Opinion Poll by Median, 1–30 September 2026

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
ANO 2011 (PfE) 0.0% 29.5% 27.7–31.4% 27.2–31.9% 26.7–32.4% 25.9–33.3%
Starostové a nezávislí (EPP) 0.0% 17.0% 15.6–18.6% 15.2–19.0% 14.8–19.4% 14.1–20.2%
Občanská demokratická strana (ECR) 0.0% 12.5% 11.2–13.9% 10.9–14.3% 10.6–14.7% 10.0–15.4%
Svoboda a přímá demokracie (ESN) 0.0% 9.0% 8.0–10.3% 7.7–10.7% 7.4–11.0% 6.9–11.6%
Česká pirátská strana (Greens/EFA) 0.0% 7.5% 6.5–8.6% 6.2–9.0% 6.0–9.3% 5.6–9.8%
Motoristé sobě (PfE) 0.0% 5.0% 4.2–6.0% 4.0–6.3% 3.8–6.5% 3.5–7.0%
TOP 09 (EPP) 0.0% 3.5% 2.9–4.4% 2.7–4.6% 2.6–4.9% 2.3–5.3%
Křesťanská a demokratická unie–Československá strana lidová (EPP) 0.0% 3.0% 2.5–3.9% 2.3–4.1% 2.1–4.3% 1.9–4.7%
Právo Respekt Odbornost (*) 0.0% 2.0% 1.5–2.7% 1.4–2.9% 1.3–3.0% 1.1–3.4%
Naše Česko (*) 0.0% 2.0% 1.5–2.7% 1.4–2.9% 1.3–3.0% 1.1–3.4%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
ANO 2011 (PfE) 0 9 8–9 8–9 8–9 7–10
Starostové a nezávislí (EPP) 0 5 4–5 4–5 4–5 4–6
Občanská demokratická strana (ECR) 0 3 3–4 3–4 3–4 3–4
Svoboda a přímá demokracie (ESN) 0 2 2–3 2–3 2–3 2–3
Česká pirátská strana (Greens/EFA) 0 2 1–2 1–2 1–2 1–3
Motoristé sobě (PfE) 0 1 0–1 0–1 0–1 0–2
TOP 09 (EPP) 0 0 0 0 0 0–1
Křesťanská a demokratická unie–Československá strana lidová (EPP) 0 0 0 0 0 0
Právo Respekt Odbornost (*) 0 0 0 0 0 0
Naše Česko (*) 0 0 0 0 0 0

ANO 2011 (PfE)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the ANO 2011 (PfE) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 0% 100%  
3 0% 100%  
4 0% 100%  
5 0% 100%  
6 0% 100%  
7 2% 100%  
8 48% 98%  
9 49% 50% Median
10 2% 2%  
11 0% 0% Majority

Starostové a nezávislí (EPP)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Starostové a nezávislí (EPP) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 0% 100%  
3 0% 100%  
4 32% 100%  
5 66% 68% Median
6 2% 2%  
7 0% 0%  

Občanská demokratická strana (ECR)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Občanská demokratická strana (ECR) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 0.3% 100%  
3 78% 99.7% Median
4 21% 21%  
5 0% 0%  

Svoboda a přímá demokracie (ESN)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Svoboda a přímá demokracie (ESN) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0.3% 100%  
2 86% 99.7% Median
3 14% 14%  
4 0% 0%  

Česká pirátská strana (Greens/EFA)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Česká pirátská strana (Greens/EFA) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 12% 100%  
2 88% 88% Median
3 0.8% 0.8%  
4 0% 0%  

Motoristé sobě (PfE)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Motoristé sobě (PfE) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 47% 100% Last Result
1 52% 53% Median
2 2% 2%  
3 0% 0%  

TOP 09 (EPP)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the TOP 09 (EPP) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 98% 100% Last Result, Median
1 2% 2%  
2 0% 0%  

Křesťanská a demokratická unie–Československá strana lidová (EPP)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Křesťanská a demokratická unie–Československá strana lidová (EPP) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 99.9% 100% Last Result, Median
1 0.1% 0.1%  
2 0% 0%  

Právo Respekt Odbornost (*)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Právo Respekt Odbornost (*) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Naše Česko (*)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Naše Česko (*) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Coalitions

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Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Starostové a nezávislí (EPP) – TOP 09 (EPP) – Křesťanská a demokratická unie–Československá strana lidová (EPP) 0 5 0% 4–5 4–5 4–6 4–6

Starostové a nezávislí (EPP) – TOP 09 (EPP) – Křesťanská a demokratická unie–Československá strana lidová (EPP)

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 0% 100%  
3 0% 100%  
4 31% 100%  
5 67% 69% Median
6 3% 3%  
7 0% 0%  

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations