Opinion Poll by Median, 1–31 October 2026

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

Graph with voting intentions not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
ANO 2011 (PfE) 0.0% 32.0% 30.2–33.9% 29.7–34.5% 29.2–35.0% 28.4–35.9%
Starostové a nezávislí (EPP) 0.0% 18.5% 17.0–20.1% 16.6–20.6% 16.2–21.0% 15.5–21.8%
Občanská demokratická strana (ECR) 0.0% 10.5% 9.3–11.8% 9.0–12.2% 8.7–12.5% 8.2–13.2%
Svoboda a přímá demokracie (ESN) 0.0% 8.5% 7.5–9.8% 7.2–10.1% 7.0–10.4% 6.5–11.0%
Česká pirátská strana (Greens/EFA) 0.0% 7.5% 6.6–8.7% 6.3–9.0% 6.1–9.3% 5.6–9.9%
Křesťanská a demokratická unie–Československá strana lidová (EPP) 0.0% 4.0% 3.3–4.9% 3.1–5.2% 3.0–5.4% 2.7–5.9%
Naše Česko (*) 0.0% 3.0% 2.4–3.9% 2.3–4.1% 2.1–4.3% 1.9–4.7%
Motoristé sobě (PfE) 0.0% 3.0% 2.4–3.9% 2.3–4.1% 2.1–4.3% 1.9–4.7%
TOP 09 (EPP) 0.0% 2.5% 2.0–3.3% 1.9–3.5% 1.7–3.7% 1.5–4.1%
Právo Respekt Odbornost (*) 0.0% 2.0% 1.5–2.7% 1.4–2.8% 1.3–3.0% 1.1–3.4%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

Graph with seats not yet produced

Graph with seating plan not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
ANO 2011 (PfE) 0 9 9–10 8–10 8–10 8–10
Starostové a nezávislí (EPP) 0 5 5–6 4–6 4–6 4–6
Občanská demokratická strana (ECR) 0 3 2–3 2–3 2–3 2–3
Svoboda a přímá demokracie (ESN) 0 2 2 2–3 2–3 1–3
Česká pirátská strana (Greens/EFA) 0 2 2 1–2 1–2 1–3
Křesťanská a demokratická unie–Československá strana lidová (EPP) 0 0 0–1 0–1 0–1 0–1
Naše Česko (*) 0 0 0 0 0 0
Motoristé sobě (PfE) 0 0 0 0 0 0
TOP 09 (EPP) 0 0 0 0 0 0
Právo Respekt Odbornost (*) 0 0 0 0 0 0

ANO 2011 (PfE)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the ANO 2011 (PfE) page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 0% 100%  
3 0% 100%  
4 0% 100%  
5 0% 100%  
6 0% 100%  
7 0% 100%  
8 7% 100%  
9 75% 93% Median
10 17% 17%  
11 0.3% 0.3% Majority
12 0% 0%  

Starostové a nezávislí (EPP)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Starostové a nezávislí (EPP) page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 0% 100%  
3 0% 100%  
4 5% 100%  
5 83% 95% Median
6 12% 12%  
7 0% 0%  

Občanská demokratická strana (ECR)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Občanská demokratická strana (ECR) page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 28% 100%  
3 72% 72% Median
4 0.4% 0.4%  
5 0% 0%  

Svoboda a přímá demokracie (ESN)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Svoboda a přímá demokracie (ESN) page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0.8% 100%  
2 90% 99.2% Median
3 10% 10%  
4 0% 0%  

Česká pirátská strana (Greens/EFA)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Česká pirátská strana (Greens/EFA) page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 9% 100%  
2 90% 91% Median
3 0.7% 0.7%  
4 0% 0%  

Křesťanská a demokratická unie–Československá strana lidová (EPP)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Křesťanská a demokratická unie–Československá strana lidová (EPP) page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 90% 100% Last Result, Median
1 10% 10%  
2 0% 0%  

Naše Česko (*)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Naše Česko (*) page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 99.8% 100% Last Result, Median
1 0.2% 0.2%  
2 0% 0%  

Motoristé sobě (PfE)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Motoristé sobě (PfE) page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 99.9% 100% Last Result, Median
1 0.1% 0.1%  
2 0% 0%  

TOP 09 (EPP)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the TOP 09 (EPP) page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Právo Respekt Odbornost (*)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Právo Respekt Odbornost (*) page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Coalitions

Graph with coalitions seats not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Starostové a nezávislí (EPP) – Křesťanská a demokratická unie–Československá strana lidová (EPP) – TOP 09 (EPP) 0 5 0% 5–6 5–6 4–6 4–6

Starostové a nezávislí (EPP) – Křesťanská a demokratická unie–Československá strana lidová (EPP) – TOP 09 (EPP)

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 0% 100%  
3 0% 100%  
4 4% 100%  
5 76% 96% Median
6 20% 20%  
7 0.2% 0.2%  
8 0% 0%  

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations