Opinion Poll by Kantar for ČT24, 12–30 October 2026
Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information
Voting Intentions
Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Poll Result | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ANO 2011 (PfE) | 0.0% | 29.5% | 27.8–31.2% | 27.4–31.7% | 27.0–32.1% | 26.2–33.0% |
| Starostové a nezávislí (EPP) | 0.0% | 23.5% | 22.0–25.1% | 21.6–25.6% | 21.2–26.0% | 20.5–26.8% |
| Občanská demokratická strana (ECR) | 0.0% | 12.5% | 11.3–13.8% | 11.0–14.2% | 10.7–14.5% | 10.2–15.2% |
| Česká pirátská strana (Greens/EFA) | 0.0% | 7.5% | 6.6–8.6% | 6.4–8.9% | 6.1–9.1% | 5.7–9.7% |
| Svoboda a přímá demokracie (ESN) | 0.0% | 5.5% | 4.7–6.4% | 4.5–6.7% | 4.3–7.0% | 4.0–7.4% |
| Motoristé sobě (PfE) | 0.0% | 4.5% | 3.8–5.4% | 3.6–5.6% | 3.5–5.8% | 3.2–6.3% |
| Křesťanská a demokratická unie–Československá strana lidová (EPP) | 0.0% | 4.0% | 3.4–4.8% | 3.2–5.1% | 3.0–5.3% | 2.7–5.7% |
| Naše Česko (*) | 0.0% | 3.0% | 2.5–3.7% | 2.3–3.9% | 2.2–4.1% | 1.9–4.5% |
| TOP 09 (EPP) | 0.0% | 2.5% | 2.0–3.2% | 1.9–3.4% | 1.8–3.6% | 1.5–3.9% |
Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.
Seats
Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ANO 2011 (PfE) | 0 | 8 | 8–9 | 7–9 | 7–9 | 7–10 |
| Starostové a nezávislí (EPP) | 0 | 7 | 6–7 | 6–7 | 6–7 | 5–8 |
| Občanská demokratická strana (ECR) | 0 | 3 | 3–4 | 3–4 | 3–4 | 3–4 |
| Česká pirátská strana (Greens/EFA) | 0 | 2 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–2 |
| Svoboda a přímá demokracie (ESN) | 0 | 1 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–2 | 0–2 |
| Motoristé sobě (PfE) | 0 | 0 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 |
| Křesťanská a demokratická unie–Československá strana lidová (EPP) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0–1 | 0–1 |
| Naše Česko (*) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| TOP 09 (EPP) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
ANO 2011 (PfE)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the ANO 2011 (PfE) page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 0% | 100% | |
| 2 | 0% | 100% | |
| 3 | 0% | 100% | |
| 4 | 0% | 100% | |
| 5 | 0% | 100% | |
| 6 | 0% | 100% | |
| 7 | 7% | 100% | |
| 8 | 64% | 93% | Median |
| 9 | 28% | 29% | |
| 10 | 0.6% | 0.6% | |
| 11 | 0% | 0% | Majority |
Starostové a nezávislí (EPP)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Starostové a nezávislí (EPP) page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 0% | 100% | |
| 2 | 0% | 100% | |
| 3 | 0% | 100% | |
| 4 | 0% | 100% | |
| 5 | 0.6% | 100% | |
| 6 | 46% | 99.4% | |
| 7 | 53% | 54% | Median |
| 8 | 0.6% | 0.6% | |
| 9 | 0% | 0% |
Občanská demokratická strana (ECR)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Občanská demokratická strana (ECR) page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 0% | 100% | |
| 2 | 0.4% | 100% | |
| 3 | 72% | 99.6% | Median |
| 4 | 27% | 27% | |
| 5 | 0% | 0% |
Česká pirátská strana (Greens/EFA)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Česká pirátská strana (Greens/EFA) page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 10% | 100% | |
| 2 | 89% | 90% | Median |
| 3 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 4 | 0% | 0% |
Svoboda a přímá demokracie (ESN)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Svoboda a přímá demokracie (ESN) page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 24% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 72% | 76% | Median |
| 2 | 4% | 4% | |
| 3 | 0% | 0% |
Motoristé sobě (PfE)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Motoristé sobě (PfE) page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 77% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
| 1 | 23% | 23% | |
| 2 | 0% | 0% |
Křesťanská a demokratická unie–Československá strana lidová (EPP)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Křesťanská a demokratická unie–Československá strana lidová (EPP) page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 95% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
| 1 | 5% | 5% | |
| 2 | 0% | 0% |
Naše Česko (*)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Naše Česko (*) page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 99.9% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
| 1 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 2 | 0% | 0% |
TOP 09 (EPP)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the TOP 09 (EPP) page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 100% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
Coalitions
Confidence Intervals
| Coalition | Last Result | Median | Majority? | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Starostové a nezávislí (EPP) – Křesťanská a demokratická unie–Československá strana lidová (EPP) – TOP 09 (EPP) | 0 | 7 | 0% | 6–7 | 6–7 | 6–7 | 6–8 |
Starostové a nezávislí (EPP) – Křesťanská a demokratická unie–Československá strana lidová (EPP) – TOP 09 (EPP)
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 0% | 100% | |
| 2 | 0% | 100% | |
| 3 | 0% | 100% | |
| 4 | 0% | 100% | |
| 5 | 0.4% | 100% | |
| 6 | 43% | 99.6% | |
| 7 | 55% | 57% | Median |
| 8 | 2% | 2% | |
| 9 | 0% | 0% |
Technical Information
Opinion Poll
- Polling firm: Kantar
- Commissioner(s): ČT24
- Fieldwork period: 12–30 October 2026
Calculations
- Sample size: 1200
- Simulations done: 1,048,576
- Error estimate: 1.49%