie (ESN) | 0.0% | 6.5% | 5.7–7.5% | 5.4–7.8% | 5.2–8.0% | 4.9–8.6% |
| Motoristé sobě (PfE) | 0.0% | 5.0% | 4.3–5.9% | 4.1–6.2% | 3.9–6.4% | 3.6–6.8% |
| Křesťanská a demokratická unie–Československá strana lidová (EPP) | 0.0% | 3.5% | 2.9–4.3% | 2.7–4.5% | 2.6–4.7% | 2.3–5.1% |
| Naše Česko (*) | 0.0% | 2.5% | 2.0–3.2% | 1.9–3.4% | 1.8–3.6% | 1.5–3.9% |
| TOP 09 (EPP) | 0.0% | 2.0% | 1.6–2.6% | 1.4–2.8% | 1.3–3.0% | 1.2–3.3% |
Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.
Seats


Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ANO 2011 (PfE) | 0 | 9 | 8–9 | 8–9 | 8–9 | 7–10 |
| Starostové a nezávislí (EPP) | 0 | 4 | 4–5 | 4–5 | 4–5 | 4–5 |
| Občanská demokratická strana (ECR) | 0 | 4 | 4–5 | 4–5 | 3–5 | 3–5 |
| Česká pirátská strana (Greens/EFA) | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2–3 | 1–3 |
| Svoboda a přímá demokracie (ESN) | 0 | 1 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 0–2 |
| Motoristé sobě (PfE) | 0 | 1 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 |
| Křesťanská a demokratická unie–Československá strana lidová (EPP) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0–1 |
| Naše Česko (*) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| TOP 09 (EPP) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
ANO 2011 (PfE)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the ANO 2011 (PfE) page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 0% | 100% | |
| 2 | 0% | 100% | |
| 3 | 0% | 100% | |
| 4 | 0% | 100% | |
| 5 | 0% | 100% | |
| 6 | 0% | 100% | |
| 7 | 1.4% | 100% | |
| 8 | 44% | 98.6% | |
| 9 | 53% | 55% | Median |
| 10 | 2% | 2% | |
| 11 | 0% | 0% | Majority |
Starostové a nezávislí (EPP)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Starostové a nezávislí (EPP) page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 0% | 100% | |
| 2 | 0% | 100% | |
| 3 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 4 | 52% | 99.9% | Median |
| 5 | 47% | 47% | |
| 6 | 0.3% | 0.3% | |
| 7 | 0% | 0% |
Občanská demokratická strana (ECR)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Občanská demokratická strana (ECR) page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 0% | 100% | |
| 2 | 0% | 100% | |
| 3 | 4% | 100% | |
| 4 | 85% | 96% | Median |
| 5 | 11% | 11% | |
| 6 | 0% | 0% |
Česká pirátská strana (Greens/EFA)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Česká pirátská strana (Greens/EFA) page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 1.0% | 100% | |
| 2 | 95% | 99.0% | Median |
| 3 | 4% | 4% | |
| 4 | 0% | 0% |
Svoboda a přímá demokracie (ESN)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Svoboda a přímá demokracie (ESN) page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1.2% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 64% | 98.8% | Median |
| 2 | 34% | 34% | |
| 3 | 0% | 0% |
Motoristé sobě (PfE)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Motoristé sobě (PfE) page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 47% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 52% | 53% | Median |
| 2 | 0.5% | 0.5% | |
| 3 | 0% | 0% |
Křesťanská a demokratická unie–Československá strana lidová (EPP)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Křesťanská a demokratická unie–Československá strana lidová (EPP) page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 99.2% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
| 1 | 0.8% | 0.8% | |
| 2 | 0% | 0% |
Naše Česko (*)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Naše Česko (*) page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 100% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
TOP 09 (EPP)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the TOP 09 (EPP) page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 100% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
Coalitions

Confidence Intervals
| Coalition | Last Result | Median | Majority? | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Starostové a nezávislí (EPP) – Křesťanská a demokratická unie–Československá strana lidová (EPP) – TOP 09 (EPP) | 0 | 4 | 0% | 4–5 | 4–5 | 4–5 | 4–6 |
Starostové a nezávislí (EPP) – Křesťanská a demokratická unie–Československá strana lidová (EPP) – TOP 09 (EPP)

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 0% | 100% | |
| 2 | 0% | 100% | |
| 3 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 4 | 52% | 99.9% | Median |
| 5 | 47% | 48% | |
| 6 | 0.6% | 0.6% | |
| 7 | 0% | 0% |
Technical Information
Opinion Poll
- Polling firm: Kantar
- Commissioner(s): ČT24
- Fieldwork period: 3–21 August 2026
Calculations
- Sample size: 1200
- Simulations done: 2,097,152
- Error estimate: 1.66%