Opinion Poll by Median, 1–31 August 2026

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
ANO 2011 (PfE) 0.0% 33.8% 31.9–35.7% 31.4–36.3% 30.9–36.8% 30.1–37.7%
Starostové a nezávislí (EPP) 0.0% 11.9% 10.7–13.4% 10.4–13.7% 10.1–14.1% 9.5–14.8%
Občanská demokratická strana (ECR) 0.0% 11.0% 9.8–12.3% 9.5–12.7% 9.2–13.0% 8.7–13.7%
Svoboda a přímá demokracie (ESN) 0.0% 8.9% 7.9–10.2% 7.6–10.5% 7.3–10.8% 6.8–11.4%
Česká pirátská strana (Greens/EFA) 0.0% 7.4% 6.5–8.6% 6.2–8.9% 6.0–9.2% 5.5–9.8%
Motoristé sobě (PfE) 0.0% 4.5% 3.8–5.5% 3.6–5.7% 3.4–6.0% 3.1–6.4%
TOP 09 (EPP) 0.0% 4.0% 3.3–4.9% 3.1–5.2% 3.0–5.4% 2.7–5.9%
Křesťanská a demokratická unie–Československá strana lidová (EPP) 0.0% 3.5% 2.9–4.4% 2.7–4.6% 2.6–4.8% 2.3–5.3%
Naše Česko (*) 0.0% 2.4% 1.9–3.2% 1.8–3.4% 1.7–3.6% 1.4–4.0%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
ANO 2011 (PfE) 0 10 10–11 9–11 9–11 9–11
Starostové a nezávislí (EPP) 0 3 3–4 3–4 3–4 2–4
Občanská demokratická strana (ECR) 0 3 3 2–4 2–4 2–4
Svoboda a přímá demokracie (ESN) 0 2 2–3 2–3 2–3 2–3
Česká pirátská strana (Greens/EFA) 0 2 2 1–2 1–2 1–3
Motoristé sobě (PfE) 0 0 0–1 0–1 0–1 0–1
TOP 09 (EPP) 0 0 0 0–1 0–1 0–1
Křesťanská a demokratická unie–Československá strana lidová (EPP) 0 0 0 0 0 0–1
Naše Česko (*) 0 0 0 0 0 0

ANO 2011 (PfE)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the ANO 2011 (PfE) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 0% 100%  
3 0% 100%  
4 0% 100%  
5 0% 100%  
6 0% 100%  
7 0% 100%  
8 0.1% 100%  
9 10% 99.9%  
10 62% 90% Median
11 28% 28% Majority
12 0.4% 0.4%  
13 0% 0%  

Starostové a nezávislí (EPP)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Starostové a nezávislí (EPP) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 0.6% 100%  
3 74% 99.4% Median
4 25% 25%  
5 0% 0%  

Občanská demokratická strana (ECR)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Občanská demokratická strana (ECR) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 6% 100%  
3 88% 94% Median
4 7% 7%  
5 0% 0%  

Svoboda a přímá demokracie (ESN)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Svoboda a přímá demokracie (ESN) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0.1% 100%  
2 71% 99.9% Median
3 28% 28%  
4 0% 0%  

Česká pirátská strana (Greens/EFA)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Česká pirátská strana (Greens/EFA) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 5% 100%  
2 92% 95% Median
3 2% 2%  
4 0% 0%  

Motoristé sobě (PfE)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Motoristé sobě (PfE) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 78% 100% Last Result, Median
1 21% 22%  
2 0.4% 0.4%  
3 0% 0%  

TOP 09 (EPP)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the TOP 09 (EPP) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 93% 100% Last Result, Median
1 7% 7%  
2 0% 0%  

Křesťanská a demokratická unie–Československá strana lidová (EPP)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Křesťanská a demokratická unie–Československá strana lidová (EPP) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 98.8% 100% Last Result, Median
1 1.2% 1.2%  
2 0% 0%  

Naše Česko (*)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Naše Česko (*) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Coalitions

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Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Starostové a nezávislí (EPP) – TOP 09 (EPP) – Křesťanská a demokratická unie–Československá strana lidová (EPP) 0 3 0% 3–4 3–4 3–4 3–5

Starostové a nezávislí (EPP) – TOP 09 (EPP) – Křesťanská a demokratická unie–Československá strana lidová (EPP)

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 0.4% 100%  
3 67% 99.6% Median
4 31% 32%  
5 1.3% 1.3%  
6 0% 0%  

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations