Opinion Poll by Ipsos, 8–12 September 2026
Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information
Voting Intentions
Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Poll Result | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ANO 2011 (PfE) | 0.0% | 31.4% | 29.6–33.2% | 29.1–33.7% | 28.7–34.2% | 27.8–35.1% |
| Starostové a nezávislí (EPP) | 0.0% | 16.6% | 15.2–18.1% | 14.8–18.6% | 14.5–18.9% | 13.9–19.7% |
| Občanská demokratická strana (ECR) | 0.0% | 14.0% | 12.7–15.5% | 12.4–15.9% | 12.1–16.2% | 11.5–16.9% |
| Česká pirátská strana (Greens/EFA) | 0.0% | 7.9% | 7.0–9.1% | 6.7–9.4% | 6.5–9.7% | 6.0–10.3% |
| Svoboda a přímá demokracie (ESN) | 0.0% | 7.1% | 6.2–8.2% | 5.9–8.5% | 5.7–8.8% | 5.3–9.4% |
| Motoristé sobě (PfE) | 0.0% | 4.5% | 3.8–5.4% | 3.6–5.7% | 3.4–5.9% | 3.1–6.4% |
| Křesťanská a demokratická unie–Československá strana lidová (EPP) | 0.0% | 3.5% | 2.9–4.3% | 2.7–4.6% | 2.6–4.8% | 2.3–5.2% |
| TOP 09 (EPP) | 0.0% | 2.9% | 2.3–3.6% | 2.1–3.8% | 2.0–4.0% | 1.8–4.4% |
| Naše Česko (*) | 0.0% | 2.5% | 2.0–3.2% | 1.8–3.4% | 1.7–3.6% | 1.5–4.0% |
| Komunistická strana Čech a Moravy–Spojení demokraté - Sdružení nezávislých–Stačilo! (NI) | 0.0% | 1.3% | 0.9–1.9% | 0.9–2.0% | 0.8–2.2% | 0.6–2.5% |
| Strana svobodných občanů (NI) | 0.0% | 1.2% | 0.9–1.8% | 0.8–1.9% | 0.7–2.0% | 0.6–2.3% |
| Právo Respekt Odbornost (*) | 0.0% | 1.1% | 0.8–1.6% | 0.7–1.8% | 0.6–1.9% | 0.5–2.2% |
| Strana zelených (Greens/EFA) | 0.0% | 1.1% | 0.8–1.6% | 0.7–1.8% | 0.6–1.9% | 0.5–2.2% |
| Sociální demokracie (S&D) | 0.0% | 0.3% | 0.2–0.6% | 0.1–0.7% | 0.1–0.8% | 0.1–1.0% |
| Česká strana národně sociální (*) | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.1–0.5% | 0.1–0.6% | 0.0–0.7% | 0.0–0.9% |
| Moravané (Greens/EFA) | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0–0.4% | 0.0–0.4% | 0.0–0.5% | 0.0–0.7% |
Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.
Seats
Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ANO 2011 (PfE) | 0 | 8 | 8–9 | 8–9 | 8–10 | 8–10 |
| Starostové a nezávislí (EPP) | 0 | 5 | 4–5 | 4–5 | 4–5 | 4–6 |
| Občanská demokratická strana (ECR) | 0 | 4 | 3–4 | 3–4 | 3–4 | 3–5 |
| Česká pirátská strana (Greens/EFA) | 0 | 2 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–2 |
| Svoboda a přímá demokracie (ESN) | 0 | 1 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–2 |
| Motoristé sobě (PfE) | 0 | 0 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 |
| Křesťanská a demokratická unie–Československá strana lidová (EPP) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| TOP 09 (EPP) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Naše Česko (*) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Komunistická strana Čech a Moravy–Spojení demokraté - Sdružení nezávislých–Stačilo! (NI) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Strana svobodných občanů (NI) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Právo Respekt Odbornost (*) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Strana zelených (Greens/EFA) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Sociální demokracie (S&D) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Česká strana národně sociální (*) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Moravané (Greens/EFA) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
ANO 2011 (PfE)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the ANO 2011 (PfE) page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 0% | 100% | |
| 2 | 0% | 100% | |
| 3 | 0% | 100% | |
| 4 | 0% | 100% | |
| 5 | 0% | 100% | |
| 6 | 0% | 100% | |
| 7 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 8 | 59% | 99.9% | Median |
| 9 | 37% | 41% | |
| 10 | 4% | 4% | |
| 11 | 0.2% | 0.2% | Majority |
| 12 | 0% | 0% |
Starostové a nezávislí (EPP)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Starostové a nezávislí (EPP) page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 0% | 100% | |
| 2 | 0% | 100% | |
| 3 | 0% | 100% | |
| 4 | 15% | 100% | |
| 5 | 84% | 85% | Median |
| 6 | 0.7% | 0.7% | |
| 7 | 0% | 0% |
Občanská demokratická strana (ECR)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Občanská demokratická strana (ECR) page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 0% | 100% | |
| 2 | 0% | 100% | |
| 3 | 13% | 100% | |
| 4 | 86% | 87% | Median |
| 5 | 1.3% | 1.3% | |
| 6 | 0% | 0% |
Česká pirátská strana (Greens/EFA)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Česká pirátská strana (Greens/EFA) page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 10% | 100% | |
| 2 | 89% | 90% | Median |
| 3 | 0.4% | 0.4% | |
| 4 | 0% | 0% |
Svoboda a přímá demokracie (ESN)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Svoboda a přímá demokracie (ESN) page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0.2% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 54% | 99.8% | Median |
| 2 | 45% | 45% | |
| 3 | 0% | 0% |
Motoristé sobě (PfE)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Motoristé sobě (PfE) page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 55% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
| 1 | 45% | 45% | |
| 2 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 3 | 0% | 0% |
Křesťanská a demokratická unie–Československá strana lidová (EPP)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Křesťanská a demokratická unie–Československá strana lidová (EPP) page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 99.6% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
| 1 | 0.4% | 0.4% | |
| 2 | 0% | 0% |
TOP 09 (EPP)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the TOP 09 (EPP) page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 100% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
Naše Česko (*)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Naše Česko (*) page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 100% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
Komunistická strana Čech a Moravy–Spojení demokraté - Sdružení nezávislých–Stačilo! (NI)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Komunistická strana Čech a Moravy–Spojení demokraté - Sdružení nezávislých–Stačilo! (NI) page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 100% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
Strana svobodných občanů (NI)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Strana svobodných občanů (NI) page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 100% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
Právo Respekt Odbornost (*)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Právo Respekt Odbornost (*) page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 100% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
Strana zelených (Greens/EFA)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Strana zelených (Greens/EFA) page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 100% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
Sociální demokracie (S&D)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Sociální demokracie (S&D) page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 100% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
Česká strana národně sociální (*)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Česká strana národně sociální (*) page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 100% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
Moravané (Greens/EFA)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Moravané (Greens/EFA) page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 100% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
Coalitions
Confidence Intervals
| Coalition | Last Result | Median | Majority? | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Starostové a nezávislí (EPP) – Křesťanská a demokratická unie–Československá strana lidová (EPP) – TOP 09 (EPP) | 0 | 5 | 0% | 4–5 | 4–5 | 4–5 | 4–6 |
| Naše Česko () – Právo Respekt Odbornost () – Česká strana národně sociální (*) | 0 | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Sociální demokracie (S&D) | 0 | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Starostové a nezávislí (EPP) – Křesťanská a demokratická unie–Československá strana lidová (EPP) – TOP 09 (EPP)
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 0% | 100% | |
| 2 | 0% | 100% | |
| 3 | 0% | 100% | |
| 4 | 15% | 100% | |
| 5 | 84% | 85% | Median |
| 6 | 0.7% | 0.7% | |
| 7 | 0% | 0% |
Naše Česko () – Právo Respekt Odbornost () – Česká strana národně sociální (*)
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 100% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
Sociální demokracie (S&D)
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 100% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
Technical Information
Opinion Poll
- Polling firm: Ipsos
- Commissioner(s): —
- Fieldwork period: 8–12 September 2026
Calculations
- Sample size: 1084
- Simulations done: 2,097,152
- Error estimate: 2.71%